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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 1st December (BARC)     

Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:39

Premarket Futures FTSE +20 DAX +30 DOW +37 S&P +4 Nasdaq +8.5

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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FTSE TechMark

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

[Chart]

S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei +302   Hang Seng +134  Asia News

[Chart]

10 Year Bond

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UK/US charts have 1,2 or 5 day views. and now FT NEWS & Price link to UK, US & Asian markets. The Dax/CAC and Nikkei/Hang Seng are now switchable
News: Sorry Your browser is not java capable  

Manchester United A mystery buyer has snapped up a chunk of shares in a deal brokered by Germany's Commerzbank, reigniting takeover talk. Also MNU said it had won a new sponsorship deal from Vodafone worth 36 million pounds over four years.

Alfred McAlpine construction and support services said it was in talks with the UK's Ministry of Defence to become a preferred bidder for contract worth over 100 million pounds to the firm. A successful outcome of the talks would lead to a seven-year contract for capital and maintenance works on 120 Ministry of Defence properties in the south-west

Wolseley the world's largest supplier of plumbing and heating materials, said on Monday it had bought Swiss-based air conditioning and heating wholesaler Tobler for 52 million pounds.

Communisis <warning> direct marketing firm said it was trading below its expectations because of pricing pressures in its non-contractual personalised products and document services businesses.BTG technology development firm said its biggest new drug hope, Varisolve for varicose veins, faced a "significant delay" in the United States as it posted a slightly narrower first-half loss. The firm, whose shares plunged last month when it said U.S. regulators had suspended a Phase II clinical trial for Varisolve, said it expected to have to conduct additional clinical and preclinical studies in the United States. They posted a loss before tax of 13.4 million pounds in the six months to September 30, compared with a loss of 13.6 million in the same period of 2002.

Qantas Airways Australia's biggest airline and a key Boeing customer, said it would buy 23 new Airbus EADS.PA EAD.DE planes worth about $1.15 billion for its new low-cost carrier, Jetstar. The deal gives Airbus a firmer foothold in a fleet dominated by Boeing Co BA.N and strengthens its presence in the fast-growing and profitable Asian market, where Singapore Airlines, China Airlines and Malaysian Airlines use its aircraft.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

 Acal (I), Belhaven Group (I), BSS Group (I), BTG (I), Christian Salvesen (I), Dawson Holdings (F), Helphire Group (I), iSoft (I), Lawrence (I), MyTravel (F), Richmond Foods (F), VP Plc (I)

09.30 Oct Final M4 Money Supply y/y 7.4% exp. 09.30 Oct Net Consumer Credit 1.6bm exp. 09.30 Nov Preliminary M0 Money Supply y/y 7.8% exp. 09.30 Nov CIPS manufacturing PMI 54.5 exp.

McData

15.00 Oct Construction Spending m/m 0.6% exp. 15.00 Nov ISM Manufacturing 58.0 exp.

08.55 Nov German BME PMI 52.3 exp.09.00 Nov BME PMI 52.5 exp.

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Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:40 - 2 of 18

ukf.gif

United Kingdom - Calendar  1ST - 5th December

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United States  (GMT)

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Europe & World (GMT)

 Acal (I), Belhaven Group (I), BSS Group (I), BTG (I), Christian Salvesen (I), Dawson Holdings (F), Helphire Group (I), iSoft (I), Lawrence (I), MyTravel (F), Richmond Foods (F), VP Plc (I)

09.30 Oct Final M4 Money Supply y/y 7.4% exp. 09.30 Oct Net Consumer Credit 1.6bm exp. 09.30 Nov Preliminary M0 Money Supply y/y 7.8% exp. 09.30 Nov CIPS manufacturing PMI 54.5 exp.

McData

15.00 Oct Construction Spending m/m 0.6% exp. 15.00 Nov ISM Manufacturing 58.0 exp.

08.55 Nov German BME PMI 52.3 exp.09.00 Nov BME PMI 52.5 exp.

Compass Group (F) 657.7m exp. WS Atkins (I) Scottish & Newcastle (I) PBT 315m exp. Aberdeen Asset Management (F), Alba (I), Goldshield (I), Merant (Q2), Patientline (I), Protherics (I), Robert Wiseman Dairies (I), Sage Group (F), Shaftsbury (F), Synstar (F), Ultaframe (F), Warner Estate Holdings (I),

Barclays Trading Statement Rentokil Trading Statement Mitchells & Butlers Return of Capital. Terms are 68p a share Mitchells & Butlers Consolidation Ex Date. Terms are 12 New Shares for 7

09.30 Nov CIPS Construction Industry PMI 10.30 EEF Quarterly Trends Survey

Chico's

13.30 Total Vehicle Sales 16.3m exp.

Vivendi Universal (Q3), TFI

07.00 Oct German Retail Sales m/m 0.5% exp.

11.00 Oct PPI m/m flat exp. 11.00 Oct Unemployment Rate 8.8% exp.

De Vere Group (F) PBT 38.7m exp. United Utilities (I) PBT 168m exp. Wolverhampton & Dudley (F) PBT 72.5m exp, Upholstery (F), Wagon (I) Expro International (I), Mentmore (I), Reliance Security (I), RPC Group (I), ScS GlaxSmithKline research and development day

British Airways Nov Traffic Figures

08.30 Chancellor Brown Addresses European Finance Convention

09.30 Nov CIPS Services PMI 59.0 exp.

11.00 Nov CBI Distributive Trades 26.0 exp.

Mandalay, QwCommunication (Q)

13.30 3rd Quarter Final Non-Farm Productivity 9.2% exp. 13.30 3rd Quarter Final Unit Labour Costs 5.6% exp. 15.00 Nov Non-Manufacturing ISM 64.0 exp.

Europe: KLM (Traffic)

08.55 Nov German BME Services PMI 54.5 exp. 09.00 Nov BME Services PMI 56.5 exp.

11.00 3rd Quarter GDP Estimate q/q 0.4% exp.

11.00 Commission Publishes 4th & 1st Quarter GDP Forecast

Ex Dividend: 3i Group (5.1), Anglo Irish Bank (EUR 0.1393), Bank Of Ireland (EUR 0.148), Big Food Group (1.1), Body Shop International (1.9), Bodycote International (2.25), Caledonia Investments (8.4), Cranswick (4.4), Croda International (4.02), Daily Mail & General (6.85), Diploma (10), Greencore Group (EUR 0.0758), Helical Bar (6.6), Hill & Smith Holdings (2.15), Johnson Matthey (8.2), Land Securities Group (9.9), London Merchant Securities (2), London Stock Exchange (1.4), Majestic Wine (4.5), Merchant Retail Group (0.75), Pilkington (1.75), SABMiller (US$ 0.075), South Staffordshire (6.1), TBI (0.7), Tate & Lyle (5.6), Town Centre Securities (3.85), United Drug (EUR 0.0297)

AWG (I) PBT 34.1m exp, Holidaybreak (F) PBT 28.2m exp. Mitchells & Butlers (F) PBT 195m exp,

Premier Farnell (Q3) PBT 15.9m exp, Securicor (F) PBT 64m exp. AEA Technology (I), Avon Rubber (F), Dyson Group (I), Findel (I),

Kelda Group (I), Xansa (I)Debenhams (DEB) Offer by Baroness Retail Ex Date. Terms are 470p per share

Cadbury Schweppes Trading Statement

12.00 BOE Rate Announcement

00.01 Nov BRC Shop Price Index Europe: 10.30 NTC, Deloitte & REC Report on Jobs

Dollar General Corp. (DG)

13.30 Initial Jobless Claims (w/e 29/11) 355k exp.

Porsche (F), ThyssenKrup AG (F)

11.00 Oct Preliminary BBK Factory Orders m/m 0.7% exp. 11.00 September Retail Trade m/m

Arla Foods (I),  Berkeley Group (I), Bristol Water Holdings (I)

Associated British Foods (AGM),

P&O Trading Statement, EasyJet Nov Traffic Figures

French Connection Split Expected Ex Date. Terms are 5 shares for 1 RegUS Rights Issues. Terms are 1 share for every 3 @ 28p

13.30 Nov Non-Farm Payrolls 150k exp. 15.00 Oct Factory Orders 2.2% exp. 20.00 Oct Consumer Credit $5.0bn exp.

11.00 Oct German Preliminary Industrial Production m/m 1.3% exp.

 

Provisional Calendar For The Following Week   8th - 12th December

Carclo (I), Faupel (I),

Heath (Samuel) & Sons (I) Mitie Group (I),

I-Documentsystems (F), Medisys (F) SCI Entertainment (F), Treatt (F)AGMs Edin.Drgn.Trust (AGM) Estates & Agency Holdings (AGM) JP Morgan Fleming Smaller Cos IT (AGM) Scottish Value Trust (AGM)EAs BRC Nov. retail sales report NIESR monthly GDP report Nov producer price report Oct. Industry/manufacture output

   

ComputerLand (I), Greene King (I) Halma (I), PHS Group (I), Severn Trent (I) Grainger Trust (F), ITE Group (F) Phytopharm (F) Tadpole Technology (F), Victrex (F)Antisoma (AGM) Interior Services (AGM) Old Mutual South Africa (AGM) RingProp (AGM)Oct trade data (09:30)

10:00 AM Wholesale Inventories 2:15 PM FOMC Meeting

 

Oasis Healthcare (I),

Stagecoach Group (I) Vega Group (I), Henlys Group (F), Sperati (F)Jupiter Financial&Inc Tst (AGM)

 

 

Ex Dividend:

European Diamonds (AGM) Narborough Plant (AGM)

01:30 Business Inventories 01:30 Export Prices ex-ag. 01:30 Import Prices ex-oil 01:30 Initial Claims 01:30 Retail Sales 01:30 Retail Sales ex-auto 2:00 PM FOMC Minutes

 

Anite (I)Danka Business (AGM)  

01:30 Core PPI 01:30 PPI 01:30 Trade Balance 2:45 Mich Sentiment-Prel.  

 

 

Trading Thoughts For The Week Ahead  -  Sunday 30th November

chartdec.gif

Next week catering and pubs dominate the corporate results arena this week when Compass and Scottish & Newcastle, Wolverhampton & Dudley and Mitchells & Butlers issue updates. MondayEuropean PMI will give indications that growth is keeping up with the US

US Expectations are high for healthy November ISM manufacturing and services indexesTuesday

Barclays the UK's third-biggest bank issues a trading update Compass are expected to post a 3% rise in full-year pre-tax profits to 675m with turnover growth of 6% next year boosted by strong performances in education and healthcare Sage are expected to report a 12% increase in full-year pre-tax profits to 151m but this will mainly coming from cost savings and not from growth. So the market will be more interested in the forecast for the next 12 months to see if growth can be renewed in the US & UK and also the possible threat of competition.Scottish & Newcastle now have a new CEO and also disposed of its retail operations to focus on brewing. The group is also changing its year-end from December, so its full-year results on Tuesday will reflect only eight months of trading. The group is set to report profits of 315m compared with 310m last year with most hope for better figures in the next 12 months coming from cost savings rather than growth as worries persist about potential growth in UK and French beer businesses.

Wednesday

Glaxo Smithkline research and development day is likely to be the standout feature in a week and as a market leading stock could give the FTSE direction. GSK could rocket if they release positive news on the developments of cancer and heart disease drugsDe Vere hotels group full-year results on Wednesday are set to show a 3% rise in pre-tax profits to 39m, spurred by growth in its leisure clubs and an improvement in trading in the second half of the year at its hotels and it is expected to improve its profits over the next few years. Wolverhampton & Dudley full year results will show profits cut due to recent disposals by 4% to 71m, although trading has been good because of the summer heatwave. Debt levels are expected to recede. Water group United Utilities is expected to post a profits rise of 5% to 169. Attention will be on information regarding the regulatory price review for 2005-2010, which will not be completed until the end of next year. It has requested to Ofwat for a 12% increase in annual revenues

European services PMI will give confirmation of the economic revival.

Again expectations are high for a healthy US November manufacturing and services figures.Thursday

Cadbury Schweppes issues a trading update, I do have some worries here...Mitchells & Butlers interims should have soared due to the high summer temperatures but competition at its high street portfolio, which includes All-Bar-One, will see pre-tax profits fall by about 7% to 190m. The European Central Bank rate-setting meeting on Thursday is expected to leave rates untouched at 2.0 percent.

12.00 Bank Of England Rate Announcement, no change expected.

Friday

The US November's unemployment figure on Friday are expected, to remain at six percent, and non-farm payrolls to rise by 135,000. But there are some worries here with employment growth lagging in an otherwise rosy economic picture.

Thoughts

Last week I noted the crucial point of the FTSE with its 1 year uptrend meeting its 5 year downtrend. This can be seen in the top left hand corner chart which shows the wedge defining the battle between the Bulls & Bears. These wedges can lead to shorterm volatility as happened last week when a 100 point gain was wiped out by the Friday close. I expected the volatility to be towards the downside and I still hold this view for the week ahead. However we are starting the December trading period so I thought it might be interesting to see how the FTSE has performed over the last 5 years.

It appears that overall December is a very positive Month with 4 out of 5 years showing a gain despite the general downtrend during that period. Leading into Christmas last year there was certainly plenty of pessimism around so a rise was unlikely.  What I find more interesting is that December is far from being a quiet month with it having an average of some 7% Volatility! It might be worth placing a bet that this 5% plus move will happen again this year.

Wishing you all the best for the week & month ahead and as always I really look forward to your thoughts and comments.

David (Crocodile) David@SnappyTrader.com  www.SnappyTrader.com

All the above comments are purely a personal opinion and no investment advice is intended.  Please do your own research.

 

Crocodile - 30 Nov 2003 13:40 - 3 of 18

Sunday News Headlines 30th November

Harrods owner Mohamed al Fayed is preparing a bid for the Daily Telegraph and Sunday Telegraph, according to the Observer

Stockbroker Collins Stewart has won the bidding battle to buy holiday company Center Parcs UK for about 300 million pounds

The interest rate appears to be having an effect on the housing market, the Nationwide Building Society has said. House prices rose by an average ?1,400 during November, an increase of 1.2% over October. Airline Swiss Chief Executive Andre Dose says a merger with British Airways is a long-term option but not a strategic goal and the immediate focus of the national carrier is on its turnaround plan. In its first major outright bank nationalisation in five years, the Japanese government has said it will take control of big regional lender Ashikaga Bank after inspections showed it was insolvent. Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov says there is no chance beleaguered oil major YUKOS might be nationalised. Stansted Airport is likely to get the go-ahead to build a new runway after pollution concerns ruled out expansion of Heathrow in the near future, the Financial Times reports. Wall Street largely unmoved as US holiday runs into weekend - The Scotsman - Sat 29 Nov, 03:00 AM STERLING broke through $1.72 yesterday for the first time in five years - its third record fresh high in three consecutive days.

SUNDAY TIMES

Premiership: Charlton 0 Leeds 1: Milner cashes in for Leeds WH Smith staff face pension hike BAE clinches key accord on Joint Strike Fighter with US Austin Reed Spend! Spend! Spend! but not this Christmas Ryanair pledges cash to punters Capital Radio recruits board talent International Power price could scupper Drax offer MyTravel to axe seventh director William Morrison Winchester Entertainment Scotia Holdings drug pays out first dividend Business digest Manchester United Loan deal lifeline may pull Leeds from brink

Ian Pickering's working day, Manganese Bronze Sharewatch: Persimmon Stanley Leisure gambles on a change in the odds Boots, Next, M&S Are retail stocks a good buy? Dixons, GUS, HOF Are retail stocks a good buy? Carphone Warehouse, WH Smith Are retail stocks a good buy? Andrew Davidson: Taxi maker rides back from exilem Manganese Bronze Working Space, Manganese Bronze Eircom mobile entry to steer clear of Meteor Schroders, Stanley gambles on a change in the odds Belhaven Group Sharewatch: Drink to success Comment: Jill Kerby: Vodafones largesse is really rather small

EMI may step in if BMG talks fade out

SUNDAY TELEGRAPH BNFL to keep US arm Collins Stewart to win Center Parcs Jarvis Norris company faces bankruptcy questions BSkyB Football clubs face financial cataclysm, warns Greg Dyke Diageo put to proof in whisky wars

Pearson Kann's plot to KO the FT

Marks & Spencer Retailers feel the cold as customers bunker down Carlton, Granada, Allen's screen test Vodafone, Orange Attack of the phones Marks & Spencer Hidden costs of cheaper goods BSkyB Regrets, he has a few  

Wolfson Microelectronics, whose chips are used in DVD players and games consoles, has seen its shares soar since flotation* in October. Good news expected in the coming months should further boost the price from 279 3/4p. Premier Oil Having completed a restructuring to rid itself of its controlling shareholders it is seen as an attractive takeover target. The company's prospects also look bright financially, making it a buy at 419 1/2p. Icap, the world's biggest inter-dealer broker, last week beat market hopes with a 10% rise in interim profits. It is also seen as having a credible electronic platform, where much business is now being done. Buy at 1337p

OBSERVER

Granada, Carlton ITV faces a little local difficulty Center Parcs holiday villages go to Collins Stewart for 300m Steel unions put forward rescue plan for ailing Corus Newcastle United Geordie goes to Hollywood

Icap chief Spencer rides storm GKN Baroness of the boardrooms

Sainsbury, Tesco and Asda grow fat at rivals' expense Barclays faces new onslaught over Barrett  

SUNDAY MAIL

Silence that riled Corus's biggest gun Barclays Bank counts the cost of Leeds slump  

BT Group 1,300 jobs go as email phones flop Punch Taverns Pubs 'n' Bars mops up failed Balaclava London Stock Exchange faces bill for millions

C

INDEPENDENT 

WH Smith Newspaper industry facing losses of 100m a year in distribution shake-up

The Week Ahead: Scottish and Newcastle

The Week Ahead: GlaxoSmithKline The Week Ahead: Wolverhampton and Dudley

HBOS A trading update from two weeks' time is likely to push the bank higher as the Halifax and Bank of Scotland business achieves further growth from the resilient housing and consumer spending sectors. Shares look cheap at 726 1/2p.

SCOTLAND ON SUNDAY 

Royal Bank of Scotland linked with 60m bid for Indian bank Robert Wiseman set to bring some festive cheer SMG Wiseman Regions groomed for starring role Scottish and Newcastle set to bring some festive cheer HBOS IF founder on brink of tele-banking return

Inveresk bosses cash in on 135m Nasdaq windfall GlaxoSmithKline looks only moderately healthy

European probe launched into Diageo dispute Apathy forces HBOS to axe its 'banks of the future' BT Group Broadband goal to net more profit British Airways FTSE100 set to welcome back resurgent BA

The Business Fuller Smith & Turner brewer and pub operator is selling more beer despite the shrinking market for ales. It has a solid record which looks set to continue, with the stock - at 592 1/2p - viewed as a good long-term investment. Connaught maintenance services group has just reported a fifth year of growth with turnover up 47% at 159 million. With activities in fragmented markets and the bulk for the government, there is room for more growth. Buy at 356 1/2p.

INVESTORS CHRONICLE  This Year's Portfolio of Top Ten Winners: Danka Business Systems (DNK) - Ashtead Group (AHT) - Pendragon (PDG) - Kier (KIE) - John Menzies (MNZS) - British Polythene (BPI) - European Motor (EMH) - Costain (COST) - Alliance Unichem (AUN) - House of Fraser (HOF).Tips: Buy easyJet (EZJ) at 263p - TT Electronics (TTG) at 112p - Hardman Resources (HNR) at 32p - Cape (CIU) at 63p - Codascisys (CSY) at 273p, Sell Northern Foods (NFDS) at 140p. Updates: Sell Xstrata (XTA) and Invensys (ISYS). Keep buying GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), Hold Braemar Seascape (BMS), Get Group (GTG) is good value. Company Results: Buy Workspace (WKP) - Enterprise Inns (ETI) - GUS (GUS), Sell Kingston Communications (KCOM).

SHARES MAGAZINE Plays of the Week Buy Kensington Group (KGN) at 311p - Gympie Gold (GYM) at 24p - Lupus Capital (LUP) at 7.37p - AEA Technology (AAT) at 255p - Ultimate Leisure (ULG) at 255p.Updates: Buy BioProgress (BPRG) and UBC Media (UBC). Hold Intec Telecom (ITL) and Abbeycrest (ACR).Further news: Keep an eye on Henderson Morley (HML).

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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little woman - 30 Nov 2003 15:57 - 4 of 18

Afternoon all,

Be back after market open

ThePlayboy - 30 Nov 2003 19:47 - 5 of 18

Updated 11/28 for Monday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 12/1
UP Above 9,805
DN Below 9,700

Holding...
Dow holds within wide trading range, watch 9,800 Monday.

From prior commentary, "...The index continues to hold its ground at the highs in a trading range, which could lead to a continuation move higher. An upside break through 9,800 could push the index higher to its next major resistance level at 9,900..."
The Dow held within the wide trading range that has formed over the past several trading sessions, seen in the 15 Minute Chart. The range spans from 9,700 to 9,800, which will be the key ranges to watch for Monday's market.

The index continues to make its way higher toward the next major resisatnce level at 9,900, which is likely the next stop for the Dow. If the index can break through and hold above 9,800, look for the Dow to head higher toward this resistance level.

Otherwise, a break below 9,870 will likely push the Dow back toward the last support level of 9,700. Look for the Dow to remain within the range boundaries until a solid break occurs.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow has broken a clear lower trend line at 9,790, seen in the 5 Minute Chart. Watch for short term weakness Monday morning.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we entered the market Long at 9,800 today and are still in the position. We will continue to hold stops at 9,780 and will stay Long above 9,805. We will look to enter Shorts below 9,700, with 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The S&P traded sideways the entires session, while the NASDAQ edged slightly higher. Each continue to hold within their respective ranges, which we will watch for Monday's market. *

Summary

The Dow continues to hold right at the upper boundary of the trading range at 9,800. An upside break through this level will likely push the index back toward major resistance at 9,900, while a break below 9,780 will spark further range movement.


ThePlayboy - 30 Nov 2003 19:49 - 6 of 18

MONDAY FTSE PP

R2 4399
R1 4371
PP 4352
S1 4324
S2 4305
Close was below Fri s1 after gaining 5.1 pts in the auction!

WEEKLY FTSE PP

R2 4467
R1 4405
PP 4362
S1 4300
S2 4257

Close was above the weekly pp!

2 day ftse chart seems to be targeting the longer term uptrend at 4320 with the real test at 4280! A brk up out of the 2 day at 53, more bullish above 60
though!

Crocodile - 01 Dec 2003 07:45 - 7 of 18

Thanks TP
Morning all

Douggie - 01 Dec 2003 07:57 - 8 of 18

mornin all

Druid2 - 01 Dec 2003 08:21 - 9 of 18

Morning all. Thanks Croc & TP.

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 08:48 - 10 of 18

Morning all,

Thanks Croc & TP - I'm running late this morning, but pleased to see LLOY & PSN up this morning. Looks like BT.A finally has the support its been missing since the results came out.

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 08:53 - 11 of 18

Morning all,

Those US futures look good. If they can follow
through on the open we could have an assault on
the 1070/9900 areas respectively.

That would take the FTSE over 4400 and attacking
4450. Fingers crossed.

Melnibone

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 11:37 - 12 of 18

Just put a stop loss (to lock in profits) on PSN @ 4.65 for day as I have to go out soon for the rest of the day and was surprised to see it's still going up!

little woman - 01 Dec 2003 11:55 - 13 of 18

Just up'd the stop loss to 4.70

stockbunny - 01 Dec 2003 16:36 - 14 of 18

Looks generally positive today - MKS firming up, HBOS now looking
better than it has share-price-wise for a while and even LLOY
starting to battle its way upwards. MKS and LLOY still look a
little shaky -would like to see both put on another 10p or so
to get them away from the current unstable price area.

SCTN tomorrow is the news I'm now waiting for - let's hope all
the hot weather caused a great deal of beer drinking in the Summer!!

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:16 - 15 of 18

Well annoyed today.

Managed one scalp on MKS and then kept losing my D4F
connection. It went down completely this afternoon.

It always seems to do this when they do weekend software
maintenance.
I wish people would stop trying to fix things when they
aren't broke and stop tinkering.
I missed some good moves today, but there's no way I'll
trade if I'm unlikely to be able to close a losing position.

Before anyone mentions using the telephone, no, I don't
like spending my time in a queue listening to 'Elevator Music'
whilst a price continues to move against me. :-)
Been there, done that, no real urge for a repeat experience.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 01 Dec 2003 17:28 - 16 of 18

I think this is the first close above 4400 for the FTSE.

If the US stays positive and keeps attacking 1070/9900
this could prove interesting.

An index short at the top of the trading channel will no
longer be a one way bet. Bears will be worried about a
breakout and a trend acceleration.

There will be stops above this trend channel, that if triggered
will fuel a short squeeze to the upside.

Don't want to appear too Bullish, just be aware of the possibility
before opening any fresh shorts. There is a possibility
of getting your fur burnt here.
There will be plenty of time to short if the breakout fails
because that would mean that we really were at the top of a
still intact trend channel with plenty of downside.

Melnibone

ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:23 - 17 of 18

The reviews of FTSE indices will occur between Dec 1 and Dec 17
info@ftse.com rgds aj

ajren - 01 Dec 2003 18:36 - 18 of 18

Ref MANCHESTER UNITED above :-

Malcolm I Glazer family ltd partnership holds :-

37,357,942 shares = 14.31 per cent of company
...........................
Directors purchase - small amount - @ 245.5 per share
...........................
Company shares issued = 261,068,040
rgds aj
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