cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
bhunt1910
- 02 May 2008 16:57
- 2001 of 21973
I went short on the FTSE at 6200 - still in the red - but hopeful that it will come back as the evening wears on.
Dow as usual volatile - up 110 at one stage - now just 40 +
bhunt1910
- 02 May 2008 18:00
- 2002 of 21973
Out at 6185 - will pay for a night out tonight
Have a good bank holiday all
BigTed
- 02 May 2008 21:11
- 2003 of 21973
I have just started work which keeps me away from a screen all day, set a sell order on FTSE @6200 last night, general consensus is that this is a just a bear rally, with earnings beginning to be stretched in the slowdown, how long can it keep going up? I'm looking longer term and expecting another down-leg soon...
Falcothou
- 02 May 2008 21:15
- 2004 of 21973
Some beligerant insight into this Bear market
http://market-ticker.denninger.net/
spitfire43
- 02 May 2008 21:31
- 2005 of 21973
Good link Falcothou........Very informative, just incase anyone feels too bullish with this rally, it would be worth reading.
Falcothou
- 02 May 2008 21:35
- 2006 of 21973
I get the impression the FED will do just about anything to get the Pamplona feeling including being slightly economical with the truth!
BigTed
- 02 May 2008 21:44
- 2007 of 21973
BigTed
- 02 May 2008 21:53
- 2008 of 21973
I think it has been a bit rosy for a while now, and i feel the FTSE is well ahead of itself, always difficult to do the opposite of what your mind tells you, but its like when it was all doom and gloom, it never only goes one way, as it was oversold @5400, it is just as likely now overbought @6200...
maggiebt4
- 02 May 2008 22:36
- 2009 of 21973
Thanks for link Big T will be able to sleep this WE with the short still running!
Falcothou
- 03 May 2008 19:45
- 2010 of 21973
Something for the weekend
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/amerman/2008/0502.html
bhunt1910
- 04 May 2008 23:35
- 2011 of 21973
Careful Maggie - there is a bit of a feel good factor starting to come through with some commentators starting to say the banks & Building societies have bottomed. Watch what happens with the dow tomorrow - that will be a pretty good indicator. Me - I am too chicken to keep a position open at the moment as I feel it could go either way - am only playing short term trades and trend betting
maggiebt4
- 05 May 2008 00:40
- 2012 of 21973
Thanks Bhunt for advice will be watching carefully tomorrow Have actually considered taking a long and a short with the volitility at the moment both could work. But haven't got the balls to put my money where my mouth is yet! The short's open until June will let it run hoping to get out on evens or a small loss at some stage agree it's a bit hairy at the minute. Still doing bit of short term trades hoping to minimise the loss if it doesn't go my way!
spitfire43
- 05 May 2008 07:46
- 2013 of 21973
We are on a knife edge at this time, there does seem to be optimism from press and some analylists that worst is over. For me I feel this is a suckers rally, but you can never be sure. So apart from one open short position against my long portfolio, I will just go with the trend on indices and close out before the close of play.
We may have a clearer picture towards the end of the week.
Good Luck............
BigTed
- 05 May 2008 14:22
- 2014 of 21973
Got to admit i quickly decided, after opening both CFD and SB accounts, that trading Indicies, currencies and even commodities wasn't really for me - I seem to be able to predict the markets with a fair amount of success when i hold no position, but actually its more to do with hindsight, i find it difficult to let winning positions run and far easier to let stops take me out for a loss.
I decided to open a short at 6200 and will probably let it run, if it goes against me i will probably double up at 6400, because for certain i dont think the market will just keep gaining, i will make money on any pull backs (and lets face it, there will be pull backs) to counter the loss on my current position.
On balance though, i feel we have got ahead of ourselves and a correction is due...
maggiebt4
- 05 May 2008 15:27
- 2015 of 21973
Inclined to agree B T hoping for some resistance at 6200 bu tmaybe it's wishful thinking.
Falcothou
- 05 May 2008 15:49
- 2016 of 21973
Oil nearly hitting 120 again despite dollar strength!
Toya
- 05 May 2008 17:12
- 2017 of 21973
Falcothou: according to Thomson Financial News the price of oil rose "amid investor jitters over further violence in Nigeria and potential escalation in tensions between Iran and the West."
Falcothou
- 05 May 2008 19:48
- 2018 of 21973
The West would be in big trouble if Iran refused to supply it let alone go to war. Some people suggest that Bush's remit is to renumerate oil and defense sectors and he has done a fantastic job! I don't know what percentage of oil revenue goes into defense for your average gushing tinnpot state but judging by the sabre rattling in Chavez land and everywhere else quite a lot.
Falcothou
- 05 May 2008 20:57
- 2019 of 21973
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601102&sid=aY8GpLUsUKMQ&refer=uk
bhunt1910
- 07 May 2008 09:06
- 2020 of 21973
managed to trade the dow yesterday to good effect.
Been looking at the FTSE today and it is looking toppy - tempted to short - any thoughts?