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Lloyds Bank (LLOY)     

mitzy - 10 Oct 2008 06:29

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LLOY&S

kernow - 14 Oct 2010 08:19 - 2002 of 5370

I had expected the sp to show a small rise on the job losses - evidence of driving down costs/improving intergation/synergy of the merged businesses.

ampz21 - 14 Oct 2010 11:30 - 2003 of 5370

I doubt cutting jobs will really ever have a positive effect, well especially in this economy with unemployment so high already etc...

HARRYCAT - 14 Oct 2010 13:24 - 2004 of 5370

Usually job losses does mean a leaner more efficient company, which is then reflected in profitability. Exposure to the UK mortgage market looks to be the negative weight on this stock, imo.

HARRYCAT - 19 Oct 2010 11:58 - 2005 of 5370

Comment from Morgan Stanley this morning:
"LLOYDS [U/W; PT 63p]: CFO meeting feedback - profit warning in Feb?
1) it's all about the macro and there's still a lot of uncertainty, esp with the UK spending review coming this week. LLOY continue to use 2% GDP for '11 vs our 1% and it feels like risk is to downside on their assumptions.
2) reining in some of bulls on margin, as they've extrapolated H1 performance. Also downside to '11 margins as they are relying on liability spread expansion and interest rate rises keep getting pushed out.
3) credit demand is low and getting worse - more risk to revenues. Means there could be more capital growth but with still lots of uncertainty over regulation there's no guarantee they'll be able to pay it out.
None of these problems are unique to LLOY, but it is the most crowded long, and almost all the sellside love it. It may be too early to expect any changes to guidance at tdg stmt on 2nd Nov but could be a possibility for FY results in Feb, esp if we have new management by then...stay U/Weight."

halifax - 19 Oct 2010 13:17 - 2006 of 5370

Harry pretty one sided opinion, what about all the rationalisation savings,possible sale of assets etc MS must be looking to buy in on the cheap!

smarty - 19 Oct 2010 14:51 - 2007 of 5370

Morgan Stanley are usually anti LBG.

ampz21 - 26 Oct 2010 13:24 - 2008 of 5370

Share price is very dissapointing, I thought it would at least retain its price around 70p waiting for the nov 2nd results?

halifax - 26 Oct 2010 15:59 - 2009 of 5370

maybe a big effort to "shake out" the many with long positions before the progress report coming shortly.

skinny - 26 Oct 2010 16:10 - 2010 of 5370

I don't think Lloyds has underperformed the other banks over the last 6 months.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LLOY&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BARC&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RBS&Si

halifax - 26 Oct 2010 16:17 - 2011 of 5370

skinny banks generally out of favour at present because of the uncertainty created by indecision of regulators and politicians. however Cameron & co will want to realise the huge investment in LLOY and RBS asap so unlikely banks will be heavily penalised one way or another.

skinny - 26 Oct 2010 16:22 - 2012 of 5370

Halifax - I think Osborne has already said that he is not in a hurry to realise the investment. Both LLOY and RBS have been above the required level (74 &50).

halifax - 26 Oct 2010 16:30 - 2013 of 5370

skinny Ossie will want to gradually reduce the peoples shareholding probably in tranches starting after their final results next year, in a similar way the government did with BP. years ago. There is no "required" level only a price based on performance and potential.

HARRYCAT - 26 Nov 2010 10:58 - 2014 of 5370

Back to 55p maybe? Presumably all down to their exposure to the Eire property market.

DD5 - 26 Nov 2010 13:02 - 2015 of 5370

if 55p hit, brilliant buying opp for the long term!

The Other Kevin - 26 Nov 2010 13:25 - 2016 of 5370

How long?

TANKER - 01 Dec 2010 10:21 - 2017 of 5370

lloyds sacking uk workers and now taking on more spanish managers .this a bank now run for the board only time to move our accounts.

hangon - 17 Dec 2010 22:44 - 2018 of 5370

Skinny, yr post 26 Oct2010 - could you put some flesh on the figures you quote.
What surprises me is that near-current levels would stand selling of a large block of stock.
(I looked at the LLOY sp graph, but found little to instruct me)....thanks.

HARRYCAT - 18 Dec 2010 17:28 - 2019 of 5370

W/e Ft says that LLOY are about to announce a 30% below expectations on profits due to their exposure to EIRE.

cynic - 18 Dec 2010 17:32 - 2020 of 5370

and no one but no one will believe their assertion that they have no knowledge of the pres of sudan transferring $9bn to uk a/cs at lloyds

monday looks like sell retailers and lloyds!

HARRYCAT - 19 Dec 2010 12:35 - 2021 of 5370

Correction to my previous post:
LLOY are set to announce a 50% profit fall based on market expectations due to a 4.3bn impairment charge and other charges from it's Eire book. So Y/E p/tax profits set to be approx 1.5bn instead of the expected c3.2bn.
Full article in the FT, but to summarise sentiment, "analysts were shocked at the speed at which conditions had worsened for LLOY, saying the pace of the deterioration was a surprise. Lloyds has effectively lost 1.2bn in the last month."
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