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Chaco Resources : oil & gas in South America (CHP)     

Sharesure - 28 Mar 2006 14:12

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CHP&Si______Chart.aspx?Provider%3DIntra%26Code%3DCHP

UPDATED 22/1/07

Valuation of Chaco Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on 550m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $60/barrel is 1p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved. Until oil reserves are proven the 1p/1m barrels will be discounted by the market.

Chaco Resources now has three exploration blocks in Colombia and three areas in Paraguay. The next year should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company only to also becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. All reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Alea, Colombia :

25% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Drilling of the field by the operating partner, Ecopetrol, was programmed for 2006 to provide early cash flow, but a shortage of drilling rigs, then the rainy season and increased environmental requirements have caused a re-think and it is now expected that this block will be drilled in first half 2007.The proposal to drill a step out well as part of that drilling programme will also provide the opportunity to establish if the estimate of recoverable oil should be increased. (Some estimates suggest the field contains as much as 70m barrels.)

RNS : Updated w/c 30/4//07. Drilling contract should be imminent but actual drilling unlikely to take place second half 2007.



Puerto Lopez, Colombia :

54% Interest in a field containing light sweet crude oil.On 3.10.06 CHP announced that the original TEA area had been extended by the ANH to include further territory which it is expected will greatly increase the potential to find and exploit a structure which may contain as much oil as there is believed to be in Primavera, where Hardman and Co estimate that there is a potential value of 120p per CHP share.

RNS :Updated 22/1/07. Further seismic now obtained and decision not to proceed made because closures too small to be economic and drilling funds earmarked for this project now being retained for use on a more prospective block yet to be announced



Primavera west, Colombia :

55% interest. Two shallow drills in April turned out to be dry. Areas adjacent to this block contain oil (Cana Limon, also in the Mirador basin, the largest oilfield so far, 1.8b barrels) Chaco believe that the area in their block contains the thicker end of a wedge shaped oil-bearing sandstone structure; the area to the east in the neighbouring block has been estimated as containing 400m barrels and the El Miedo oilfield, 8 kms.away has 325m barrels. ANH Contract signed w/c 8/5/06 (1 week sooner than forecast). GED are drilling their neighbouring block in February 2007; two of their targets may contain oil deriving from Chaco's area so some earlier cash flow may result.

RNS : The drilling programme has now been completed but the company has yet to say whether the block will be explored further or abandonned.

New block announced in April known as Tigra in the Magdelana Basin. CHP has a 48.75% interest. Believed to be very promising but company is doing 3-d seismic over the next 18 months with drilling projected in the following 16 months. (Timescales seem to be set to allow a lot of room for delays or speeding up if progress is easier than anticipated)



Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect partnership with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with CHP



Corporate Activity :

CHP obtained an independent evaluation of their exploration assets by Hardman and Co., during July 2006.This is updated monthly. As Chaco Resources line up their assets ready for production they may attract a bid. There are also other actions that the mgt. could take to increase the Chaco's asset share subject to negotiation since the position of the Colombian state oil company, Ecopetrol, is believed to be under review. Other actions could be taken which would have the attraction in bringing more resources to bear on a quicker timeframe plus help streamline the management of their assets. De-merging the Colombian and Paraguayan assets at an appropriate time might hold out some advantages to shareholders at some stage.
Last Placing announced at 15.1p per share on 18/5/06.
Chairman and FD bought shares 8/06 and the Chairman recently exercised his option on further shares which would suggest that he regards the share price to be going north from here on.
Updated 22/1/07.




Here are some dates for your diary courtesy of KJKelly, who posts on ADVFN

1. Curupayty - complete reprocessing of seismic by end July 06
2. Curupayty - complete interpretation of seismic by end August 06
3. Curupayty - decide whether to proceed to drilling or proceed with a farmout campaign - end September 06
4. Platanillo - commence re-entry of Alea 1 early in 1st quarter 2007
5. Primavera - two structural targets will be selected from 10 potential targets for drilling commencing Feb. 2007.
6.Hardman updates should now happen monthly.



cynic - 02 Feb 2007 08:55 - 2046 of 3674

YOO???? ...... CRA?????

tudwick - 02 Feb 2007 09:25 - 2047 of 3674

was the message this morning that Cantor Fitzgerald had bought into chaco, or have they sold out ?

razmun - 02 Feb 2007 09:34 - 2048 of 3674

bought in

robbi123 - 02 Feb 2007 09:49 - 2049 of 3674

tud - increased by 3.75m

capetown - 02 Feb 2007 09:59 - 2050 of 3674

BRING IT ON CHACO!!!!,

The increase in holding as per RNS does that explain the two 1mill buys last week + the 500thou,x3 buys?

TANKER - 02 Feb 2007 10:05 - 2051 of 3674

oil thats what it means,buy,

Oakapples142 - 02 Feb 2007 11:45 - 2052 of 3674


Oh how I agree - my portfolio is currently 83% up and I only hold speculative stocks. Its the fun I like. More serious cash is held in boring but necessary ISAs and PEPs

lizard - 02 Feb 2007 12:10 - 2053 of 3674

thought holders may want to know this is being tipped today in MoneyWeek.

robbi123 - 02 Feb 2007 12:19 - 2054 of 3674

We have been tipped.

"A professional investor tells MoneyWeek where he'd put his money now. This week: Bob Catto, investment director at Williams de Broe:

"A third promising play is Chaco Resources (CHP), a fully financed oil explorer with significant assets in Colombia and Paraguay. Chaco has strong managementbased in Bogota, where three projects will be drilled this year. The first well is due in February. The group should be in productionin 2007 and has plans to find partners for it's huge and highly prospective leases in Paraguay."

Ends

silvermede - 02 Feb 2007 14:01 - 2055 of 3674

robbi, what were the first & second choices??

robbi123 - 02 Feb 2007 14:11 - 2056 of 3674

edr and kah i believe

bodeng1 - 05 Feb 2007 10:25 - 2057 of 3674

Good start again today-can see steady progress this week.

cynic - 05 Feb 2007 11:25 - 2058 of 3674

+0.25p ain't going to buy you much Ch Petrus!

pisces - 05 Feb 2007 12:10 - 2059 of 3674

Come on cynic, at least its starting to move in the right direction, as a holder you could show a wee bit of enthusiasm!

cynic - 05 Feb 2007 12:18 - 2060 of 3674

i shall be enthusiastic when CHP can show more than just (arguable) potential - e.g. evidence of a commercial find

steveo - 05 Feb 2007 13:06 - 2061 of 3674

gaining momentum now, expect alot more interest in the next 10 days, wouldn't be surprised to see 16p again soon, prior to news.

lizard - 05 Feb 2007 13:16 - 2062 of 3674

steveo- is a deal expected shortly also?. another license?.

Greyhound - 05 Feb 2007 13:30 - 2063 of 3674

Yes, "we are currently in the final stages of negotiating such an opportunity and expect this to be finalised and announced in a few weeks' time" - from 18/1

Price getting pressured more now

alfred palfred - 05 Feb 2007 13:36 - 2064 of 3674

cynic

Of course, once they have evidence of a commercial find, the price will be significantly higher. That is why cahco are such a good bet today. Chances of a commercial find are very strong - but until it happens will not be factored in the share price.

There are no prizes for predicting normal weather.

Alfred

cynic - 05 Feb 2007 13:57 - 2065 of 3674

anyone laying odds that "Chances of a commercial find are very strong" ..... with first well or 5th or 10th?
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