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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

banjomick - 15 Jun 2005 23:58 - 205 of 1497

whoops,i'll look into it further (been in for nearly 2years)-lol

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 00:02 - 206 of 1497

lol - that would have been earth shattering news, though I think that "williedoc" would have got there before us.

banjomick - 16 Jun 2005 00:07 - 207 of 1497

well they shouldn't have had the same initials as used for medtronic....get out clause-lol.night and hope for news soon.

smudge1004 - 16 Jun 2005 09:33 - 208 of 1497

where is everyone?? up another 10% so far

jnknill - 16 Jun 2005 09:38 - 209 of 1497

smudge. Can we assume anything OR too early? Rgds.

petralva - 16 Jun 2005 09:41 - 210 of 1497

lets hope we can stay above 11p.and consolidate from there.

smudge1004 - 16 Jun 2005 09:45 - 211 of 1497

jnknill, I think what we are seeing is a change of sentiment towards mdw and the potential of there products, have you read the link on advfn posted by willydoctor? about the psawatch, potential for this product alone is massive, I tried to put some figures down but gave up a)because I have no idea how many sticks and readers would sell worldwide and b)potentially it ran in to 10s of millions of revenue and I would rather someone with urology experience give it a go

mg - 16 Jun 2005 09:48 - 212 of 1497

petralva
11p is IMHO a first watershed. The next has to be its previous high in 2004 of around 14/15.

However, wouldn't it be nice to get back to where it was in 2001 ;))))

graph.php?startDate=16%2F06%2F00&period=

jnknill - 16 Jun 2005 10:39 - 213 of 1497

smudge, I have read & re-read the link, a great print by wd, to be honest I cannot believe the potential upside for MDW & not surprised that you are side-stepping on the "possible gain factor"! Suffice to say IMO that I,ve not been so excited by a stock for many months. Rgds.

smudge1004 - 16 Jun 2005 10:45 - 214 of 1497

jnknill, me neither, cannot wait for confirmation

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 12:58 - 215 of 1497

Starting to fulfill our expectations. Lost for words for a change!

pth

andysmith - 16 Jun 2005 13:07 - 216 of 1497

What is the realistic sp target? Will <10p or <12p matter in a few months?

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 13:17 - 217 of 1497

andys

Personally, I am at a loss to make any sort of caluclation as to what sort of SP we will be looking at. The wotsit stick and other stuff in the pipeline, China, Medtronic etc makes any rational guess impossible. We need some news from MDW to give us a steer. However, if it keeps going up, I don't give a shit!!

pth

andysmith - 16 Jun 2005 13:22 - 218 of 1497

I know what you mean, being in packaging I can guess the ludicrous potential earnings of SEO and know the sp has along way to go but am at a loss with MDW other than the potential also seems massive. Trying to justify in my mind potentially having to top up at 12-13p next week now the buggers have pushed it back up from 9.5p yesterday!!! Stupid question really, just top-up Smithy!!

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 15:13 - 219 of 1497

Looking good again guys!

mg is right to post the long term chart - I seriously believe that MDW is going back up to the heady price levels of 2001 settling around the 1-1.20 mark.

It will take a bit of time to see the profits flowing in, though I think we'll be looking at around 2 years to seal a 10-bagger from here, based on the massive potential for PSAWatch and the global deals being set up.

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 16:17 - 220 of 1497

just need another nudge to get over the 11p resistance and next stop will be 14p.

Blue sky after that!

pth

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 16:24 - 221 of 1497

pth - any further rumours that the US deal is in the bag will take us over 14p.

Of course, any official news will light the blue touchpaper.

We got to 14p before on just the announcement of FDA approval for the US.

Interestingly - if the price jumped that much with FDA approval for the US (without a distribution deal), I wonder how the market will see announcement of SDA approval for China and Hong Kong (where the distribution deals are already set up and raring to go!).

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 16:35 - 222 of 1497

A nice 250K buy after the bell...

mg - 17 Jun 2005 00:02 - 223 of 1497

Highest volume for a while. Investors Chronicle tip in the morning perhaps - or even some weekend press. Not that I would possibly suggest any leakage - pun intended ;)

scotinvestor - 17 Jun 2005 08:22 - 224 of 1497

IC tip.

Aw no.

Not that please. IC and shares mag are both garbage. And i'm trying to be polite.

Its only for people who cant be bothered doing any research.

Honestly, these 2 mags couldnt tip rubbish
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