zarif
- 09 Sep 2003 06:09
how do you see the dow index going today
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zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 13:06
- 2081 of 2279
Afternoon all:
The durable orders numbers out at 13.30 and beige book results at 19.00.
What are my views for the market today?
I am of the opinion that it will possibly reach 10100-10150 max and then slip down but not markedly.Play around a range in middle ground -remember it is still in a down trend and i feel if it reaches say 10240 than the view should change.So in a nutshell looking for a high near the beginning session with a pullback -but this pull back will not be anything dramatic and a fairly quiet day.
This is my view yours may be different.It takes two views to make a market work.
rgds
zarif
ps: Someone told me once that to trade the markets sometimes you have to think like a crook as you are pitting your wits against master thieves. So it doesnot matter what we think BUT what they are thinking.!!!!!!!
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 14:32
- 2082 of 2279
ym auction now open:
Managed a few scalps on the cable.
Just watching atm.
Durable figures were not brilliant and USD gave a bit of way and gold went up a bit.
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 15:47
- 2083 of 2279
Took out a small short dow at 10095 and closed it just for 56pt profit.
Now back to watching the screen I think will probably have a low point around 11.35-11.55pm their time so 4.35-4.55gmt.
Dollar rises so Equities lose a bit generally but does not work totally.
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 17:32
- 2084 of 2279
Another short just locked in and 39pts in credit.
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 18:11
- 2085 of 2279
Beige book results out at 19.00hrs. I have this gut feeling that they could be a killer in that either bad or good and so the safest thing to do by following my instinct is Stay in cash closed all and going to watch from the fence and if then the game is good then jump in.
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 20:37
- 2086 of 2279
Took out a long earlier at 10020 and am 100pts in credit -just going to close it as dinner is ready and the kids are playing havoc.
Enough for today -good day. The only downside is the cable is still a bit negative -then again is for medium term so not worried.
zarif
- 28 Jul 2004 20:44
- 2087 of 2279
Earlier today before the market opened I said that the max the market will reach is say 10150 it just touched that.May be should have held my long for a bit more time but better to have cah in hand rather than slip away.
zarif
- 29 Jul 2004 10:52
- 2088 of 2279
morning all.
ttt
zarif
- 29 Jul 2004 11:58
- 2089 of 2279
Hi everybody:
Just my feelings for today. I think we will have higher prices today and possibly 10170-10200 area if it gets that far. Chances are it will decline a bit in the beginning and than work its way up.Also beware of the reesults coming out today. Intraday longs are fine but my geneeral tact is that its still bearish and Like a Lull between the storms and waiting for a Tsunami to come just when we start getting comfortable.If it goes down i think it will go down hard and i would envisage in the next week or so.These are just my inner feelings and best to play carefully as it can seriously hit your Wallet.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 29 Jul 2004 14:40
- 2090 of 2279
Ym market is open lets see what it throws at us.
The cable is being pested by greenback and broke the 1.8100 level earlier on. I have taken a long from 1.8085 lets see what happens.
Melnibone
- 29 Jul 2004 15:12
- 2091 of 2279
Dow/S&P/Ndx are having trouble getting over 10150/1100/1400.
These levels are key, IMHO. If they don't manage it then the
Eurozone will go into a bout of profit taking.
Eurozone has two back to back gap open higher days to fill.
Melnibone.
zarif
- 29 Jul 2004 16:16
- 2092 of 2279
Hi melnibone -nice to have u back after the flooring and giving your knees and elbow rest.After that jigsaw I am sure you can suss any market.
My views are exactly as yours and Spx has to get over 1108 and stay there to make us change our views.
The cable long from 1.8100 closed at 1.8202 so happy with it.
rgds
zarif
Harlosh
- 29 Jul 2004 18:11
- 2093 of 2279
Hi Zarif,
We still haven't spoken. Did you get my email with my phone number etc?
Hope you are well.
zarif
- 29 Jul 2004 19:19
- 2094 of 2279
Yes Harlosh,
I got your email ant telephone number will ring you tomorrow as i am just about to go out
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 30 Jul 2004 14:11
- 2095 of 2279
Ym opens in abou half an hour.
It tanked down a bit when the news about the american/israeli embassy bombing in tashken.
Also the GdP didnot excite.
Remember its End Of Month day so they shall be cooking the books make sure you dont get put in the broth.!!!!
GEnerally i feel POP and DRop or DRop and POP but am vary to take these mini rallies to heart -best to scalp in and out and maintain the shorts strong unless and until the picture changes.
zarif
- 30 Jul 2004 14:31
- 2096 of 2279
ding ding:
Ym open
The casino is on and remember dont let the house win and russian roulette!!!
Harlosh
- 30 Jul 2004 14:35
- 2097 of 2279
Good luck for today Zarif.
zarif
- 30 Jul 2004 16:50
- 2098 of 2279
Thanks Harlosh:
Will ring you today after the close.
Just doing some scalping on the dow and long cable has paid very well today.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 02 Aug 2004 14:09
- 2099 of 2279
afternoon all:
Ym auction starts in 25mins:
Results out today at 10.00 et. Also Al qayida threats flying about. So what can we expect from this -logically would be a doji day -but my gut instinct says that it may either rally or go splat.
Trade what you see and not what u feel
If in doubt stay out as we are at crucial levels and let the market decide your actions.
Melnibone
- 02 Aug 2004 18:49
- 2100 of 2279
DOW making new daily high and trying to break through the top
of Thur/Fri trading range.
If it goes much higher it may start off a Bear squeeze.
S&P attacking the 200Ma.
Melnibone