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stanelco .......a new thread (SEO)     

bosley - 20 Feb 2004 09:34

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SEO&Si

for more information about stanelco click on the links.

driver's research page link
http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=7681#lastread
website link
http://www.stanelco.co.uk/index.htm


stockdog - 05 Oct 2006 11:17 - 20816 of 27111

Well, I'm going to wait for the financing and the announcement of contracts before investing further. Great good luck to Alan who may make a 10% profit on his x,000 investment. But the absolute gain is not worth the relative risk. The overhang of shares issued at 0.8p will only be removed by contract and profit news. So I'll lose out the first few 10% or so of gain, but it will be a sounder investment for all that.

sd

oblomov - 05 Oct 2006 11:20 - 20817 of 27111


Quick calculation - could this be raising 7.4m approx? Am I a total clown or doesn't this mean (allowing for SEOspeak) 0.08p per issued share?

stockdog - 05 Oct 2006 11:24 - 20818 of 27111

It means 0.8p per share to be issued.

Confidant - 05 Oct 2006 11:24 - 20819 of 27111

0.8p

Confidant - 05 Oct 2006 11:26 - 20820 of 27111

i still can't work out who would be selling on this news given that if the share was held the holder must have given up the ghost already and written off what investment was left. So why does this announcement spur selling unless its from the guys who are going to buy at 0.8p?

soul traders - 05 Oct 2006 11:31 - 20821 of 27111

Morning all.

Good bit of argument, Stockdog; it doesn't hurt to play safe.

I thought it was unhelpful to say the least that SEO management did not publish any indication of the size of the placing in today's RNS.

However, it seems that the co's financial future is looking safer and rumours of its imminent demise are greatly exaggerated. We hope.

A thought about dilution. If SEO is really raising a full 15 mil as per recent speculation, they'd need to issue 1,875 million new shares, to add to the approx 1,000 million currently in issue. That's 2,875 million total.

If T&G's prediction of a profit of 1.3 million for 2007 comes true, and the SP sticks at 1p, you'd have a mkt cap of 28.75 mil and a PE of 22.1.

Or at the placing price of 0.8p per share, a PE of 17.7.

I'm inclined to wonder if there will be a sell-off and further price fall after the fundraising. I suspect much will depend upon
a.) the size of the fundraising and resultant dilution: their impact upon a fickle market;
b.) the size of the contracts being negotiated;
c.) whether further contracts are likely to follow within a reasonable timeframe or if we return to the uphill struggle that has characterised the past several months.

FWIW - Along with some others on this thread, I'm beginning to think that the management could also do with an infusion of fresh blood.

All IMO, just thinking out loud. Good luck to all who are holding.

kimoldfield - 05 Oct 2006 11:39 - 20822 of 27111

Steady as she goes chaps. 2/3 weeks will see a resurgent Stanelco..............or a glum looking Official Receiver. I fancy the former and unless there is an iceberg in the way, we will sail into a beautiful sunrise.
kim

kimoldfield - 05 Oct 2006 11:40 - 20823 of 27111

Could be a Greensealed iceberg lettuce of course.
kim

stockdog - 05 Oct 2006 11:42 - 20824 of 27111

Soul Traders - a post in a thousand, it actually offers some constructive analysis of the facts. To extend your maths a little . .

Say there were further contracts and the business took off a little as we'd all hoped, could it grow EPS by 30% p.a. for the next couple of years to qualify it as a growth stock on PEG grounds? It could easily grow by 100% then 50% pa with profits going to 3.4m and then 5.1m and thereafter by 35%, 25% and 15% p.a over the next 3 years to a profit of 9.9m for a 5 year PE of 2.9.

If at that time a proven growth company might be expected to be fair value on a PE of say 15. Then the SP should rise by a factor of 15/2.9 = 5 tims todays price which over 5 years is not at all bad.

Dreeeeaaaammmmm, dreeeeaaaammmm, dreeaamm, tra la la . . .

sd

Tonyrelaxes - 05 Oct 2006 11:47 - 20825 of 27111

It's back to yesterdays discussion. Only 248,906,128 shares available to be issued. These can be used NOW in a Placing but at .8p that produces less than 2m.

They must have more in mind which, if it involves more shares, rights issues, further placing etc will invariably mean obtaining Shareholder approval at an EGM at the end of the month at the earliest.

Facing us Shareholders. This cannot be a thrilling prospect for the Board.
But it gives us an opportunity to blow off steam.

What about a proposal for a change in the Board? Any ideas?

Bugz - 05 Oct 2006 11:48 - 20826 of 27111

Been a while gents.

I'll ditto SD's views-Also picked up the 15 Mill figure from rumours. I think we'll see slightly positive trading when its announced but maybe only around 1.5p-2p level. I think we'll be seeing some changes in the near future at SEO.

Bugz - 05 Oct 2006 11:50 - 20827 of 27111

Tony,

Board changes are def on the cards I would have thought-maybe some of the big guns will take a chop.......

soul traders - 05 Oct 2006 11:51 - 20828 of 27111

SD - not a bad piece of maths on your part, too, but I think I'd prefer to invest in SOLA which is shaping up for a three-bagger within a couple of years and maybe a small punt on AAU or RET which (to my peculiar way of thinking) offer all of the thrills of SEO and less of the downside.

Am still considering a punt on SEO, but everything has to fit and I need to find enough cash down the back of the sofa to pay for a stake.

I still think SEO would need to change the management in order to be able to persuade me that they can produce sustained growth. Their failure to mention the size of the fundraising in today's RNS just underlines to me that they don't have much clue about communicating with shareholders, in addition to all their other fumbles, and that makes me nervous about holding the stock.

dawall - 05 Oct 2006 11:56 - 20829 of 27111

Tonyrelaxes if I had the time I would certainly be doing a lot more to remove most of the SEO board starting with Warner. What they need to do now is come clean on all developments and progress, Greenseal, Starpol, ciggy filters etc. What we need to know is what is in the contracts they have been harping on about for the last 2 months. If it is anything other than substantial I think they (and us) are all f'---ed anyway.

We need to know the truth re. ASDA & Greenseal and Starpol, who is taking it up and when.

stockdog - 05 Oct 2006 11:57 - 20830 of 27111

I've learnt a lesson from SEO and my new policy is not to go overweight in my portfolio on any one share unless it is a) already profitable and b) growing fast enough.

Not sure about SOLA but like/am in RCG.

As to board changes, I am increassingly suspicious of the emotional values Howard White must bring to management - he is major beneficiary of Age of Reason holding, takes no salary and runs US. Sounds like the whole IP venture could have been his initiative way back (complete guess) and, quite likely he acts like a force of nature (no criticism implied) and confuses his financial interests with good management (criticism implied).

Needs a really good professional CEO and FD to plan 3-5 years a head and WATCH THE CASHFLOW which is the most common cause of new fast growing businesses failing.

sd

soul traders - 05 Oct 2006 12:03 - 20831 of 27111

SD, I agree your last line in particular - it could be that the sound of heads rolling does more to cheer the SP than anything else.

It's almost worth buying a few shares on certificate in order to be able to attend the EGM/AGM and just watch what happens. I'll make sure I turn up in a suit (of Kevlar riot gear!).

hlyeo98 - 05 Oct 2006 12:06 - 20832 of 27111

SEO was a hype-up share especially by Shares magazine initially when it was 15p. Nowadays I don't quite trust the articles in Shares magazine as I been caught by their advice several times!

pinnacle - 05 Oct 2006 12:21 - 20833 of 27111

The shares magazine article today on Stanelco is the worst I have seen on a company for many a year and has upset me greatly.

In my opinion they seem to have an agenda against the company!

tweenie - 05 Oct 2006 12:23 - 20834 of 27111

So is that it...
are the dreams of a 1 party within 3 years gone?

driver - 05 Oct 2006 12:24 - 20835 of 27111

hlyeo98
If all had gone to plan then 15p would have been cheap, at a 1p it could go either way for what its worth I think it, we will survive to see better days from SEO onward and upwards, Ive said that some where before?
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