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PORTFOLIO 69 (69)     

Juzzle - 23 Jul 2017 10:51

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=SPSY&Si

Share prices are all shown in pence. A website link for each company is given below. This is primarily a reference thread for myself. Discussion of an individual stock should ideally take place on its own existing discussion thread please, where its followers can readily find it.

The stocks displayed here are not recommendations - merely ones that I have chosen to run with. Most have already risen precariously, and some may collapse.

This is an aggressive portfolio being constructed between 10 July and 30 July 2017. On 10 July it comprised small stakes in four stocks I already owned (SOM,RST,TPF,ANII) representing in total 8.6%, and 91.4% cash. Stakes in those four were increased and a dozen other stocks bought. By 24 July, 65% stocks, 35% cash. Mostly held within a stockdealing ISA. The cash element is not earning interest; it will at times be used to temporarily boost stakes in one or other of the stocks or to buy another. I pay an ISA fee of £5 per quarter in total, and a brokerage fee of £9.90 per trade..

Initially I aim to run it for 5 months till 31 Dec 2017, by when I am hoping to be up 15%. This portfolio was funded by proceeds from the sale of a flat, the rent from which was generating 7%pa. The aim is to convincingly better that return. At 31 December I shall consider withdrawing a sum equivalent to what would have been 5 months rent, and to possibly do the same each six months thereafter (though I shall reassess that plan at Dec 31). Stocks that fail to maintain good performance will be reduced or ditched along the way (can't afford passengers) a few others might be bought. Fast ones that get too big might be topsliced to keep the portfolio in balance. I expect the initial setting up costs (brokerage fees on 16 stocks, and buy/sell price spreads of up to 4%) to be a drag on overall valuation in the opening weeks.



##################################################
PORTFOLIO 69 ENDS AT POST 191, DETAILING A GAIN OF 79.64% BETWEEN
JULY AND END-OF-2017. PART OF THE TOTAL HAS BEEN CASHED IN AND
WITHDRAWN. THE START OF PORTFOLIO 70, RUNNING 3 MONTHS FROM
START OF 2018, IS DETAILED IN POST 192
##################################################

cynic - 08 Aug 2017 08:51 - 21 of 222

FEVR
i have no intention at all of encashing any of these
i have now tripled my money in certainly less than a year, and made other profits when i traded it in earlier times


IQE
this has been another cracker and this has now doubled since i bought (6 months ago?)


BOO
my 3rd star performer whose value has more than doubled since the end of last year

Juzzle - 08 Aug 2017 09:10 - 22 of 222

Reduced my COA stake for now.

Portfolio is 30% cash at the moment - but some of that will go into topping up stakes.

Juzzle - 08 Aug 2017 09:56 - 23 of 222

Placed a limit order for a small stake in Horizon Discovery (HZD). (executed)

Juzzle - 08 Aug 2017 13:55 - 24 of 222

Reduced my stake in Ideagen by two-thirds for now (IDEA)

Juzzle - 08 Aug 2017 14:41 - 25 of 222

Wandisco (WAND) results due 4 weeks tomorrow (6 September)

cynic - 08 Aug 2017 14:59 - 26 of 222

WAND, like QXT, has seemingly much potential, but both are illiquid and nearly always with wide spreads
fine to hold, but potentially dangerous to trade

Juzzle - 08 Aug 2017 16:46 - 27 of 222

Yep.

H1 Results for QXT are due 21 September. I did look at this one when first setting up this portfolio but didn't buy. Can't recall what dissuaded me - but can't have been much or I wouldn't have added it to my 'Next?' watchlist for further consideration.

PS: Dates that I've been mentioning for results/updates etc are scattered among the above posts. Methinks I might pull them together in the header or with link from header.

Juzzle - 09 Aug 2017 10:30 - 28 of 222

LTG H1 Results due 18 Sept

Juzzle - 10 Aug 2017 10:41 - 29 of 222

A big reshuffle this morning; I have sold all remaining shares in Coats (COA), Aberdeen New India Investment Trust (ANII), Ideagen (IDEA), Learning Technology Group (LTG), Gamma Communications (GAMA), and DotDigital (DOTD). Charts and web links will be removed from header shortly. On three of those I made a loss. They are all companies that I would still consider worth holding within some other portfolio, but not in this one. Proceeds have partly been used to lift stakes in other holdings. No new stocks added.

Holding 11 stocks now, ten of which are in profit, one small holding is 4.3% below breakeven. My biggest holding now is in IQE (IQE). Smallest is North Midland Construction (NMD).
Cash element is now 21% of the portfolio, stocks 79%.

If anyone spots another stock which matches the type that I favour, please let me know and I'll have a butchers.

Juzzle - 10 Aug 2017 13:03 - 30 of 222

Much of the surge in the price of relatively small welsh company IQE is based on its wafers being a component, of a component, of the soon-to-be-announced Apple iPhone-8. If that turns out to be untrue - or if IQE involvement turns out to be smaller than expected - the price will surely dive bigtime. So it's a gamble. The upside if rumoured involvement is confirmed, is likely to be even more dramatic than the price rise already seen. Huge upside prospect; huge downside risk. With the share price already up more than fourfold in a year, a heck of a lot of expectation is already priced in.

IQE's half-year Results are out at 7am on September 5, with a presentation to analysts scheduled the same morning. If Apple do launch the iPhone-8 as early as September it could be much later in the month. IQE will not be at liberty to disclose anything about it ahead of Apple's own announcement. At that presentation they will be quizzed - and much will depend on how they sidestep the Apple questions without body language giving away anything at all ;-)

skinny - 10 Aug 2017 15:40 - 31 of 222

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRZh6p73ipcAJPBriBw_R9

Juzzle - 11 Aug 2017 09:25 - 32 of 222

A few flickers of blue. But red ink dominant this morning with USA-Korea tensions being the main quoted excuse. My stocks are tightly stretched ones, so I expect them to twang back a bit at times like this. Two blue, two green, eight red at the moment.

Juzzle - 11 Aug 2017 17:45 - 33 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-UPDATE
....... Friday 11 August

....... Portfolio up 4.8%


Down a tad this week. But still up 4.8% on the July start a month ago, which is plenty good enough for now, especially as some of my stocks have only been in the portfolio 2 weeks or so. I am content to be ahead at all this early. This week's 20% rise at IQE compensated for some of the market slippage on others yesterday and today.

cynic - 11 Aug 2017 18:17 - 34 of 222

having been short DAX, i banked nearly all that profit during the day and am now long overall as i am hoping that as the lunatics are put back in their respective boxes, there will be at least a sharp relief rally

Chris Carson - 11 Aug 2017 21:17 - 35 of 222

Wouldn't count on that cyners, if it's going up buy it, if it's going down sell it. Have a small short UKX and against the odds long SL. and ADN for Monday with tight stops on all three. Who knows what mayham could or will occur over the weekend. :0)

Juzzle - 14 Aug 2017 08:02 - 36 of 222

Nice Half-year Results from Taliesin Property Fund (TPF) this morning. Despite the welsh name their property activities are almost all in Berlin. One of my longest running holdings. See http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=5625070

Juzzle - 14 Aug 2017 10:19 - 37 of 222

Even before this morning's further rise, south Wales based IQE had already become the biggest holding in this portfolio. Normally I would 'topslice' holdings to maintain a balanced portfolio, spreading the proceeds across other strong runners or keeping as cash awhile. At present I am running IQE without pruning it. So here is an explanation of what it is they do (lifted from last year's Results statement):

1. INDUSTRY BACKGROUND

Integrated circuits or "chips" are the critical components which lie at
the heart of all electronic devices. These chips are primarily
fabricated using silicon. Silicon is an abundant semiconducting element
which has enabled the Silicon chip market to grow to over $350 billion
pa. However, as a material, silicon has fundamental limitations in its
properties.

There is a range of other semiconducting elements which have much more
advanced properties than silicon. Compound semiconductors refers to the
technology of combining these other semiconducting elements to create
materials which overcome the inherent performance limitations of
silicon. This enables chip companies to produce compound semiconductor
chips which achieve functionality that silicon chips just cannot match.
Indeed, the wireless communications revolution, fibre optic
communication (the internet), and LED lighting would not be possible
without compound semiconductors.

2. OVERVIEW OF IQE

IQE designs and fabricates compound semiconductor wafers. It generates
its revenues primarily from selling bespoke wafers to its customers, who
in turn fabricate these wafers into compound semiconductor chips such as
wireless communication chips, laser devices, or advanced sensors. IQE is
also now leveraging its powerful IP portfolio to generate revenues from
licensing activities.

IQE differentiates itself from its competitors through technology
leadership, economies of scale, and dual site manufacturing for security
of supply. This has enabled IQE to develop a strong leadership position,
where it is recognised globally as the market leader, with an estimated
55% share of the wireless market and an unparalleled breadth of
materials technologies.

IQE has developed a market facing organisational structure, based around
its 6 key markets: Wireless, Photonics, Infrared, Solar, Power, and
CMOS++.

---------------------------------------------

The share price has multiplied more than sixfold in the past year or so.

cynic - 14 Aug 2017 20:48 - 38 of 222

#34 proved to be a very good call indeed :-)

Juzzle - 15 Aug 2017 08:44 - 39 of 222

Of my 11 current holdings, ten are in profit and one (HZD, my smallest holding) is still in the red. Cash is currently 7% of portfolio, holdings 93%.

Juzzle - 18 Aug 2017 17:22 - 40 of 222

....... END-OF-WEEK-SUMMARY
....... Friday 18 August 2017

....... Portfolio up 3.67% since start


Tech stocks - including mine - have taken a bashing yesterday and today. And the worst of them has been my biggest one! Portfolio performance overall is down this week; now 3.67% above where it started. I did cash in the majority of my holding in Keywords (KWS) but will likely buy back sometime.

Somero (SOM) is a US company whose share price rose strongly in the past six months in anticipation of a surge in construction work. But Mr Trump has not delivered on that. Which might explain why it is dropping.
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