overgrowth
- 09 Feb 2005 20:52
Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting
in the middle of a goldmine!
This company through
their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full
advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year.
Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies
and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund
placements on behalf of the companies they represent.
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On first sight, the
fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector
makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because
it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think
again!
DGT bring new companies
to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated"
on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company
is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk
of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies
must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring
income).
Because DGT also act
as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging
placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In
addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work,
they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may
need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash
to speed growth.
Current NOMADships:
28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000
per year)
Current on-going Brokerage
agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)
For flotations, depending
on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000
to 100,000+
For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12%
of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M
though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000
!
These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances
and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk
of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back
to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket.
Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge
and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another
healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation
means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for
years, with DGT having to do very little.
New clients gained in 2005 are:
Mediazest
(NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million
Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M
Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal
Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring
Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of
Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e
Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer
Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics
Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
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corehard
- 02 Mar 2006 09:55
- 2102 of 2787
Consistent buys since 9am.....
EWRobson
- 02 Mar 2006 12:47
- 2103 of 2787
sd Just been going through your numbers, a real pedigree job! 2006 will almost certainly see an increase in overhead to cover business development or, rather, cost at corporate level. I suspect they will leave CFA to do the advisory work and use a separate entity for broker oriented raising of funds. Nevertheless that is investment in the future and should justify a higher pe. From the report and bearing in mind RIL this development has to happen.
I think the announcement was one new fee-earner or is there a second person on the web-site. They will certainly need the extra resource. 50% increase of earners ties in with 50% increase in sales. Your average transaction value is cautious as you would expect the average to rise as they increase in credibility.
I'll wait to see whether Shares give a good write-up before writing (PTH is away). It may get on their radar this time. If not, I will want to know why!
Keep up the good work; sorry, play for a hound.
Eric
stockdog
- 02 Mar 2006 12:55
- 2104 of 2787
Results say 2 new execs taken on since start of year.
Transaction fee per client is cautious, but it's only an average - some clients will have no transactiosn in a year of course - the mean actual fee may be twice this.
great progress this morning on the SP! - now represetns 20% of my portfolio - take profits at 25%???
sd
EWRobson
- 02 Mar 2006 13:03
- 2105 of 2787
Thanks, sd, missed the point re 2 execs; measure of their confidence and supports your projections. Wouldn't take profits yet; where can you find such a sure fire winner? Having a super run with CFDs on AZM (have another look, please) and ASC but, given DGT is a direct investment, its 'top dog'. OK, perhaps sell a few at 1p but mustn't drop below a million!
Eric
stockdog
- 02 Mar 2006 13:07
- 2106 of 2787
Eric
I have to remember it was you put me onto DGT - thanks. I love being able to track it's figures - even if I'm always wrong!, lol.
Already in ASC and SEO big time - no spare funds for AZM, so can you short it for me for a while to keep the SP within range for when I dare sell anything, please!
Any sign of TR adding - or does he get enough via a share scheme?
sd
EWRobson
- 02 Mar 2006 13:11
- 2107 of 2787
Can't hold back the AZM tidal wave; too much momentum. But I would hold DGT rather than switch if that is the option. Suspect TR took half the bonuses himself, and why not? So wouldn't be surprised if he topped up with the odd 10 million shares. How many would be 'enough'? I don't have enough. I remember recommending 3 fictitious shares to you and then gave you dgt, CFP then, as a compensating bone. Glad you have had such a good chew and your analysis is invaluable.
Eric
markusantonius
- 02 Mar 2006 13:23
- 2108 of 2787
Interesting that sells slightly > buys ATM yet the sp stays high today. There will obviously be some sellers today after recent hikes but yes the future looks rosy. Eric/Stockdog - excellent posts, guys!!
markusantonius
- 02 Mar 2006 17:32
- 2109 of 2787
Mmmhh..... 10.7 buys : 12.8 sells at Close yet we are still +10%..... so all bodes well indeed.....
:o)
stockdog
- 02 Mar 2006 19:03
- 2110 of 2787
marcus - wouldn't be surprised of that 1,250,000 T trade at 78p was placed first thing this morning (by TR? - it's his sort of figure from history) before the SP got going - in which case it could well be a buy.
That would make it 11.95 buys to 11.55 sells - tips the odds a little.
Hope we make it up through 85p tomorrow to end the week above the last high. I guess there'll be a number of profit takers still to wash through at this level.
Needless to say, I'm holding for even better things.
sd
EWRobson
- 02 Mar 2006 20:40
- 2111 of 2787
sd: 85p is a tad optimistic! Or have you pre-determined the 100 for 1 scrip? Your figures demand an sp of 1p on this run and feel in my waters that this will happen. You dogs understand all about waters, accustomed as you are to leg cocking! We've even got markus into a hold position (nothing to do with the leg) which is quite something. The other point about the market is that the steady upward pressure today suggests that the MMs are still working significant buy orders.
Eric
Global Nomad
- 03 Mar 2006 09:03
- 2112 of 2787
virtually all buys (1m+) this first hour but no movement in price...
Paulo2
- 03 Mar 2006 09:18
- 2113 of 2787
sd, golden cross looking more likely?
stockdog
- 03 Mar 2006 11:05
- 2114 of 2787
Paulo - I said some time ago that this Friday was possible but not probable and that next Firday was highly likely. Well it will happen on Wednesday next week if the SP sustains .84p or thereabouts until then. (Subtract days 48 (0.44) 49(0.42) and 50 (0.43) ago, add 3 X .84p and divide by 50 = 0.0246. Add this to today's 50dma (0.54) and you get 0.5646, just a tad above the 200dma (or more likely bang on it by Wednesday's crossing point).
With both 50dma and 200dma moving upwards this is a nice positive chart signal - could bring in those that follow these runes to add to recent buyers. If we do not drop back from 0.84 by end of today, next week will bring more advance I reckon - it's very positive to have no retracement from the initial flurry after results.
sd
EWRobson
- 03 Mar 2006 13:09
- 2115 of 2787
It could well be significant that the share cap. has moved above 5m. This could bring it on to a few more radar screens, including fund managers specialising in AIM. Really, the share cap. should not be less than 10M given the earnings growth, diversification opportunities and cash in hand. The golden cross will help. Wonder if there is another nugget on the market like DGT?
Eric
stockdog
- 03 Mar 2006 13:25
- 2116 of 2787
Eric
One thought to explain relativ lack of institutional interest is the NMS - 100,000 - worth 840! How can you get a decent volume and more importantly be assured of selling in a hurry if you (we come to that!) need to. NMS should be at least 250,000 = 2,100.
Also the spread is a killer - still up at 9.5% even with a good two way market going.
A share consolidation 1 for 100 and a realistic NMS would sort this out and bring this share within reach of many more investors.
sd
EWRobson
- 03 Mar 2006 14:01
- 2117 of 2787
Agree with you as usual, oh WASOD (wise and sagacious old dog). Interesting that the spread is currently 0.05p or 5% (lowest offer less highest bid) although each of the individual MMs has a spread of 0.1p. This is clearly a deterrent: very nice sitting with a good paper profit but I wouldn't like to have to dispose of it quickly. I've noticed that, when there is a big seller about, you can pick up decent quantities; I remember sitting in my condo. in Whistler and picked up 3.5 million shares in no time at around 0.3p (when Shaw was selling his stake); stupidly didn't hold on to them. But I don't think that will happen again. But RIL could well be back for more so some decent buyers should make them easier to sell. A lot of 100K sells have gone through, so the poor blighter, apart from being foolish enough to sell, is having to pay commission on 800 parcels. Poor sucker! Obviously not a follower of this thread!
Eric
stockdog
- 03 Mar 2006 15:58
- 2118 of 2787
I might write to TR suggesting he talks to their house broker (EVO?) to sort out the NMS and spread - so that DGT becomes the perfect PI's share to invest in. Performance and Structure all in one.
sd
markusantonius
- 03 Mar 2006 16:46
- 2119 of 2787
Good posts again, Eric and SD - I second the above motions!!
stockdog
- 05 Mar 2006 12:10
- 2120 of 2787
I've written a letter to TR today asking if he has any influence over increassing NMS to nearer 250,000 and reducing the spread to no more than 5%. I'll let you know what transpires.
sd
Paulo2
- 06 Mar 2006 07:28
- 2121 of 2787
sd, I've just been talking to a much respected chartist over on advfn called fingers. He suggested that if you actually look at the WMAs, a golden cross occured on February 24. He also said something about a W formation possibly occuring which could see the SP rise to 1.375p short-term if we can just get over the psychologocal 1p barrier. Any thoughts?