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Noticed my name mentioned so thought I would add a few thoughts.
1. The SP has broken through the orignal downtrend (green dashed line) and when (if) there is a pull back this may provide support.
2. The recent push through 500p has created a new downtrend res line. If it does go up keep an eye on this, a breakout should signal a conitnuation of the recent uptrend.
3. If the SP falls watch the latest uptrend support line, if it falls through 4 with any momentum I can see $3 on the cards.
4. Looking at the MACD, the push through 5 created negative divergence on this indicator and from this alone I would expect any rise back to 5 is unsustainable and a shorting opportunity, unless of course it can break out.
5. Looking at the RSI, there is again a res line (falling) which may 'trap' any rise, but also some support.
6. Both the chart and the indicators are tying in quite nicely and any move up or down will be reflected in all at the same time, couldn't ask for much better confirmation however you look at it. Volumes are also quite small and have been for a while, another reason to think that the uptrend is not supported.
Personally I think it's a short with a stop slightly above 5, although it may just be a tad early to get the best entry.
pth