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Mediwatch - Watch them rocket in 2005 !!! (MDW)     

overgrowth - 12 May 2005 22:21

Mediwatch is a small company destined to become a much bigger fish by the time this year is out. Mediwatch are already a market leader in urological medical diagnostics equipement and are currently exporting their products throughout the UK, Canada, Europe, India and Japan. That doesn't leave much of the globe left for them to capture - until you remember the good ol' US and China. These are the two massive markets which are destined to be added to MDW's export client portfolio by the end of 2005.

The company is currently heavily undervalued. This is probably because Mediwatch's speciality is not a very glamourous business to be in as their equipment is used extensively to diagnose prostate cancer in men and other nasty urological conditions affecting both men and women. However, don't let that put you off investing in these guys. This is big business and is growing at an exponential rate as more and more people globally become health-aware as they get older.

Mediwatch normally supply their products through to global markets via distribution agreements. They already have the best of distribution partners in the well known US medical distributor CR Bard who supply Canada and Europe and GE Medical who supply Japan. The UK business is handled by Mediwatch's own dedicated sales team.

US FDA approval was gained for MDW's products at the start of last year, however a whole year of US legal wrangling meant that they were unable to seek a suitable partner for the crucial distribution agreement until the start of this year. This distribution agreement is expected by the board to have a "significant effect" on the share price so they are reluctant to give any clues as to when it will be signed, sealed and delivered. The general consensus is that this US distribution agreement will be announced in July/August. In China and Hong Kong, MDW have done things the other way round. They have set up distribution agreements with major Asian medical equipment distributors and have stock already out there waiting to sell into the markets - all they are waiting for is SDA approval (which is a "rubber stamp") from the Chinese authorities - this can take anything up to 12 months to come through and MDW applied during Autumn 2004 - so even more good news coming soon this year. Epidemiological data from British Association of Urology conference last year: On average 30-45% of all men between the age of 50 and 70 have at least one PSA test per year in the US / Italy / Australia.

If that's not enough to convince you to invest a few hard earned coppers in MDW, they are also developing a PSA stick test product (PSAWatch) which is revolutionary and causing some excitement in medical circles. This product can also be adapted (at very low cost) for a whole spectrum of medical disciplines from Cardiology to Veterinary Practice! This product is likely to be released in the next few weeks. Philip Stimpson the CEO has said that this product is going to be their "gold mine" - I'm sure it will prove to be ours too.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=MDW&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=MDW&Si

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 12:58 - 215 of 1497

Starting to fulfill our expectations. Lost for words for a change!

pth

andysmith - 16 Jun 2005 13:07 - 216 of 1497

What is the realistic sp target? Will <10p or <12p matter in a few months?

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 13:17 - 217 of 1497

andys

Personally, I am at a loss to make any sort of caluclation as to what sort of SP we will be looking at. The wotsit stick and other stuff in the pipeline, China, Medtronic etc makes any rational guess impossible. We need some news from MDW to give us a steer. However, if it keeps going up, I don't give a shit!!

pth

andysmith - 16 Jun 2005 13:22 - 218 of 1497

I know what you mean, being in packaging I can guess the ludicrous potential earnings of SEO and know the sp has along way to go but am at a loss with MDW other than the potential also seems massive. Trying to justify in my mind potentially having to top up at 12-13p next week now the buggers have pushed it back up from 9.5p yesterday!!! Stupid question really, just top-up Smithy!!

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 15:13 - 219 of 1497

Looking good again guys!

mg is right to post the long term chart - I seriously believe that MDW is going back up to the heady price levels of 2001 settling around the 1-1.20 mark.

It will take a bit of time to see the profits flowing in, though I think we'll be looking at around 2 years to seal a 10-bagger from here, based on the massive potential for PSAWatch and the global deals being set up.

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 16:17 - 220 of 1497

just need another nudge to get over the 11p resistance and next stop will be 14p.

Blue sky after that!

pth

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 16:24 - 221 of 1497

pth - any further rumours that the US deal is in the bag will take us over 14p.

Of course, any official news will light the blue touchpaper.

We got to 14p before on just the announcement of FDA approval for the US.

Interestingly - if the price jumped that much with FDA approval for the US (without a distribution deal), I wonder how the market will see announcement of SDA approval for China and Hong Kong (where the distribution deals are already set up and raring to go!).

overgrowth - 16 Jun 2005 16:35 - 222 of 1497

A nice 250K buy after the bell...

mg - 17 Jun 2005 00:02 - 223 of 1497

Highest volume for a while. Investors Chronicle tip in the morning perhaps - or even some weekend press. Not that I would possibly suggest any leakage - pun intended ;)

scotinvestor - 17 Jun 2005 08:22 - 224 of 1497

IC tip.

Aw no.

Not that please. IC and shares mag are both garbage. And i'm trying to be polite.

Its only for people who cant be bothered doing any research.

Honestly, these 2 mags couldnt tip rubbish

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 09:57 - 225 of 1497

It's good to see the price holding steady today, with buys and sells very similar.

Any large buys will kick off the upward momentum again, though I think the next serious surge upwards will be coming off the back of company news rather than from the media.

petralva - 17 Jun 2005 12:31 - 226 of 1497

that doesn't suprise me overgrowth but i tried to sell 20000 and they wouldn't quote me.....i did finely get a quote at 11.12 for 5000.....so it seems they don't want any more stock..so i think downward pressure will commence if many more sells appear.......

jnknill - 17 Jun 2005 12:43 - 227 of 1497

There was me about to ask "do you think the way the buys are spaced out together with the quantities, might suggest that MM,s are short on stock", sort of kicks the idea into touch! Rgds.

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 13:26 - 228 of 1497

petravla - strange that you couldn't get a quote for 20,000 and then they offer you a price within the spread for 5,000!

It sounds as though the MMs were probably out to lunch when you tried for the 20K lol!.

Buys and sells are pretty much level pegging right now.

Any quote given above bid price for a sell in my book means the MMs want your stock - so I reckon you're right jnknill - though, not for the reasons you thought.

jnknill - 17 Jun 2005 14:17 - 229 of 1497

OG....Yes, go along with your thoughts on the SP quotes, just had the feeling that, over the last few days & for varying reasons, MM,s have struggled to reach their trading position. Rgds.

petralva - 17 Jun 2005 14:30 - 230 of 1497

i will try again now and see what happens.

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 14:33 - 231 of 1497

petravla - in theory you should be able to get 11.2

petralva - 17 Jun 2005 14:35 - 232 of 1497

right done the same again from 20000 no quote.then 5000 for 11.12 what the f... is going on with halifax.r they that c...!
can you suggest a descent broker....i have been thinking about changing but are there any penalties for moving my shares?

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 14:45 - 233 of 1497

I use TDW, they're not the cheapest though will always ring around to get the best price on MM stocks.

I'm pretty sure you can't just "move" shares from broker to broker, though if anyone knows different...

I would think that the best thing to do is get the new broker account set up and gradually sell shares from the old broker and buy them back with the new one - taking advantage of the times when spreads are closest.

petralva - 17 Jun 2005 14:54 - 234 of 1497

thanks.......
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