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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

Paulo2 - 08 Mar 2006 09:24 - 2159 of 2787

.

stockdog - 08 Mar 2006 09:29 - 2160 of 2787

Thanks for all your advice folks. Nice thread to be on. Mind you, nice share to have a thread for - always helps! I'm not gone yet, Paulo!

Minor consolidation followed by decisive breakout from the previous .81p peak is very positive today. Looking at the Jan 05 upchannel (rising quite modestly) .95p hits the top of the upper line through the previous .81p peak. If we break above this, I would have thought we would also penetrate the 1p level which could then become support-turned-resitance-turned-support. However, any serious retracement could in theory take us back to the .55-.60p level - you think it can't happen?

But then on the next wave up we'll be up through 1p again - just depends how long you want to hold. So it would be quite tempting to take some profits above 1p and get back in lower if it ever happened and still be there for my 1.64p target in a year's time.

It's gonna be some ride whatever happens, except this one is backed by totally transparent trading results almost all of which is pure cashflow (until they make an acquisition??), not to mention the early prospect of dividends and now in the >5m cap range which should attract a minor new level of attention.

Happy holding!

sd

canary9 - 08 Mar 2006 09:50 - 2161 of 2787

Sorry guys, I've sold 30% of my holding over the last couple of days.....couldn't resist the opportunity to sell into strength and more than double my money. I'll leave the rest to ride through the 1p barrier and top up again if they fall back to the .6/.7 level.
Good Luck.

EWRobson - 08 Mar 2006 10:09 - 2162 of 2787

My view, sd, is that this is a decisive break-out from previous trading levels. The volume today is higher than yesterday: 21m against 30m. Obviously there are some weak holders, dogs included. 1p is now looking like a resistance level as we have now bounced back twice off it, but it wouldn't take much to get through it based on the buying demand. The sp is too low on fundamentals. Even at 1.5p you have nothing factored in for fund-raising for clients and that is clearly planned, at least for the smaller clients, this year. There is no logic behind the price being 1.5p on flotation and below 1p now. If the price were to fall back, then I would be raising a mortgage to buy the odd 100K's worth!

Walktall - 08 Mar 2006 10:25 - 2163 of 2787

The golden cross looks imminent. Will this initiate further buying?

WT.

canary9 - 08 Mar 2006 10:34 - 2164 of 2787

Eric, I agree with the logic, but markets are not always logical in the short term! You have to manage the risk and when the price rises, the risk increases, when the fundamentals don't change. Also, the stock becomes a higher %age of one's portfolio.
No harm in taking your profit, and leaving a bit for the next guy imho!

stockdog - 08 Mar 2006 10:49 - 2165 of 2787

Look at th spread - down to 1%. MMs clearly keeping the bid high to attract stock to sell it on quickly on a small turn. Hope the spread remains <5% after the intense activity die down.

Well banked Canary! I may be joining you soon, but not yet.

sd

corehard - 08 Mar 2006 11:16 - 2166 of 2787

6th highest volume leader at the moment. Lots of activity !

sidtrix - 08 Mar 2006 11:23 - 2167 of 2787

Could neone recommend a decent transaction only online broker, although HDbrennan chanrge 7 a transaction, they seem to always offer less than the going rate and allow only small quantities to sell at a time...
Most brokers allowing to sell 200k + DGT at .92 whereas HDbrennan stuck at .9 for 100k at a time.... tsk tsk
Also does neone know that if you switch do they carry over ur portfolio for you?

oiluser - 08 Mar 2006 12:17 - 2168 of 2787

corehard - where can i get data on volumes traded across the markets?

corehard - 08 Mar 2006 12:38 - 2169 of 2787

oiluser - Try this link: http://www.moneyam.com/action/scanner/showMarketScanner?name=VolumeLeaders

corehard - 08 Mar 2006 12:44 - 2170 of 2787

Sidtrix - Have you had a look at td waterhouse ? www.tdwaterhouse.co.uk

stockdog - 08 Mar 2006 13:22 - 2171 of 2787

sidtrix
Look at Squaregain and Self-Trade (both owned by the same French company and due to merge later this year??) slight variations between them, but a basic no nonsense service. I use ST to trade and SQ for portfolio monitoring and RNS tracking - oh and Digital Look for all sorts of corporate, results and real time price/trades info.

Sounds like Hoodlees Brennan who are also market makers I believe are a discount broker (is that the term) that take stock on and then flog it at a higher price (or buy it in at a lower one), making money on both the broker fee and the SP - is that true, anyone know? NMS is set by MMs not by brokers, but brokers can ususally do better than this in the market.

This morning Selftrade would not let me sell 500k, or 375k , but would allow 250k at the prevailing bid. Equally they did not allow me to buy 500k either, which I thought they would but at a tick or two higher.

Loving the action today. Very happy to see those who have doubled their money replaced by those who hope to - makes for a more stable price as we go forward to the 1.05p immediate next step (I predict IMHO DYOR WDIK ROFLEUGYSTEHFMS - there's a prize for the nearest interpretation of that last one!)

sd

EWRobson - 08 Mar 2006 13:30 - 2172 of 2787

canary: Its worth looking at the risk question. Seems to me that there are two primary types of risk: (a) the trading risk where a bear run (if you are long) takes over; momentum seems to be the main chart factor to watch; (b) the share is out of line with the fundamentals. SEO was an example of (b) last autumn; ASC of (a) earlier in the year although the fundamentals were strong. Both are running in the holders direction at the moment on DGT: a bull market and fundamentals extremely strong with the share still very under-valued.

sd: Re 'spread' none of the market-makers spread has dropped below 0.1p so each is making 10% on the margin. Quite frequently, theredore, it is a differnet MM quoted on the offer from that on the bid.

sidtrix: linking with this comment, I suspect that HBrennan are not getting the best price: essentially they are using one particular MM rather than getting the best price. My experience with stocktrade (part of Brewer Dolphin) is that they always get the best price because their system checks each MM. They are also very helpful on the phone and will deal with larger quantities at the same price on the telephone. stocktrade.co.uk

Eric

EWRobson - 08 Mar 2006 13:41 - 2173 of 2787

Thought I would check stocktrade. Current offer is 1 million at 0.96 and bid ony 50K at 0.93. On Level 2, the best offer is 1p; the best bid 0.93p. Trades going through at 0.96p are clearly buys not sells. Don't understand why one of the MMs is selling at 0.96p when L2 quotes best as 1p. Any rational explanation?

stockdog - 08 Mar 2006 13:48 - 2174 of 2787

Eric - I understand that the published bid-offer is usually between two different MMs, but I would argue that this probably reflects the acutal margins they each get because,
1) When MM1 has the price at .85-.95 he is trying to sell stock,
2) whereas MM1 at .92-1.02 is in the market to buy stock
3) When MM1 and MM2 reverse their intentions to make a profit, they move the price respectively up in case of MM1 to .92 - 1.02 and down in case of MM2 to .85-.95.
4) So each makes a margin of 0.03 - the same as the published bid-offer spread

In other words each MM does not "enjoy" both sides of their quote simultaneously and the published spread is an accurate reflection of the margin they each make.

Compare with low volume trading where all MMs sit at .88-.98, nobodies trying to buy or sell particularly, but the prices are there should anyone enquire and the published spread is 10% as you say.

Why did I bother to write all that down - sorry for being a boring old dog! Deos that make me an odd bod?

sd

canary9 - 08 Mar 2006 13:50 - 2175 of 2787

He may have a big sell order going through, but then I would have expected the nms levels to have been the other way. We will see later!

canary9 - 08 Mar 2006 14:02 - 2176 of 2787

Wow, a bid/offer spread of .01p! Has to be a record for this share. Which way will it break!

markusantonius - 08 Mar 2006 14:23 - 2177 of 2787

0.01p spread was the case during the height of CFA's last boom, Rod. The next few weeks will be very interesting especially if, as we expect, there is a write up coming.....?

canary9 - 08 Mar 2006 15:59 - 2178 of 2787

Mark, the golfers are about today- it must be raining!
Still DGT is cheering us up!
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