overgrowth
- 09 Feb 2005 20:52
Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting
in the middle of a goldmine!
This company through
their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full
advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year.
Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies
and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund
placements on behalf of the companies they represent.
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On first sight, the
fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector
makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because
it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think
again!
DGT bring new companies
to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated"
on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company
is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk
of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies
must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring
income).
Because DGT also act
as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging
placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In
addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work,
they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may
need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash
to speed growth.
Current NOMADships:
28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000
per year)
Current on-going Brokerage
agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)
For flotations, depending
on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000
to 100,000+
For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12%
of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M
though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000
!
These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances
and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk
of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back
to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket.
Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge
and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another
healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation
means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for
years, with DGT having to do very little.
New clients gained in 2005 are:
Mediazest
(NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million
Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M
Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal
Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring
Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of
Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e
Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer
Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics
Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
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EWRobson
- 08 Mar 2006 13:30
- 2172 of 2787
canary: Its worth looking at the risk question. Seems to me that there are two primary types of risk: (a) the trading risk where a bear run (if you are long) takes over; momentum seems to be the main chart factor to watch; (b) the share is out of line with the fundamentals. SEO was an example of (b) last autumn; ASC of (a) earlier in the year although the fundamentals were strong. Both are running in the holders direction at the moment on DGT: a bull market and fundamentals extremely strong with the share still very under-valued.
sd: Re 'spread' none of the market-makers spread has dropped below 0.1p so each is making 10% on the margin. Quite frequently, theredore, it is a differnet MM quoted on the offer from that on the bid.
sidtrix: linking with this comment, I suspect that HBrennan are not getting the best price: essentially they are using one particular MM rather than getting the best price. My experience with stocktrade (part of Brewer Dolphin) is that they always get the best price because their system checks each MM. They are also very helpful on the phone and will deal with larger quantities at the same price on the telephone. stocktrade.co.uk
Eric
EWRobson
- 08 Mar 2006 13:41
- 2173 of 2787
Thought I would check stocktrade. Current offer is 1 million at 0.96 and bid ony 50K at 0.93. On Level 2, the best offer is 1p; the best bid 0.93p. Trades going through at 0.96p are clearly buys not sells. Don't understand why one of the MMs is selling at 0.96p when L2 quotes best as 1p. Any rational explanation?
stockdog
- 08 Mar 2006 13:48
- 2174 of 2787
Eric - I understand that the published bid-offer is usually between two different MMs, but I would argue that this probably reflects the acutal margins they each get because,
1) When MM1 has the price at .85-.95 he is trying to sell stock,
2) whereas MM1 at .92-1.02 is in the market to buy stock
3) When MM1 and MM2 reverse their intentions to make a profit, they move the price respectively up in case of MM1 to .92 - 1.02 and down in case of MM2 to .85-.95.
4) So each makes a margin of 0.03 - the same as the published bid-offer spread
In other words each MM does not "enjoy" both sides of their quote simultaneously and the published spread is an accurate reflection of the margin they each make.
Compare with low volume trading where all MMs sit at .88-.98, nobodies trying to buy or sell particularly, but the prices are there should anyone enquire and the published spread is 10% as you say.
Why did I bother to write all that down - sorry for being a boring old dog! Deos that make me an odd bod?
sd
canary9
- 08 Mar 2006 13:50
- 2175 of 2787
He may have a big sell order going through, but then I would have expected the nms levels to have been the other way. We will see later!
canary9
- 08 Mar 2006 14:02
- 2176 of 2787
Wow, a bid/offer spread of .01p! Has to be a record for this share. Which way will it break!
markusantonius
- 08 Mar 2006 14:23
- 2177 of 2787
0.01p spread was the case during the height of CFA's last boom, Rod. The next few weeks will be very interesting especially if, as we expect, there is a write up coming.....?
canary9
- 08 Mar 2006 15:59
- 2178 of 2787
Mark, the golfers are about today- it must be raining!
Still DGT is cheering us up!
markusantonius
- 08 Mar 2006 16:10
- 2179 of 2787
It is absolutely chucking it down over here ATM, Rod - got soaked just walking back from my car before!
IMO: the MM's definitely NEED the stock, guys. The last 3 sells have all been progressively higher. The slightest 3rd. party press comment (which will be positive, of course) - and the price will fly. Apologies to all early 2005 posters whose ramping I was highly sceptical of, must admit! Apart from all the forecasts, facts & figures, etc., none of us here have really explored the great things that COULD happen if say a bigger brokerage arm wants to merge/buy us out, for instance? Just look at how far we've come since the new regime took over..... Notice I am now saying "WE"!!!
markusantonius
- 08 Mar 2006 16:14
- 2180 of 2787
Ouch! A 2.25m sell - that was a bit naughty! Still went for 0.92p though.
sidtrix
- 08 Mar 2006 16:37
- 2181 of 2787
cheers guys will look at TD, stocktrade & squaregain... was thinking of giving TD a try... lets see
I sold some at .95 after calling HDBrennnan, online they were only offering to sell a quater of the amount of what I wanted to sell at .92
EWRobson
- 08 Mar 2006 18:07
- 2182 of 2787
Terrific to see 50m shares traded, or 8% of the equity. Agree that it is good for those holding that others give up their shares because the sights are that much higher for the new holder. Nevertheless, I would argue strongly for a hold position even for those who have had the full run up. 'run your profits, cut your losses!'. If the share becomes over-weight, so what? That's the way to make money - if you get it right. Here, the company trading position is so transparent and the share is still so cheap, hold, evn accumulate. Thanks, sd, agree with that: even if you are a bod, that makes me a bof! We can have our own private chats, or growls, together.
There remains heavy, upward pressure on the sp. Given that there are a limited number of holders, the damn has to break and then the sp can march upwards, probably to test the 1.2p level.
Eric
canary9
- 08 Mar 2006 19:21
- 2183 of 2787
Eric, I hope you are correct as I still hold 70%. We all know this will run too far and then come back rapidly. What I don't know is at what point it will top out. I believe the future looks very good for this little company and I hope it is not before 1.5p, but I wasn't willing to risk everything on it!
stockdog
- 08 Mar 2006 20:17
- 2184 of 2787
Markus if that T trade for 2.25m was placed before 8.15 or between 9.15 and 10.45 it could equally have been a buy order reported after it was fulfilled towards the end of the day - more likely than a sell IMHO given the price didn't blink when it hit the screen.
sd
capper
- 08 Mar 2006 21:07
- 2185 of 2787
I am not so sure this will come back rapidly. This rise is on fundamental and actual results not on the organised ramping by a group of individuals. This time the figures add up.
EWRobson
- 08 Mar 2006 22:28
- 2186 of 2787
Agree capper. Some 10% of new money invested in the last few days and these holders are looking for the 1.5p level. I suspect most who want to take profits are out now. Fine, canary, although slightly yellow, 30% OK. Can't see there has been any hype, only enthusiasm and objectivity on this bb; if there is to be hype it could take it to a pe of 20 but even that would be justified on a wo year view. Some help from Shares tomorrow? Or do they want that Uncle Eric letter?
Global Nomad
- 09 Mar 2006 00:25
- 2187 of 2787
I get a feeling from some posters on the iii board that there are plenty of sheep riding the wave without knowing why. It is these 'investors' deciding to sell up and sheep out that may risk a flurry of sells which pull the sp back.
If they represent a minority with relatively small holdings this won't be a problem but the risk remains. Agree with the fact that new comers over last few days will be looking towards 1.5p ( I also added yesterday).
The 'almost too good to be true' / nervousness scenario may result following such a rapid rise and this is what we need to watch for despite the truth being so transparent.
sweet dreams
GN
Paulo2
- 09 Mar 2006 08:31
- 2188 of 2787
Buy 250k @ 0.95p.
Sell 750k @0.91p.
Looks like they are getting a bit short.
Paulo2
- 09 Mar 2006 08:31
- 2189 of 2787
Sd, definitely a golden cross which ever MAs you use.
markusantonius
- 09 Mar 2006 08:34
- 2190 of 2787
Paulo2, maybe you could remind me (in Layman's Terms!) what a "golden cross" is, please? Buys:Sells > 10:1 at the moment so demand is still high!
Paulo2
- 09 Mar 2006 08:38
- 2191 of 2787
It's when the 50-day MA moves up through the 200-day MA and they're both rising. It generally means there's a very bullish period coming up.
Did anyone see Shares mag today? And if so, are we in it?