Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

If non farm is good it will drop 150pips almost imediatley with another 150pips over the 4-5 hours after the result.. Just my expirance of scaliping non-farms over the past year.. Imo I would wait till closer to Non farm as the price usually whips in the wrong direction before the move which would stop you out. Just my thoughts..

Im done for the day will scalp non farm later as usual but im +90.5 for the week. Thanks for all your advice and help this week Hil feel like im getting somewhere. My feeling for this weeks trading is 10/10 which is a good feeling.. If I can scalp 200 of non farm I will be over the moon..

Later all..

mostrader,

Every bit of good news out of the US has been hammered by the Dollar bears just lately. They instead draw attention to the twin deficits and the fact that the cable carry trade is still attractive. Oil has been the primary driver behind the retracement over the last couple of days, but the Dollar downtrend is still very much intact.

T,

I'm really pleased that you've had a good week.

tellon hi;ary noted ur comments thks

Cheers Hil... Thanks for your help, hopefully things will keep going well and I can then take you and your husband out for a meal, as a way of saying thankyou.

Just hope things keep going well.. Feeling good though!

I am watching closely for pre nfp cable moves. its like the calm before the storm at the mom

It may be worth watching treasuries pre and post payrolls, they mostly precede dollar changes although I have seen it go the other way.
Now which cross likely to move the most? Euro some horizontal resistance around 1.33

112k v 200k exp

I got that that wrong my cable short stopped out at -33pips

Hil,

I got the PM thanks. Will read over the weekend.

Have a good weekend all. See you Monday am..

Date Country/ Currency Event GMT EST CONSENSUS PREVIOUS

Sunday

DEM Wholesale Price Index (MoM) (NOV) 9-15 DEC -0.4% 0.8%
DEM Wholesale Price Index (YoY) (NOV) 9-15 DEC 3.7% 4.2%
AUD TD Securities - MI Inflation Index 23:00 18:00
AUD Cashcard November Retail Activity Index 23:00 18:00

Monday

AUD ANZ JOB Advertisements (NOV) 0:30 19:30 5.0%
EUR ECB Weber Speaks 8:15 3:15
EUR Bloomberg Eurozone Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 48.0 48.3
EUR Bloomberg France Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 47.2
DEM Bloomberg Germany Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 49.7
EUR Bloomberg Italy Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 47.7
GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.4% -0.4%
GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 -1.2% -0.9%
GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.3% 0.1%
GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.0% 0.3%
GBP EEF 4th Quarter Quarterly Trends Survey 10:30 5:30
EUR ECB Trichet Speaks 10:30 5:30
DEM Factory Orders (BBK) (MoM) (OCT P) 11:00 6:00 -0.1% 0.8%
DEM Factory Orders (BBK) (YoY) (OCT P) 11:00 6:00 2.7% 4.6%
GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (NOV) 13:30 8:30 0.3%
CAD Building Permits MoM (OCT) 13:30 8:30 0.0% -3.3%
CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (NOV) 15:00 10:00 59.0 56.5
GBP BRC Shop Price Index 18:00 13:00 0.5%
NZD Trade Balance (Revised) (OCT F) 21:45 16:45 -554M
JPY Official Reserve Assets (NOV) 23:00 18:50 $837.9B

Good morning all,

Looking like the bulls are back.. IMO..

A little bit of caution, T. We've got cable going one way and EUR/USD going the other this morning.

USD/CHF going with Euro by the looks of it..

Tough Decision...

T,

I'm leaning more towards Dollar bullishness. There was one day last week, however, when the Dollar rose all day against the CHF and cable rose all day. Either pair would have been a good trade.

The answer, imo, is to split your stake between the two pairs. If one pair reverses, hopefully a loss will be more than offset by the gain from the other pair. An example of "Trade what you see".

Just done 25 minutes on the rower and I've lost my charts in that time. I can't seem to get them back.

:o(

Hil,

Are you talking about our charts? There are no problems at the moment and they are all working fine.

Ian

No, don't panic Ian ..... I mean the damn FXCM/FXtrek/Intellicharts.

Hil,

Ive started using the charts on www.netdania.com. I use both.