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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

hilary - 05 Dec 2004 14:28 - 2192 of 11056

Date Country/ Currency Event GMT EST CONSENSUS PREVIOUS

Sunday

DEM Wholesale Price Index (MoM) (NOV) 9-15 DEC -0.4% 0.8%
DEM Wholesale Price Index (YoY) (NOV) 9-15 DEC 3.7% 4.2%
AUD TD Securities - MI Inflation Index 23:00 18:00
AUD Cashcard November Retail Activity Index 23:00 18:00

Monday

AUD ANZ JOB Advertisements (NOV) 0:30 19:30 5.0%
EUR ECB Weber Speaks 8:15 3:15
EUR Bloomberg Eurozone Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 48.0 48.3
EUR Bloomberg France Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 47.2
DEM Bloomberg Germany Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 49.7
EUR Bloomberg Italy Retail PMI (SA) (NOV) 9:00 4:00 47.7
GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.4% -0.4%
GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 -1.2% -0.9%
GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.3% 0.1%
GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (OCT) 9:30 4:30 0.0% 0.3%
GBP EEF 4th Quarter Quarterly Trends Survey 10:30 5:30
EUR ECB Trichet Speaks 10:30 5:30
DEM Factory Orders (BBK) (MoM) (OCT P) 11:00 6:00 -0.1% 0.8%
DEM Factory Orders (BBK) (YoY) (OCT P) 11:00 6:00 2.7% 4.6%
GBP NIESR GDP Estimate (NOV) 13:30 8:30 0.3%
CAD Building Permits MoM (OCT) 13:30 8:30 0.0% -3.3%
CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (NOV) 15:00 10:00 59.0 56.5
GBP BRC Shop Price Index 18:00 13:00 0.5%
NZD Trade Balance (Revised) (OCT F) 21:45 16:45 -554M
JPY Official Reserve Assets (NOV) 23:00 18:50 $837.9B

Tellon - 06 Dec 2004 07:12 - 2193 of 11056

Good morning all,

Looking like the bulls are back.. IMO..

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 07:18 - 2194 of 11056

A little bit of caution, T. We've got cable going one way and EUR/USD going the other this morning.

Tellon - 06 Dec 2004 07:31 - 2195 of 11056

USD/CHF going with Euro by the looks of it..

Tellon - 06 Dec 2004 07:45 - 2196 of 11056

Tough Decision...

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 07:56 - 2197 of 11056

T,

I'm leaning more towards Dollar bullishness. There was one day last week, however, when the Dollar rose all day against the CHF and cable rose all day. Either pair would have been a good trade.

The answer, imo, is to split your stake between the two pairs. If one pair reverses, hopefully a loss will be more than offset by the gain from the other pair. An example of "Trade what you see".

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 08:51 - 2198 of 11056

Just done 25 minutes on the rower and I've lost my charts in that time. I can't seem to get them back.

:o(

IanT(MoneyAM) - 06 Dec 2004 08:53 - 2199 of 11056

Hil,

Are you talking about our charts? There are no problems at the moment and they are all working fine.

Ian

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 09:07 - 2200 of 11056

No, don't panic Ian ..... I mean the damn FXCM/FXtrek/Intellicharts.

Tellon - 06 Dec 2004 09:27 - 2201 of 11056

Hil,

Ive started using the charts on www.netdania.com. I use both.

Bullshare - 06 Dec 2004 09:31 - 2202 of 11056

This sign sums up nicely what the Euro has been doing to the Dollar recently

791775.1.jpg

mg - 06 Dec 2004 09:53 - 2203 of 11056

SoS
I see you've been scouring the net for naughty photos again - nice one ;)

Tellon
Thanks for the netdania link.

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 10:06 - 2204 of 11056

T,

I think that it's the S&P Comstock feed which has been playing up on the Intellicharts. I've found the NetDania feed to either be a bit inaccurate or to lag a bit in the past.

Doris,

Which page of the Kama Sutra did you find that position?

:o)

hilary - 06 Dec 2004 10:29 - 2205 of 11056

What the BoE has to weigh up
Mon Dec 6, 2004 09:07 AM GMT


By Sumeet Desai
LONDON (Reuters) - The Bank of England appears almost certain to leave interest rates steady for the fourth month in a row on Thursday but economists are divided over whether borrowing costs will climb again next year.

All 45 analysts polled by Reuters predicted the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee would leave rates pegged at 4.75 percent when it finishes its two-day meeting.

Twenty economists said rates had peaked but 23 said there was at least one more hike to come.

The following are likely to be some of the main factors discussed by the MPC at its December 8 and 9 meeting.

INFLATION

The main inflation rate rose to 1.2 percent in October, still way below the BoE's 2.0 percent target. But the Bank sees it rising to target in two years' time. Meanwhile, pipeline inflationary pressures have been rising, thanks to high energy costs.

HOUSE PRICES

The Nationwide house price index unexpectedly rose by 1.0 percent in November, but analysts say the increase may be a blip as most other indicators point to a continued rapid slowing in the market. The Halifax house price index fell by 0.4 percent in November while mortgage approvals fell to a five-year low in October.

GDP

The initial estimate of 0.4 percent growth in the third quarter was left unrevised but BoE policymakers have repeatedly suggested they feel that is too low as it at odds with more bullish survey evidence. Growth is expected to have picked up in the fourth quarter.

STERLING

Sterling's trade-weighted index has risen over the past month and the pound hit a 12-year high against the dollar last week, boosting concern that manufacturing will be hit as exports become less competitive.

GLOBAL ECONOMY

Latest data show the world economy is still having some troubles. U.S. non-farm payrolls grew a paltry 112,000 in November and recent reports on the eurozone point to faltering growth there as the euro hits record highs against the dollar.

Addo - 06 Dec 2004 11:32 - 2206 of 11056

Bullshare, if that billboard is anything like the real thing, once the euro has climaxed, it will go to sleep and the dollar will awaken and go and put the kettle on !!!!

Addo

Addo - 06 Dec 2004 11:33 - 2207 of 11056

When you see charts increase so fast like that, that to me is the sign of a huge reversal

Bullshare - 06 Dec 2004 11:36 - 2208 of 11056

:-)Long dollar then?

Addo - 06 Dec 2004 11:42 - 2209 of 11056

5 years and close your eyes, yes :-) Otherwise no, it has to break $2 to the squid right ??

My day trading skills are legendary, however I don't think the world can sustain this slide. It is a conspiracy this activity :-))

Addo - 06 Dec 2004 11:44 - 2210 of 11056

Most Americans are not even aware the euro exists, some not even Europe exists !!

Tellon - 06 Dec 2004 15:42 - 2211 of 11056

Glad I got stopped out this morning.. Weould have been boring watching my postion all day.. Should have took that long USD/CHF I saw though +70 right now on paper.. But then paper is not neccesarily a good example of what would have been..

See you all tomorrow..

P.S

Nice Picture BullShare
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