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CROSBY CAPITAL, Certainly Worth A Look. (CSB)     

goldfinger - 23 Mar 2005 09:35

Bought these the other day on results day and was certainly taken aback by their fantastic growth over the period focussing in on Asia. Ive copied a report from Killik Brokers who sum up the potential far better than I ever could.

Take note of the last Paragraph.

CROSBY CAPITAL Final Results

We highlighted Crosby Capital last year as an interesting opportunity. Its rather complex business structure makes it difficult to analyse and its introduction to the AIM market through a reverse takeover of a cash shell meant that investors have gradually got to know the story over the past twelve months. Nevertheless, it is fair to say that from a placing price of 15p, the rise to 29p suggests the action is underway.

The group is headed by two well known investment bankers including Simon Fry who was former head of Nomura in structured finance alongside Guy Hands. The company was established to house their interests in handling transactions in the Asian region and late last year, the first fruits were delivered with the injection of its oil and gas agreement with Medco which provided them with a carried interest over disposal proceeds above a $120 million benchmark (the expectation is for a sum significantly higher which will provide Lodore Resources with a useful cash injection). Crosby, having placed down 70 million Lodore shares for 10 million gross (5 million net to Crosby), retains 214 million shares worth around 32 million or around 15p per share.

Partially reflecting this disposal, Crosby has reflected part of the profit as it announces for the year to December 31, 2004, it generated a profit of $34 million on $55 million of revenue. The company states that the actual profit to be recognized on the Lodore transaction will be $82 million or 42 million. The total value of Crosby at 29p (new high up 3p) is 60 million. Simon Fry alludes to a healthy pipeline of new merchant banking opportunities coming through and hopes to conclude some this year.

For investors, it appears one is paying a modest premium over current assets for potential significant further upside. ENDS.

DYOR

Speculative punt, that could be a winner.

cheers GF.



Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CSB&Si



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proptrade - 08 Jun 2005 11:49 - 220 of 508

the IB Daiwa deal is now in theory worth 45 million. not bad for a months work!

tallsiii - 08 Jun 2005 13:50 - 221 of 508

Thanks for that Proptrade, that does seem to be the cause of the rise. It goes to show that it is worth keeping note of a company's underlying asset value. CSB did not start to take off until the 30th of May, by that time IB Daiwa had already shot up to 60Yen. So 15 million pound of value had been added to the CSB before anyone noticed.

Part of me wishes that I had been the one to notice this and had topped up in a big way. But part of me just takes solace in the fact that markets are not efficient and this will not be the last opportunity of it's kind.

Tallsiii

squidd - 08 Jun 2005 18:33 - 222 of 508

sealed: proptrade: tallsiii: Thanks for the news item.
Peter123: Now thinking of adding if there's a retraction, instead of selling.
sd.

Peter123 - 08 Jun 2005 18:50 - 223 of 508

Lets hope investors don't take profit. Lets wait and see tomorrow. This stock is on a upward momentun.

AdieH - 09 Jun 2005 08:19 - 224 of 508

Just been tipped regarding this stock, it looks to good to be true.. I need to do my own research but it looks very promising from the little investigation I have done so far.

proptrade - 09 Jun 2005 09:31 - 225 of 508

their assets are great but extreme caution is advised.

1. ignore the p/e level. that is artificially high because of the Lodore stake.
2. Lodore at mkt cap 90 million is off the charts the wrong price. they have one asset (just bought) and the potential only of cashing in something fromm the crosby aquisition (Sunov).
3. the IB Daiwa is HIGHLY volatile and may be worth a fortune on paper but the Japanese are pumping this up on the hype. yesterday the stock went to 158 yen and back again (a 50% swing in a day!)

SAYING ALL THIS,

1. management is top notch
2. they are seeking and have completed complex deals outside the realm of most funds and equity investors and on paper have stellar returns.
3. they have a fantastic track record

CSB already a 130 million pound company and its assets are based on the share prices of other volatile companies. if lodore doesn't deliver the CSB has to write back ewhat they have taken.

Bottom line is that i am LONG and feel that this is a company with great potential but doen't remortgage just yet until there is stability in Lodore and IB Daiwa...




tallsiii - 09 Jun 2005 09:49 - 226 of 508

It would be interesting to see some volume figures for IB Daiwa. I would hate to think that the price of that share is being manipulated in any way.

proptrade - 09 Jun 2005 10:03 - 227 of 508

the volume is sound and has spiked over the last few weeks. it is a typlical Japanese small play and i assume is is being enormously hyped. to be 6 times the price (at its height yesterday) from the CSB deal without them actually having control (not until the end of the month) is wild.

i have confidence but i just urge the get rich quick punters to just be aware of the extreme volatility in CSB's underlying valuation.

rgds
PT

ps, any EKA news?

tallsiii - 09 Jun 2005 10:07 - 228 of 508

I have noticed that the 107m shares in IB that CSB can subscribe for are new shares. Is it possible that when they are issued, the price may fall as the company's valuation becomes diluted across a greater no. of shares?

EKA has had a few sellers of late. Probably a bit of profit taking. No news that I know of. AGM next week.

proptrade - 09 Jun 2005 10:24 - 229 of 508

one would assume they are of course dilutive to existing shareholders but since CSB will take up the warrants as and when they choose to exercise it should not effect the price because they are fully paid and rank identically to existing stock. therefore the mkt cap increases in line with the new stock at the same price (maybe a small reduction because of the exercise level).

It does make sense, honest!

goldfinger - 09 Jun 2005 12:12 - 230 of 508

A down day, its just not on LOL.

cheers GF.

proptrade - 10 Jun 2005 09:25 - 231 of 508

IB Daiwa closed at 147 yen. CSB stake worth 64 million. volatile yes, but hey its a fact at todays close!

goldfinger - 10 Jun 2005 11:41 - 232 of 508

Looking good at the moment PT.

cheers GF.

proptrade - 10 Jun 2005 14:03 - 233 of 508


indeed it is but i trust you understand my caution!

goldfinger - 11 Jun 2005 12:26 - 234 of 508

Finished the day positive.

cheers GF.

proptrade - 13 Jun 2005 09:00 - 235 of 508

IB Daiwa 176 yen...80 million profit if realised! remember though, HIGHLY volatile

tallsiii - 13 Jun 2005 10:00 - 236 of 508

Yes that now accounts for about 35p of the share price. I would buy the rest of the business at 25p, so I have topped up.

proptrade - 13 Jun 2005 10:09 - 237 of 508

a no brainer but not a complete no brainer - back to 30 yen would be a bit bearish for CSB.

I am so midful of conglomorates (esentially CSB's diverse groups of investments class it as that) and have always been respectful of the sometimes substantial discount that they trade to the "whole". saying that, CSB tends to realise its returns so could be an exception to the rule and probably should trade at a premium!

i am in and running with it. keep an eye on IB Daiwa on a daily basis though!

proptrade - 14 Jun 2005 09:07 - 238 of 508

133 yen close now (off 25%). a wild ride indeed....

proptrade - 14 Jun 2005 09:07 - 239 of 508

no wonder they are off today
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