overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
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Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
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optomistic
- 07 Jul 2005 13:55
- 221 of 1009
Would be pleased if you 'suspected' correctly og, I bought a few this morning at 29p. Was going to pay more but then the terrible events occured.
capetown
- 07 Jul 2005 13:57
- 222 of 1009
Hey overgrowth,if i had got my 50 b4 the bad news!,still one should not think of money on a day like today,but as you say great move up,from a low on the day just short of 10%
optomistic
- 07 Jul 2005 15:40
- 224 of 1009
Have they closed the trading book for the day, no trade from 14.52 :-)
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 10:34
- 225 of 1009
Looking good this AM.
Fred1new
- 08 Jul 2005 11:47
- 226 of 1009
Not if you are short!!!
8-)
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 12:07
- 228 of 1009
I thought we may have pushed through 32p today, strong market, trades mostly buys. Not too late yet :-)
capetown
- 08 Jul 2005 12:09
- 229 of 1009
Hi optimistic,same here on 32p,but did you see the 600,000 sell just b4 closing yesterday?
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 12:13
- 230 of 1009
No capetown missed that, was it a certain sell or a late reported buy?
capetown
- 08 Jul 2005 12:14
- 231 of 1009
it was an o trade,sell red at 1623
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 12:19
- 232 of 1009
That size could have been reported late and possibly an earlier buy, nothing certain though. Anyway whatever it has been absorbed, lets look forward to some more large buys :-)
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 12:40
- 233 of 1009
Strange a 604,500 trade has just popped up on the 'trades' timed 16.28 'L'
Fred1new
- 08 Jul 2005 12:44
- 234 of 1009
Overgrowth, No I am fat and U and when I stand on a box quite tall. But I do hold about 300K of RTD. That is why my computer is near the toilet!!!!
But is does seem blue all round to-day.
8-)
capetown
- 08 Jul 2005 12:48
- 235 of 1009
Thats the one that showed in red as a sale yesterday,overgrowth,its the one i was talking abt
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 12:54
- 236 of 1009
Don't know why it has been carried forward to today?
capetown
- 08 Jul 2005 13:05
- 237 of 1009
but it was red sale yesterday,today its a black?,how does that work,you will have guessed i am newish to this,thx op
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 13:23
- 238 of 1009
The black just shows that the computer connot discern wether it is a buy or a sell.
Don't forget that large trades can be reported late and can look like either a buy or sell at that time based on the present bid/offer. Whereas in fact the trade if done earlier could have been opposite to the buy/sell recorded. Oh it does get complicated :-) hope that helps.
optomistic
- 08 Jul 2005 14:50
- 239 of 1009
Sellers come on the scene and the price ticks up!
Fundamentalist
- 08 Jul 2005 15:29
- 240 of 1009
Fred :-)
Capetown - always bear in mind that sites like this classify whether is a sale or a buy based purely on whether it is closer to the bid or offer at the time it is released. This can at times be very misleading. NEVER rely on the buy/sell ratio as an indicator as it is often misleading - you will often see a trade reported as a sell 10 mins after a tick up that is clearly the buy that caused the tick up in the first place.
SP looks ok currently though volume is quite low. Personally wouldnt expect much movement prior to 1/2 yr results without any further announcements ie new contracts etc