markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
markymar
- 10 Nov 2004 09:27
- 225 of 6492
Colin Phipps Talks of Rising Falklands Oil Prospects
November 9, 2004
by D. Voggle (BBC World Service)
COLIN PHIPPS TALKS OF RISING FALKLANDS OIL PROSPECTS
A Report for BBC World Service Calling the Falklands by Deborah Vogle (DV) 09 NOV 2004
The high price of oil at the moment is worrying economists and city analysts here in London, as they fear it might push up the general level of inflation. Last month prices reached a record high at $55.00 a barrel. Now they are down to just under $50.00 still very high. So, the long awaited results of the latest exploration in the Falklands could be encouraging. The seismic survey carried out by Desire Petroleum in the North Falkland Basin is the second, which has been done in the area but this time it was a 3D seismic survey rather than a 2Dimentional one. And that, according to Dr. Colin Phipps (CP) Chairman of Desire, produces a far more accurate picture. So what. I asked him, did the picture show?
CP: The whole purpose of the 3Ds was that we had already ascertained from exploratory drilling that we had a very rich source rock in the North Falkland Basin. The most important thing was to find out whether and where a reservoir had developed. And, the thing about 3D is it does enable you to take out vertical latitudes. I wont go into it in detail but you are able to manipulate 3D data to indicate the likelihood or otherwise of there being reservoirs. They also have direct hydrocarbon indicators that the possibility of a seismic response, which doesnt actually tell you theres oil and gas but its indicative of oil and gas and we have looked at those as well. The results of the 3D survey have been that we have been able to identify the development of reservoir rocks. And, there are also oil and gas direct hydrocarbon indicators. The gas one is particularly interesting now because, when we first drilled gas was at a price, which never would have been economic to develop in the Falklands. But at current gas prices, even gas would be economic, so it adds a further dimension to the potential of the basin.
DV: How exactly would that be used?
CP: The Gas would have to be brought on shore and it would be subject to what is known as Gas to Liquid Technology (GLT), which effectively turns gas into diesel oil. And, its very high quality diesel, which you can put in your Land Rover straight away and drive off with it. And, there is something of a premium attached with it. And, that is one of the reasons of this gas to liquid technology that has made a lot of remote gas fields much more potentially profitable than in the past. Its a relatively new technology.
DV: So, can you put a figure on the likely output of this area?
CP: Its very hard to say. The number of prospects that we have identified is quite large six to ten. The potential of the prospects and let me be clear, potential doesnt mean to say that there is oil there or gas there of that size. But the potential is for discoveries up to a billion barrels in size. A billion barrels is a giant field in world terms.
DV: This is potentially very exciting news. Ow is the stock market responding to it?
CP: Today Desire share price went up from 28 yesterday to 37.5 at the moment. But it jumps about a bit and in the end, the stock market reaction is only going to be justified by drilling and finding some oil.
DV: But it is a good time. You mentioned the gas price being good but also the oil price is good.
CP: The oil price is sensational at the moment. I dont believe it could stay up there but most of the economics that we have done on the North Falkland Basin have been on the level of $16.00 oil or $20.00 oil. Of course, today, we are looking at the high $40s. So it would be extremely possible, really, to find something. But even at $25.00 oil, its very profitable.
DV: So, whats the next step then?
CP: We really have to make a decision as to whether or not we are going to farm out these other partners. We are talking to a number of companies who are looking at the 3D data now that its been completed. Or, of course, we have to consider whether or not we should raise money in the market ourselves. The market is very strong at the moment and a lot of our shareholders are saying that they would like us to that. We have some decisions to make over the next sort of month or so as to what is going to be the best route for shareholders to take. One way or another, what we are hoping to do is to drill sometime next year.
markymar
- 10 Nov 2004 09:58
- 226 of 6492
Desire Petroleum Completes Interpretation of Seismic Survey
Desire Petroleum 11/9/2004
URL: http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=17909
Desire Petroleum reports that the interpretation of both the fast-track and final-processed data from the 3D-seismic survey over Tranches C & D in the North Faukland Basin has been completed. In addition to the new 3D-data, the previously acquired 2D-data was incorporated in the interpretation where no 3D-data were available.
The interpretation included analyses of various seismic attributes as well as a geological study. All of the processed data proved to be of excellent quality and the new interpretation largely confirms the new geological model proposed by the Company. In addition, other, new prospects have been identified associated, in particular, with well-defined alluvial deltas and fans.
Within the area covered by the 3D-seismic a number of prospects have been identified. Of these, at least six are large enough to contain economic accumulations of oil in the range 100-1000 million barrels. These six are in addition to those prospects already delineated by the 2-D seismic outside the area covered by the 3D-survey.
One of the features of the 3D-seismic has been the presence of Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators (DHI), in particular, there are considerable indications of the presence of natural gas as well as oil. Considerable volumes of gas were encountered by the first well drilled by Shell in Tranche B but the well was not tested because, at that time, the value of the gas was too low to be economically producible in an area as remote from markets as the North Falkland Basin. However, since that time, the price of gas (along with oil) has risen sharply and new technology, such as gas-to-liquid (GLT) in which diesel fuel is produced from natural gas, have been developed. As a consequence, the Board commissioned a scoping study on the economics of gas production which has shown that, at prices well below current levels, gas accumulations would be economic given a field equivalent in size to a 300 million barrel oil field. Several of the prospects identified to date match this requirement. It follows that natural gas can now be added to the economic prospectivity of the North Falkland Basin.
A number of parties interested in farming into Tranches C & D are now examining the interpretation as well as conducting interpretations of their own. Hopefully, these will lead to Desire Petroleum concluding a successful farm-out leading on to exploration drilling of the most attractive prospects.
xmortal
- 10 Nov 2004 10:13
- 227 of 6492
A positive write up also in the FT newspaper. 20% so far. How do u see the price and volume developing for the rest of the week?
hlyeo98
- 10 Nov 2004 13:01
- 229 of 6492
THIS WILL SOON REACH 100P BY END OF YEAR
seawallwalker
- 10 Nov 2004 15:31
- 230 of 6492
Well done to any on this stock.
Great result so far!
Beasties
- 10 Nov 2004 16:10
- 231 of 6492
Is there any relationship between DES and FOGL?
A lot of these oil exploration companies seem to be inter-related to some degree. FOGL is well up today. Just wondered if it's just coat tails effect or if it's more sustantial reasons.
hlyeo98
- 10 Nov 2004 17:56
- 232 of 6492
DES and FOGL are inter-related as they are all involved in Falklands oil.
hlyeo98
- 10 Nov 2004 18:38
- 233 of 6492
60p tomorrow
09 November 2004
The Board of Desire Petroleum is pleased to announce that the interpretation of
both the fast-track and final-processed data from the 3D-seismic survey over
Tranches C & D has been completed. In addition to the new 3D-data, the
previously acquired 2D-data was incorporated in the interpretation where no
3D-data were available.
The interpretation included analyses of various seismic attributes as well as a
geological study. All of the processed data proved to be of excellent quality
and the new interpretation largely confirms the new geological model proposed by
the Company. In addition, other, new prospects have been identified associated,
in particular, with well-defined alluvial deltas and fans.
Within the area covered by the 3D-seismic a number of prospects have been
identified. Of these, at least six are large enough to contain economic
accumulations of oil in the range 100-1000 million barrels. These six are in
addition to those prospects already delineated by the 2-D seismic outside the
area covered by the 3D-survey.
One of the features of the 3D-seismic has been the presence of Direct
Hydrocarbon Indicators (DHI's), in particular, there are considerable
indications of the presence of natural gas as well as oil. Considerable volumes
of gas were encountered by the first well drilled by Shell in Tranche B but the
well was not tested because, at that time, the value of the gas was too low to
be economically producible in an area as remote from markets as the North
Falkland Basin. However, since that time, the price of gas (along with oil) has
risen sharply and new technology, such as gas-to-liquid (GLT) in which diesel
fuel is produced from natural gas, have been developed. As a consequence, the
Board commissioned a scoping study on the economics of gas production which has
shown that, at prices well below current levels, gas accumulations would be
economic given a field equivalent in size to a 300 million barrel oil field.
Several of the prospects identified to date match this requirement. It follows
that natural gas can now be added to the economic prospectivity of the North
Falkland Basin.
A number of parties interested in farming into Tranches C & D are now examining
the interpretation as well as conducting interpretations of their own.
Hopefully, these will lead to Desire Petroleum concluding a successful farm-out
leading on to exploration drilling of the most attractive prospects.
little willie
- 10 Nov 2004 19:11
- 234 of 6492
I reckon there will be another surge tommorrow for sure and by close Fri it will have gone 80p+ as more and more take whats happened in.
This isnt just a maybe, its a fact and its happened when oil is at its highest point and likely to stay in the 40+ per barrel range.
Some may think they've missed the boat but imho that will prove to be a nonsense when we gaze back at the stock price in a months time; I think it will be approaching 2 by year end BUT maybe a LOT higher.
woftm
107606
- 10 Nov 2004 20:18
- 235 of 6492
So will it take over night lookers to break the deadlock that existed towards the end of the day...? Maybe its cooled off?
HUSTLER
- 10 Nov 2004 20:36
- 236 of 6492
thanks to markymar and others for all the effort covering this stock
i have had an interest in desire since early 2002.
with all the positive newsflow around at present, if correct the potential
is huge,any views how high it can go and timescale of partnering ???
regards HUSTLER
oily1
- 11 Nov 2004 08:07
- 237 of 6492
Well done, Hustler, for getting in at a very good price. As for the future price of Desire, well, that's anyone's guess but in '98 the share price rose to nigh-on 5 per share.
I for one am of the frame of mind that Desire should go it alone in the forthcoming drilling in tranches C & D.
Let's face it - we have a potential multi-bagger here, yes, another Cairn Energy. A lot of people scoff at the possibility of vast amounts of hydrcarbons in the North Falklands Basin but they all have their own "ajendas" to look after. If Hubbert's Theory of Peak Oil is proven correct, we are looking at Peak Oil very, very soon, (2008). We, (and I mean globally), cannot change our way of lives overnight to the likes of hydrogen fuel cell powered cars - because that technology is not yet available and indeed, may not be for a good number of years to come.
Following on from the 3-D interpretation we now know that vast amounts of gas appear to be available; just as well for the UK as we are so dependant on gas for heating our homes. The North Sea is depleting at the rate of 6% per annum, we need an alternative source and the North Falklands Basin is looking highly likely to be that alternative.
Have a nice day.
markymar
- 11 Nov 2004 08:07
- 238 of 6492
Oil Barrel today:
Desires 3D Results Highlight Oil And Gas Potential Of The Falklands
Desire Petroleums 3D seismic shoot over Tranches C and D in the North Falkland Basin off the Falkland Isles has exceeded expectations and the exploration outfit is now hoping to sign up joint venture partners ahead of starting drilling work next year.
Were very pleased with the results, Dr Ian Duncan of Desire told oilbarrel.com. Its confirmed what we expected to see and exceeded some of our expectations.
AIM-quoted Desire - named after HMS Desire, which discovered the Falkland Islands in 1592 - was formed in 1996 to participate in the first round of licensing offshore the Falkland Islands. The company holds 100 per cent of Tranches C, D, I and L, which cover a total of 3,650 sq km or the equivalent of 13.5 UK North Sea blocks. Desire also holds 12.5 per cent in the Talisman Energy-operated Tranche F.
While the 1996-1998 exploration campaign failed to live up to the high hopes of the international oil prospectors, which included major oil companies, five of the six wells sunk during the initial drilling season recorded oil or oil and gas shows and established the presence of one of the richest source rocks in the world, the lacustrine.
Desires latest technical work has strengthened its belief in the prospectivity of the North Falkland Basin and its geological model for the area. Existing 2D data has been incorporated in the interpretation of the new 3D data, enabling the geologists to see deeper horizons not tested by the 1998 Falklands exploration campaign. The new data has largely confirmed Desires geological model as well as identifying new prospects, of which at least six could hold between 100 and 1,000 million barrels.
The 3D seismic also highlights Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators that appear to point to the presence of gas. Considerable volumes of gas were, of course, found by Shells first well in Tranche B in the 1990s but left untested because it was considered uneconomic at the time. Desire believes those economics have now been turned around given the surge in the price of gas and the reduced costs of gas-to-liquids technology. The company reckons that even at gas prices well below current levels, a gas accumulation equivalent in size to a 300 million barrel oilfield would be commercially viable. Several of the prospects identified on the seismic match this requirement.
Potential farm-in partners are now assessing Desires data. A number of companies have expressed an interest and they are reviewing the data, which obviously takes some time, said Duncan. However, we would hope to put together a group so that we can get drilling as soon as possible, ideally towards the back end of next year.
Desire aims to retain at least a 50 per cent stake in the acreage. We want to keep our exposure because we really believe in it, said Duncan.
Desire, of course, is not the only company that believes in the prospectivity of the waters off the Falkland Isles. Falkland Oil & Gas with joint venture partners Global Petroleum and Hardman Resources are preparing to shoot a survey over their acreage in the South Falkland Basin later this quarter. Geologically the two areas are very different and results in one area cannot be used to understand the other. Even so, Desire sees the renewed interest in the southern Atlantic as positive.
Its good that other companies are there now, said Duncan. It means we may be able to share some rig mobilization costs and keep costs down.
He added: Theres a lot more interest in the Falklands because its a very under-explored area with a lot of potential.
seawallwalker
- 11 Nov 2004 08:48
- 241 of 6492
Hi all.
Having read through most of the interesting bits, I have jumped in having raided the piggy bank.
I can afford to wait till 2006/7 and this looks a real winner.
xmortal
- 11 Nov 2004 10:05
- 242 of 6492
not even Maurice Green runs like Des, we have momemtum guys, mid morning and the volumes are fantastic: Nearly 8mio traded. I have few points about des (all conjectures of course but sound ones and feasible I feel)
seawallwalker
- 11 Nov 2004 13:44
- 244 of 6492
DES falling back nearly as quick as it rose.
See you all later!
signed a spineless investor