cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
Falcothou
- 17 Jul 2008 22:08
- 2257 of 21973
Seems to be some support at 11350. Think the market wants to go up. The technical guy at investor's chronicle was predicting a 7-800 bear rally on the ftse around the 5200 mark a few weeks ago that might also coincide with a drop in crude looks like he has been proved half right so far. 1305 on the s&p seemed to be the key support for this rally but as I undserstand it from mr market ticker the fed has injected 250 billion dollars in the system for fannie and freddie and that's hitting the dollar, good for exports but not inflation. Today has seen a big commodity sell off but are the instiutions really going to switch into banks from oils and miners? Yesterday the prices for uk banks were reaching silly levels but looks like hbos will not meet rights issue price so there could be trouble there! Airlines and cruise liners must get a brief bit of respite from the oil anyway
dealerdear
- 17 Jul 2008 22:21
- 2258 of 21973
agreed that unfortunately this is probably a short term rally so we have to make the most of it.
dealerdear
- 18 Jul 2008 07:34
- 2259 of 21973
could be one hell of a day!
US finishes on a high but earnings after close disappoint. End result is we open lower. So I guess we could crash today or alternately we could recover and continue the rally. Ant bets anyone?
Strawbs
- 18 Jul 2008 08:14
- 2260 of 21973
I suspect everyone is rotating out of commodities (slowing economy = less demand) into the beaten up financials (high yield etc.). Probably not great for the FTSE being so commodity heavy.....double trouble too if the banks have more bad numbers, and we see dividends getting trimmed because of money raising problems.
I also wonder if inflation is really going away. I wouldn't be surprised to see commodities bounce again later in the year, when China ramps up production/building again after the olympics. Of course they may not have too many buyers of goods in the West come Christmas time... :-)
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
Falcothou
- 18 Jul 2008 08:39
- 2261 of 21973
Options expiry today and nasdaq hit by disappointing goog and micro
Stan
- 18 Jul 2008 09:03
- 2262 of 21973
Strawbs, "double trouble too if the banks have more bad numbers"...what do you mean "if" -):
required field
- 18 Jul 2008 09:06
- 2263 of 21973
ftse turnaround at the moment.
HARRYCAT
- 18 Jul 2008 10:52
- 2264 of 21973
Miners getting hammered again & DOW currently tipped to open down 60 points.
Tricky to make money on equities, but shorters having a ball I imagine!
cynic
- 18 Jul 2008 11:36
- 2265 of 21973
both FTSE and Dow indicators have improved very significantly within last couple of minutes ...... just maybe Citicorp has come in with acceptable numbers ...... we shall see
cynic
- 18 Jul 2008 11:38
- 2266 of 21973
Citi swings to quarterly net loss of $2.5B on writedowns and soaring credit costs. Results top estimates.
good guess wasn't it
Falcothou
- 18 Jul 2008 14:59
- 2267 of 21973
Seems to be a feeling of sector rotation oil/miners to banks. However if they both go up the ftse could really rocket if they both drop probably looking at ftse 4500
cynic
- 19 Jul 2008 08:40
- 2268 of 21973
it looks very much as if there could be life in this rally yet ...... Dow closed up 50 at just below 11500 and after hours edged up another 30 points to 11510 .... depending on your readings, 11450/11500 are important indicators
if bears (hedge funds) start getting squeezed, then some interesting action ahead.
cynic
- 21 Jul 2008 12:09
- 2269 of 21973
Bank of America's second-quarter profit tumbles 41% to $3.41 billion, but earnings top analysts' estimates.
Dow indications now +75
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jul 2008 12:19
- 2270 of 21973
Amazing! They were -40 first thing this morning.
Mining stock in favour today. There seems to be a cycle of sectors being heavily traded. One day miners, then financials, then house builders. Maybe easier than trading the indices at the moment.
dealerdear
- 21 Jul 2008 12:21
- 2271 of 21973
Today both the banks and the miners have gone up.
That's confused me!
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jul 2008 12:25
- 2272 of 21973
:o) Barratt Dev also gone up which means the whole lot up today, but over the last few weeks the sectors have been separate.
cynic
- 21 Jul 2008 12:30
- 2273 of 21973
but the following does not presage good news .....
Drugmaker Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) pushed back its earnings report until after the market close. The drugmaker said it wanted to publish its report after research notes for a study of cholesterol medicine Simvastatin are released.
Analysts expect to Merck to report earnings of 83 cents per share on revenue of $6.05 billion, according to a Thomson Financial poll.
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jul 2008 13:19
- 2274 of 21973
Now DOW stock futures +19.
Cashed in my mining stocks at a small profit & now waiting for the next oversold sector!
dealerdear
- 21 Jul 2008 15:22
- 2275 of 21973
What a bloody nightmare market!
Shares go up, then down, up then stand on their head.
The only thing they don't do is turn themselves inside out .... yet!
How are you meant to trade the market like this?
Answers on a postcard to ...
HARRYCAT
- 22 Jul 2008 10:36
- 2276 of 21973
DOW looking grim again. Currently -94.
Most house builders down today, so a possible bounce on the cards in that sector.