zarif
- 09 Sep 2003 06:09
how do you see the dow index going today
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zarif
- 12 Nov 2004 10:47
- 2263 of 2279
morning all:
Well the dow has surprised everybody by doing near enough 800 pts up in a very short spate of time and hardly any retrace. Oil has lost some 7 odd dollars.
Any explanations as NOTHING HAS CHANGED -Bush in power -his last term was not brilliant for the economy -so what difference will it make now with increasing debt,Iraq etc etc.
The funnymentals dont add up either except big MANIPULATION.
Trade what you see and remember the Turn can come on a dime!!!
rgds
zarif
ps: sorry guys as have not been around much lately.
zarif
- 12 Nov 2004 13:16
- 2264 of 2279
Tom Hougaards market view for today
rgds
zarif
Good morning,
It is quite an interesting situation we have in the markets right now. Yesterday, today and over the course of the coming days we will see some major time and price square outs.
The SP500 went straight into the double top mentioned yesterday. Today is 768 calendar days from the bear market low of 768. It is also 1530 calendar days away from the high on the 1st September 2000 at 1530. There are other things coming out from a price and time perspective as well today.
There will be resistance around the 1176 area which is essentially a double top. Support will be around 1162. The Dow has just managed to make it into positive for the year.
Good luck today
Tom
zarif
- 12 Nov 2004 20:31
- 2265 of 2279
Dow relentless UP again today- hardly any retraces.
With the MSFT div coming into play around now -will it give chances to short?
rgds
zarif
Harlosh
- 13 Nov 2004 01:30
- 2266 of 2279
Hey Zarif, where have you been?
I'm studying PnF charting at the moment. Decided to plump for Updata for the quality of their PnF charts and because it's a monthly payment and can cancel at anytime.
Anyway, the PnF chart for the Dow has a target price of 11100 or thereabouts. Don't know when though but looks like it won't be too long.
There's a prediction for you. It will be interesting to see.
Regards
Harlosh
orky1963
- 15 Nov 2004 08:35
- 2267 of 2279
Zarif
Any views today. Been looking for a retracement but is looks very bullish. perhaps Nigerian oil strike may inpact it?
jj50
- 15 Nov 2004 09:08
- 2268 of 2279
zarif
- 15 Nov 2004 10:14
- 2269 of 2279
Harlosh - nice to hear from you. I think your figure has merit.
Orky, JJ50 et al.
This market at the moment i would say at the least is "scary" in the most polite terms.
If you step back and look at the picture all you can see is that this market has risen so fast in a spate of few weeks to such levels in a relentless uptrend with hardly any retracements - the whole world and his wife is trying to catch the top and see when it retraces -but with such momentum and only sentiment driven its not taking prisoners.
For example if you take SNP( approx 1snp point = 10 dow points)a fortnightor so ago at 1118 and friday at 1185 that is 67 sp500 points equating 670 dow points. So a lot of shorts are being hit and taken out of the game.Also with the minutest retraces the dipsters are coming out in force and buying.You must watch when the dipsters stop appearing and then it will topple as the indicators are all at extremes.- but the technicals dont have to reset.
My advise in this market is "scalp" and keep banking -keep stakes small as it can wipe you out of the game in one swoop.
Note that the trend is up - for it to reverse it has to go through the motions as : sideways UP, Sideways,Sideways DOWN,then DOWN. So there will be enough time to board the bus.
Watch the Dates on 22nd Nov and 29th NOV ( Harlosh -thats my prediction for you)!!!!
If in doubt stay out.
trade wisely and safely
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 21 Nov 2004 00:07
- 2270 of 2279
Orky, it looks like your retracement is here.
jj50
- 21 Nov 2004 10:31
- 2271 of 2279
Agree snoball. Although Tom H commented earlier in the year, that historically, investing on Thanksgiving Day and selling early in the New Year, has 72% of the time resulted in profit...
snoball
- 25 Nov 2004 23:53
- 2272 of 2279
The retracement seems to have bottomed out on the 22nd.
Is that what zarif was hinting at?
What's going to happen on 29th, a breakout at 10600?
zarif
- 16 Dec 2004 09:36
- 2273 of 2279
Morning all:
So how are we all. I had other projects in mind and must apologise for not posting much.
So where are we now - This grinding Up market is taking no prisoners. The dips are being bought.Also the seasonal stuff.
Watch the market and play what you see.
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 06 May 2005 11:50
- 2274 of 2279
It's about time this thread was revived.
I'm short the June Dow at 10351.
How are we all then?
Velocity
- 06 May 2005 19:02
- 2275 of 2279
key points for me are 10,300 & 10,400, waiting for one or other to crack, but long intc from 23.00 so can't complain
Velocity
- 06 May 2005 19:21
- 2276 of 2279
flirting with 10400 - dunno if anyone watched it at this level yesterday but it got absolutely battered.
snoball
- 06 May 2005 23:44
- 2277 of 2279
Stopped out on the short future and a long on the daily.
10400 resistance held today i see Velocity.
Stan
- 24 Mar 2017 22:24
- 2278 of 2279
Wall Street didn't like what it saw on Capitol Hill Friday over the health care vote.
The Dow tumbled over 100 points Friday afternoon after it became clear that the healthcare bill to replace Obamacare would be defeated in a vote. However, markets recovered quickly soon after news that the bill had been pulled from a vote at President Trump's request.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq all went into the red after 1 p.m. ET Friday when it became apparent that Republicans did not have enough "yes" votes. After news that Trump had pulled the bill, the markets rebounded from the lows. The Dow ended 60 points lower, while S&P was off slightly. Nasdaq ended up 0.2%.
cynic
- 25 Mar 2017 11:22
- 2279 of 2279
though DOW closed -60, it is worth noting that the critical 20,610 level held