bosley
- 20 Feb 2004 09:34
markusantonius
- 27 Mar 2005 23:21
- 2329 of 27111
Good, well thought out, well expressed post, Eric. Your reasonaing makes good sense, as always. Even if there is a degree of hasty profit taking now and the next few months are not as rewarding as we all would hope, I tend to think the sp can only go one way overall and that is NORTH in the long run! With a 4-day bank holiday, surely institutional buyers will be eagerly waiting for the 0800 bell to sound on Tuesday? Cheers,
Kus.
bhunt1910
- 28 Mar 2005 08:29
- 2330 of 27111
Just back from my 3 weeks holiday and the news re SEO is excellent and much as expected. Thanks to all for excellent postings and analysis - it really is a pleasure to read sensible and well thought out comment on this BB. I am still cautiously optimistic with SEO - it still seems too good to be true and I keep looking for the downside - but I just cannot see one - even the Court case seems to be a relatively minor irritant now.
PS - I can thoroughly recommend GOA for a winter break - the weather was a constant 34/35 degrees C with a gentyle on shore breeze, the sea was not a lot cooler - like a warm bath. The food is fantaaastic - 3 weeks and not a hint of a delhi belly - the peopole are warm, friendly and genuine and its so cheap - we strugggled to dpend more than 5 per head for an evening meal including drinks - lovely fish and lobster (about5), Chateaubriand 3, Gin & Tonic (Double)- 75p. The hotels are good but basic, clean and comfortable - and whats more if you have a Tesco Club card or Tesco Credit card it will cost you next to nothing (We shop at Tesco but use a Tesco Credit card for all our purchases - using their club deals we travelled to Goa with Cosmos, stayed in a 4 star hotel, and it cost us 20 (yes 20) - if anyone wants any details - please email me seperately). Our next trip is to Prague in May and again 5 days is only costing about 140. There are no catches.
Looking forward to Tuesday and getting back up to speed
Bazza
bosley
- 28 Mar 2005 09:36
- 2331 of 27111
great post eric. i hope you are right when you say your projections are cautious. it will be an interesting week, next week. personally, i am hoping for consolidation at the current price.
glad you had a good time ,bhunt.
girlfriend has a great day planned for me today looking for a new sofa. what fun!!!! dfs here we come.
SEADOG
- 28 Mar 2005 10:38
- 2332 of 27111
Excellent post Eric as usual, I will most probably be dipping my toes in tuesday, hope you get the mag soon, posted Sat.
bosely---- Is that a rec for dfs ?????????
andysmith
- 28 Mar 2005 20:12
- 2333 of 27111
Eric, good post, number crunching always puts the meat on the bones.
Tesco and Sainsburys will soon be wishing they had this and will be chomping at the bit in a years time, in the meantime they could squeeze every possible ounce out of their current suppliers whom won't necessarily also supply Asda.
In turn these suppliers will be chomping at the bit to get this technology.
WHY so much interest? because it reduces their costs and has positive impact on their environmental obligations. The growth potential is outstanding, say 250-300 machines this year, royalties from these the following year plus 500 new machines, the year after that royalties from 750-800 plus 1000 more machines and so on and so on. Conservative figures here but just an example of growth.
I like the quote from the Asda chap about other ideas for this technology within packaging, there are now loads of other avenues to be explored and the fact that SEO are being backed by Asda will just drive it on. I bet BPRG wish they had this kind of backing. The other revenue lines like Frogpack, Water-Soluble, Bio-degradable and now Ingel are vitally important as it shows there is more to SEO than RF sealing of meat. SEO really could be the next Tetrapack.
stockdog
- 28 Mar 2005 20:33
- 2334 of 27111
Outside the UK many governments now do or soon will impose penalties for using too much (or any) non-biodegradable plastics. That is an enormous market for SEO too. As usual, for all Tony's talk, UK is ourselves more closely to the US and its gas-guzzling, sod the environment attitude. But even the UK will have to give in one day and embrace the need to stop using oil products to create damaging and/or indestructible waste.
EWRobson
- 28 Mar 2005 22:21
- 2335 of 27111
andysmith
I see you have gone for 250-300 machines this year, 500 next year and 1000 the following making 1750-1800 or 3.5% of the machine market. That compares with my 200, 800 and 1750 respectively, a total of 2750 or 5.5% of the market. Both could be very conservative. At some stage you would expect competition to emerge together with patent battles; seeing the problems BPRG have had with SEO then SEO may well have similar problems. However, you would not expect the majors to want to take risks with litigation over their projects and tehy will be likely to stay faithful to SEO. It will be interesting to compare our views with the official analyst projections when they emerge. We may both be in right ballpark on current year and next year bit I suspect hopelessly cautious thereafter. Not just a matter of mid-cap but FT100 - here we come!
Eric
EWRobson
- 29 Mar 2005 09:41
- 2337 of 27111
di: Thanks for that. 30p will be OK for the moment. Buying those shares back?
Eric
stockdog
- 29 Mar 2005 10:08
- 2339 of 27111
Good news, Di
SEO is my share for this year - nearly all excess weight is in there. 30p will be a good level of comfort to reach.
SD
bosley
- 29 Mar 2005 10:57
- 2340 of 27111
morning all. hope you had a good easter. good start to the week. volumes ok and we are nice and steady. also been having a read of evo's (tim freeborns) thoughts on seo. very detailed and interesting analysis.
Poverty
- 29 Mar 2005 11:25
- 2342 of 27111
Hi guys - SEO look good and stable for the moment - I expect them to rise over the next few months - hopefully to 30p. SEO always seem very resilient and hold up well price-wise. I think they also have excellent Market Makers in charge - they don't do silly things with the price or spread.
ULT are off on one again today if you fancy the day trading punt of the week!
stockdog
- 29 Mar 2005 13:03
- 2343 of 27111
bos - is there a link to evo's note?
SD
Poverty
- 29 Mar 2005 15:23
- 2344 of 27111
- Wish I'd kept me trap shut!!
EWRobson
- 29 Mar 2005 16:24
- 2345 of 27111
Poverty - at least someone accepts the blame! Looking at the trades, it looks like a bear raid! Any comments?
bos: it would be helpful to have essence of EVO note if the link cannot be posted. Ta muchly!
Eric
bosley
- 29 Mar 2005 17:04
- 2347 of 27111
evening all. link is
http://www.evbgresearch.com/
but you have to register first. if price holds at previous 17p support we will be ok , i think. lots of red today again!
stockdog
- 29 Mar 2005 17:22
- 2348 of 27111
thanks, bosley
red everywhere - some starting to hurt a good deal too.