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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

EWRobson - 24 Apr 2006 23:05 - 2336 of 2787

sd: just come from a nice chat with a doggy friend on DEBT. I am wondering (a) what the size of the AIM nomad market is; (b) how quickly is it growing; (c) what is DGTs market share; (d) how is it growing against the market. Leaving aside the fundraising opportunities, I suspect that DGT is a way under valued against the established companies in the market. Over the next year or two this should be rectified. How do you see these numbers?

Eric

stockdog - 24 Apr 2006 23:24 - 2337 of 2787

a) no idea
b) in the final throws of merger and acquisitrions madness, but new co's will always need to come to market. but other NOMADS may steal DGT's work if M&A dries up which could happen very suddenly and quite soon IMHO.
c) no idea
d) my guess is it has a tiny bottom-feeding share of the market and may well not be overly affected by macro changes to the market size or direction. but we may be vulnerable to a sudden loss of appetite amongst placees to go out on a limb with new untested businesses.

Also watch out for the so-called "secret" review of AIM standards being carried out by FSA I hear.
Could put a damper on some of the racier outfits trying to come to market.

Sorry in brief - will be killed anyway when I get home from the office.

sd

EWRobson - 25 Apr 2006 20:03 - 2338 of 2787

So out on the tiles last night! No doubt had to sleep in the external kennel. What a dog's life. Still you are in chipper mood today judging by other threads. Its interesting to reflect on the effect of their sector on the market valuation. What other sector could you see figures, and potential, like those of DGT linked with their pathetic market capitalisation. Positive though for continuing to build a stake and a nice long run of appreciating capital.

Eric

stockdog - 25 Apr 2006 20:43 - 2339 of 2787

Eric, it occurs to me that if this year is as good as it lokks it will be, then dividends are very much on the cards. That in itself at quite modest levels will allow institutions to look more closely at this one.

sd

EWRobson - 25 Apr 2006 23:02 - 2340 of 2787

sd: agree with that. Rawlinson sounded quite positive anyway and prospects are looking better all the time.

white westie - 26 Apr 2006 10:14 - 2341 of 2787

We have lost one,


Elite Strategies PLC
26 April 2006


26 April 2006


Elite Strategies Plc
Change of Adviser

The Board of Elite Strategies Plc today announces the appointment of Charles
Stanley Securities as its Nominated Adviser and Broker with immediate effect.


-Ends-


For further information please contact:

Hogarth Partnership 020 7357 9477

stockdog - 26 Apr 2006 11:00 - 2342 of 2787

Tant pis.

Will remove from model.

Thanks, WW

sd

rawsthornebj001 - 27 Apr 2006 10:26 - 2343 of 2787

tant pis? oh yes!

nevgroom - 29 Apr 2006 15:58 - 2344 of 2787

SD - How do these figs match with what you had (jscapper from other site posted them)

Contempary Enterprises 55000(placement) 15000(NOMAD) 5000(other)
IAF 75000(placement)18000(NOMAD)
Euro Capital 35000(placement) 15000(NOMAD)
Clarkson Hill 70000(placement) 20000(NOMAD) 5000(broker)
Strontium 40000(placement) 12500(NOMAD) 2500(broker)
Interbulk 225000(advisory) 30000(placement) 15000(NOMAD)
Practolus 50000(placement) 17500(NOMAD)
Dunn Line 18000(NOMAD)
Mobestar Holdings 75000(advisory) 18000(NOMAD)
One Charter 40000(advisory) 15000(NOMAD)

Total 340000 (advisory)
355000(placement)
164000 (NOMAD)
7500 (broker)
5000(other)

Overall 871500

Nev

stockdog - 01 May 2006 19:48 - 2345 of 2787

What there is pretty much corresponds to what I have, but there are a lot more from history and more new business this year. Currently my totals are


Retainers b/f 50% allocated to H1 - 315,700
New retainers 50%/25% (depending whether acquired Q1 or Q2) allocated to H1 - 84,750
Other transactions so far H1 - 762,500
Total - 1,162,950
Estimated to come H1 - 291,500 new retainers + other transactions
Total est. H1 - 1,454,450

Est. H2 - 1,647,450 (incl. retainers acquired in H1 allocated 6 months worth to H2)

Total FY est. - 3,101,900 48% up on last year (excl. any sale of investments for either year)

Expenses est. 1,435,000
Bonuses est. 1,000,140
Interest earned est. 50,000

Net profit before/after tax 716,760, fully diluted EPS 0.1054P growth of 22% = PE of 8.16 (at Friday's close of 0.86p) and PEG of 0.37.

If PE fair value should be nearer 12.5, suggests SP should be heading towards 1.32p. My guess is not much action until interims when we can get a more accurate fix where they are heading. If I'm anywhere near correct, we should see another significant move up above 1p at that stage.

WDIK
DYOR

PS. Nev - hope you didn't buy ALL your shares on the back of my figures!!

sd


nevgroom - 01 May 2006 21:17 - 2346 of 2787

SD - I agree. Probably more drift downwards upto interims (around .75) then perhaps break the 1p barrier in August early September. The major unkown is what will RIL do next????

Nev

nevgroom - 01 May 2006 21:19 - 2347 of 2787

Oh and I forgot - We'll have 1.5m+ in the bank by then which makes the forward p/e ridiculously low

stockdog - 02 May 2006 06:59 - 2348 of 2787

Agreed, Nev - with getting on for 2m cash by year end, making the prospective enterprise value about 3.9m at today's SP, the forward enterprise PE is only about 5.4. So maybe we should be nearer double the SP if H1 results give us confidence we remain on track for my FY estimated results.

Who knows what's holding the SP down, but value will out in the end.

sd

Global Nomad - 02 May 2006 13:51 - 2349 of 2787

from todays Independent;

US firms flock to AIM

There is little doubt that AIM has become the number one place for small US companies in search of a stock market listing.

There are now 29 US companies quoted on London's junior market.

Of those, 19 were admitted in 2005, raising well over 1bn of new money.

In the meantime, there has been a marked decline in the number of small companies listing on American exchanges.

Two key factors seem to be driving these trends. First, the Sarbanes-Oxley reforms rushed through Congress in 2002 after the Enron and WorldCom accounting scandals have simply made the process of getting and holding on to a New York quote excessively fraught with regulation and cost. The New York Stock Exchange said as much just last week.

Second, the Nasdaq Stock Market has imposed minimum market capitalisation and share prices on companies. This has left US firms valued at under 200m with nowhere to go.

On Thursday, two US lawmakers said they were drafting legislation to roll back portions of the Sarbanes-Oxley reforms.

If they are successful that might stem the tide of small American small companies abandoning Wall Street.

Meanwhile, AIM looks set to continue to cash in on its newfound popularity.

Global Nomad - 08 May 2006 11:52 - 2350 of 2787

a million share sale through this morning, sales:buys almost 3:1 and no drop in share price -
a good sign i would have thought.

capper - 08 May 2006 22:15 - 2351 of 2787

Atelis
NOMAD 18000
Placement 70000

A good way to start May

EWRobson - 12 May 2006 22:31 - 2352 of 2787

DGT the only blue share on my watchlist today. Move up of 0.03p on a million shares purchase, only 9K, then price holds with similar volume of sales. Now what would happen with even 10 million shares bought?

Eric

white westie - 12 May 2006 22:48 - 2353 of 2787

check out the website new director appointed in May

Barry Saint

It was picked up on the other BB by jscapper a good spot, looks like thing are moving along now will be able to manage more work.

ww

Global Nomad - 13 May 2006 09:40 - 2354 of 2787

There is some suggestion in the papers this morning that after the global drops in equities yesterday that this may be the beginning of jitters and nervousness about the general direction if not the needle that bursts the 'bubble'.

This may in turn lead to some reconsideration of timing of IPO's and those seeking to join the market. Clearly any change in sentiment in this regard as opposed to general performance of indices will have an effect on DGT revenue streams.

what think you good people? What is the mood going to be over the next few months?
GN

Good to see the sp move up in opposition to the general trend

Kivver - 13 May 2006 09:47 - 2355 of 2787

I think we will have a very average week in the markets and maybe/probably some more downside. This sell in may thing seems a bit ridiculus to me, the cost of selling to buy back in later. Id rather watch my portfolio go down with a fair bit of confidence it will come back and a bit more. The markets are in a generall up trend!! What has changed? my only concern is the Iran issue. All imho of course. PS in dowgate and staying in!
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