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AFREN (AFR) Is this the next TULLOW??? (AFR)     

niceonecyril - 04 Apr 2009 08:30

< "> Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Siedit this post http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201301210700069619
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2012-full-year-results/201303250700107200A/

In an attempt to cut down the header page,i've transferred some of the older news to Page1 post No.3.

http://www.oil-price.net/index.php?lang=en
http://www.ft.com/home/uk

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111020700081674R
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111150700250723S
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201112010705051251T
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201170700146472V
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201230701479690V
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4323758
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201204170700164488B
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205140700212304D
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205210700407032D
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4430164
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/significant-new-seychelles-3d-seismic-programme/201212120700052973T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2013-half-yearly-results/201308230700063334M/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/ogo-drilling-and-resources-update/201311190700083404T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201401280700096280Y/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201405200700135209H/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201410300700116483V/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4942625
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4943375

niceonecyril - 19 Aug 2013 11:14 - 2337 of 3666


Friday 23 August

Friday will see first-half results from oil and gas company Afren (AFR).

Analysts' expectations: "Following a strong first quarter and no apparent hiccups in the second quarter, we expect a strong operational and commensurately solid financial performance from the first-half results," comments Brian Gallagher, an analyst at Investec.

He forecasts revenue of $716 million (£459.5 million), post-tax cashflow of $410 million and post-tax profit of $105 million as Afren is "riding a tailwind from the Ogo vertical, its pending sidetrack and building regional momentum in Kurdistan". Gallagher is bullish on the stock, rating it a 'buy'.

Valuation: Afren trades on a 2014 EV/EBITDA ratio of three times.

niceonecyril - 19 Aug 2013 11:14 - 2338 of 3666


Friday 23 August

Friday will see first-half results from oil and gas company Afren (AFR).

Analysts' expectations: "Following a strong first quarter and no apparent hiccups in the second quarter, we expect a strong operational and commensurately solid financial performance from the first-half results," comments Brian Gallagher, an analyst at Investec.

He forecasts revenue of $716 million (£459.5 million), post-tax cashflow of $410 million and post-tax profit of $105 million as Afren is "riding a tailwind from the Ogo vertical, its pending sidetrack and building regional momentum in Kurdistan". Gallagher is bullish on the stock, rating it a 'buy'.

Valuation: Afren trades on a 2014 EV/EBITDA ratio of three times.

omce36 - 19 Aug 2013 12:35 - 2339 of 3666

Cheers Cyril. Missed that.Was only aware that earnings were due friday 23rd.

Thanks for the colour.

niceonecyril - 23 Aug 2013 07:14 - 2340 of 3666

http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2013-half-yearly-results/201308230700063334M/


Key Highlights
· Strong operating cash flow driven by a 13 per cent. year-on-year increase in net production to 47,653 boepd; on track for full year guidance of 40,000 - 47,000 boepd

· Continued E&A success

- Play opening discovery at OPL 310, offshore Nigeria

- DST programme at Simrit-2 on the Ain Sifni PSC, Kurdistan region of Iraq complete, with aggregate flow rates of 19,641 bopd achieved. Well being prepared for Extended Well Test operations

- Completion of drilling at Simrit-3. Multi-zone testing programme underway to confirm the resource potential and the eastern extent of the Simrit anticline

- Active exploration programme with ongoing Ogo-1 sidetrack and upcoming Ufon-1 well on OML 115 in Nigeria

· Active portfolio management

- Completion of farm-out (subject to Nigerian Ministerial Consent) of a 30 per cent. economic interest in OPL 310, offshore Nigeria, to Lekoil Limited

- Acquisition by FHN of 16.9 per cent. economic interest in OML 113. Synergies expected with OPL 310 development

- Agreement for sale of CI-11 block and Lion Gas Plant for total consideration of US$26.5 million, of which US$15.3 million will be settled in cash

- Proposed relinquishment of JDZ Block 1, Nigeria São Tomé & Príncipe

· Strong balance sheet and financial flexibility

- Cash at bank US$588 million (1H 2012: US$497 million); Net debt, excluding finance leases US$590 million (1H 2012: US$679 million). Full year capex guidance revised to US$650 million from US$620 million

Commenting today, Osman Shahenshah, Chief Executive of Afren plc, said:
"Afren continued to deliver strong operational results during the first half of 2013. We recorded a year-on-year increase in underlying net production of 13 per cent. principally from our green field developments offshore Nigeria. Our exploration campaign continues to deliver results, following the play opening discovery announced at OPL 310 offshore Nigeria, where further exploration drilling is ongoing. Elsewhere, we are continuing with exploration drilling and testing operations at the Ain Sifni PSC in Kurdistan. With high quality production underpinning both our strong financial position and exploration programme, we are well placed to realise numerous growth opportunities over the remainder of this year."

cynic - 23 Aug 2013 10:05 - 2341 of 3666

i thought AFR's figures were actually on the better side of OK, and that the fall in the sp this morning has more to do with "selling on the news" than anything else ..... thus, if i felt my holding was still a bit light, i would not be averse to topping up at this level

Fred1new - 23 Aug 2013 10:12 - 2342 of 3666

Cynic,

At the right price you can buy some of mine.

Not one of my cleverest buys.

HARRYCAT - 23 Aug 2013 10:29 - 2343 of 3666

AFR's figures weren't as good as hoped, I think, hence the fall:

"StockMarketWire.com

Afren posts pre-tax profits of $260m for the six months to the end of June - 16% down on last year's restated $311m.

Revenues were up 2% at $797m but gross profits fell by 8% to $377m."

derwent - 23 Aug 2013 10:40 - 2344 of 3666

Still holding. Profits down due to extra tax and company tidying up their portfolio. Management to buy in and then Kurdistan news expected this year. Tanzania next. Plus Nigeria production and exploration as the money maker. Brokers retaining their buy stance.
LTH

cynic - 23 Aug 2013 10:42 - 2345 of 3666

i have several lumps of AFR, and i see all are in profit except one that i bought in january which shows a small loss, so overall very happy even if this is no rocket (yet)

Fred1new - 23 Aug 2013 15:42 - 2346 of 3666

Canaccord Genuity, recommended a ‘buy’ rating for Afren after the oil explorer reported first half results ahead of the broker's expectations.
The analyst said production was 2% ahead of estimates, revenue was 5% higher and cashflow was in line.

cynic - 23 Aug 2013 18:04 - 2347 of 3666

typical brokers report
Canaccord Genuity cuts target price to 190p from 220p; rating buy

halifax - 23 Aug 2013 19:47 - 2348 of 3666

pretty boring atm no div what's in it for shareholders?

cynic - 23 Aug 2013 19:59 - 2349 of 3666

capital growth, which i'ld much rather have than divi .... and before you come back at me, my average price is 127 and my earliest tranche was bought in may '12 and last in july '13, so a very respectable return

dreamcatcher - 23 Aug 2013 20:11 - 2350 of 3666

Sorry wrong thread, cannot think why I put it here. :-))

halifax - 24 Aug 2013 00:04 - 2351 of 3666

cynic how much you have paid for your shares is rather irrelevant to investors, capital growth can only be achieved when AFR shares profits with its owners (shareholders), otherwise there is the suspicion that this company is being run for the benefit of its directors and management.

cynic - 24 Aug 2013 08:28 - 2352 of 3666

no one is compelling you or your buddies to buy ..... if one of your key criteria is yield, then that is fine, but it's not mine ..... as far as i am concerned, i am more than happy with my choice ..... i am comfortably in profit; sp continues to chug slowly north; there is a possibility verging on probability that AFR will be bought out within an arbitrary 2/3 years

niceonecyril - 24 Aug 2013 09:11 - 2353 of 3666


Afren (LON:AFR)‘s stock had its “overweight” rating restated by Morgan Stanley in a research note issued on Friday,AnalystRatings.Net reports. They currently have a GBX 210 ($3.28) price target on the stock. Morgan Stanley’s target price would suggest a potential upside of 43.93% from the stock’s previous close.

Shares of Afren (LON:AFR) opened at 141.50 on Friday. Afren has a 52-week low of GBX 118.20 and a 52-week high of GBX 162.00. The stock’s 50-day moving average is GBX 45.44 and its 200-day moving average is GBX 73.13. The company’s market cap is £1.540 billion.

A number of other firms have also recently commented on AFR. Analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. reiterated an “underweight” rating on shares of Afren in a research note to investors on Wednesday. Separately, analysts at RBC Capital reiterated an “outperform” rating on shares of Afren in a research note to investors on Friday, August 16th. They now have a GBX 180 ($2.82) price target on the stock. Finally, analysts at Westhouse Securities reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Afren in a research note to investors on Wednesday, August 14th. They now have a GBX 160 ($2.50) price target on the stock.


Afren plc (LON:AFR) is engaged in oil and gas exploration, development and production in Africa and the Kurdistan region of Iraq.One analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, five have assigned a hold rating and seventeen have given a buy rating to the company’s stock. The stock presently has an average rating of “Buy” and an average price target of GBX 181.52 ($2.84).

omce36 - 24 Aug 2013 13:25 - 2354 of 3666

Nice recovery from an initial disappointing reaction to the News...at one point Affers was down 5% - closed down marginally.I guess many were expecting Well news, of which there was little. High tax rate impinging on profits but all eyes on imminent well results.

Have a good bank holiday weekend all.

niceonecyril - 25 Aug 2013 07:53 - 2355 of 3666


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/sharewatch/market-report-investors-ditch-afren-over-lion-sale-8783157.html

Market Report: Investors ditch Afren over Lion sale

The price that African oil explorer Afren got for its Lion Gas plant failed to keep investors happy and they headed for the exit yesterday.

The mid-cap index-listed oil specialist sold off its Ivory Coast CI-11 block and Lion Gas plant for $26.5m (£17m), but analysts said the City was left disgruntled at the price.

Stephane Foucaud, an analyst at FirstEnergy, said the price was “a fraction of what it was purchased for in late 2008 and what the carry value was at $220m.

“It is almost $200m less than what we were expecting and we are usually on the low side of the consensus. For a £1.6bn market cap, this is quite material”.

Afren did report good production numbers but also revealed a 16 per cent fall in its first-half pre-tax profits to $260m (£167m).

The City reacted by flogging the company’s shares and they were the second-worst faller on the mid-tier table during the afternoon session.

However, they recovered some of their fall and closed the day down just 0.3p to 145.6p.

niceonecyril - 25 Aug 2013 08:07 - 2356 of 3666

It seems that heavy taxation by the Nigerians is also having a negative effect,also any news being sparingly shared prompting comments it's to do with the following??
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----London, Friday 5th July 2013 - Afren plc ("Afren" or the "Company") announces that following the sale of all Afren PDMR holdings in First Hydrocarbon Nigeria ("FHN") to CSL Stockbrokers in Nigeria, they have undertaken to use the net proceeds to acquire Afren shares in the public markets.



The Afren Chairman and Executive Directors, together with certain other Afren PDMRs, have today entered into Sale and Purchase Agreements with CSL Stockbrokers for the sale of 11,819,085 shares in FHN (approximately 10 per cent. of the issued share capital of FHN) at a price of US$2.47 per share. Net proceeds will be used to acquire Afren shares in the public markets, following the expiry of the current H1 2013 close period, and undertake to hold the shares for a minimum of two years.

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