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DRIVERS TIPS     

driver - 02 Mar 2006 15:23

This thread is designed for punters to tip any share or shares they like from Blue Chips to Penny Stocks.
YOU CAN RAMP AS MUCH AS YOU LIKE or you can be a constructive market analyst, please yourself.
Drivers Tip, Buy Low Sell High

Pension Calculator
http://www.pensioncalculator.org.uk/pages/home.php
Cash Converter.
http://www.xe.com/
The World Clock
http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/
Calendar for year 2008/9/10 (United Kingdom) Printable.
http://www.timeanddate.com/calendar/?year=2007
Companies House
http://www.companieshouse.gov.uk/
HM Revenue & Customs
http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/practitioners/moreinfomore.shtml
Takeover Panel Website All The Rules
http://www.thetakeoverpanel.org.uk/new/codesars/DATA/code.pdf
United States Patent And Trademark Office.
http://www.uspto.gov/patft/index.html
The UK Patent Office.
http://www.patent.gov.uk/
Market Makers Methods of Stock Manipulation
http://www.imanet.org/pdf/1832.pdf
Translation Site
http://babelfish.altavista.com/tr
Money Terms
http://moneyterms.co.uk/
The Markets
http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/fds/hi/business/market_data/ticker/markets/default.stm
CAPITAL GAINS TAX B/Board
http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=4874#lastread
Stocks Advise LOL
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSoecK3u65Q
Falling Sand Game
http://chir.ag/stuff/sand/
Retail Prices Index
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/tsdataset.asp?vlnk=229&More=N&All=Y
www.stockmarket-channel.tv
http://www.stockmarket-channel.tv/
The Full Handbook
http://fsahandbook.info/FSA/html/handbook
Tax on the sale of shares
http://www.direct.gov.uk/en/MoneyTaxAndBenefits/Taxes/TaxOnSavingsAndInvestments/DG_10013733

hewittalan6 - 28 Jul 2006 17:02 - 238 of 934

Silvermede,
Did you notice? HYC +6.38% today as a result of the AGM.
Can't see anything specific eminating from it, but someone must have been impressed.
Alan

driver - 31 Jul 2006 10:06 - 239 of 934

From another board interesting post.

Thought I might share my thoughts on market makers while I have a quiet moment, if anyone is interested. There's a lot of misinformation floating around on these boards, it might help people understand a bit more.

I think the key to understanding the market makers is to consider that they are only traders, just like us, buying and selling shares to make a profit. They want to buy at the bottom and sell at the top.

The difference between them and us is that they take a very short term view - they like to keep a 'flat' book overall (holding no shares) to minimise risk. They also have influence over the price movements, as they set the prices.

They have two ways of making money - the first is through the spread, the second is through price movements. They can make money from the spread even with a flat price, by moving from the bid to the offer and back, buying and selling and profiting from the difference between the two. This doesn't really affect us, unless the spread is very wide in which case it's hard to profit.

It's when they make money from the share price movements that we should be interested, because the market maker's interests are the opposite of ours. For them to profit by buying cheap and sell expensive, we have to sell at the bottom and buy at the top. This is achieved in a few ways:

- If a share has been low for a period of time, people have sold out and moved on and the MMs have a holding, they will want to get rid of it. The SP will start rising for no apparent reason, causing people to speculate and buy into the rise. The price may then stabilise when the MMs have cleared their stock, or they may continue the game by dropping the price to encourage selling, and repeat.

- The MMs may go short on the stock. To do this they may raise or lower the price to encourage buying (on some stocks, people will buy in when it looks 'cheap', on others people will see a rise as precluding 'good news and will buy). The price will then fall, leaving you with a choice of holding for an unknown length of time to get your money back, or selling at a loss.

If the SP suddenly rises on good news, with a lot of people buying in, you can assume that the MMs will have previously held a flat book and unless they had prior warning of news and accumulated a decent number of shares through a 'treeshake' (suddenly dropping the price, then raising it again to frighten investors into selling) they will have gone short on the stock. They then have a large paper loss - they have sold shares they do not have and must buy back at some point to balance their books, and have sold them at an average price lower than the current price. Many investors will try to sell at the top, helping to balance the MMs books, but leaving them with a large loss. This is the main reason that stocks 'retrace' after a rise - the MMs will drive down the price as far and for as long as possible, to sap the moral of investors, and hopefully to encourage them to sell at the bottom. It's worth noting that when they do this, sometimes the buying still outweighs the selling. I believe they allow this in the hope that given enough time, the buying will dry up and people will lose confidence and start selling.

If the share price suddenly falls on bad news, the MMs will try to limit selling as much as they can, and will drop the price as fast as they can. This is so that when they do absorb all the sells they will accumulate shares at the lowest price possible, and hopefully sell them back into the market on any bounce or future rises.

Well, I hope that helps somebody.

robertalexander - 31 Jul 2006 10:10 - 240 of 934

what do you think of THR they are a hisk risk exploratory share. the last RNS gave disappointing figures but dont how to interpret these. do they mean that they are still a poss multi bagger but not to the same extent as previously thought or more likely dont touch me with a barge pole?
your thoughts if you get a chance please?
i only hold 100pounds worth and can afford to lose it as was a little gamble.
Alex

bosley - 31 Jul 2006 20:55 - 241 of 934

alan, i'll stick it here.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EOD&Code=HYC&Size=70

from what i have read it's not a dead cross. even though the 50ma has crossed the 200ma, the 200ma is still moving up. for it to be a dead cross both the 50ma and 200ma need to be on the down slope. however, if things carry on like this it does look like there will be a golden cross quite soon.

hewittalan6 - 31 Jul 2006 21:53 - 242 of 934

Take your word for it, bos.
Even with 20/20 hindsight I can't see anything in the chart that would have suggested the rapid rise. help me to learn?
Alan

bosley - 31 Jul 2006 22:52 - 243 of 934

the macd turning positive, maybe? but here is a good opportunity. let's keep an eye on it. if there is a golden cross, then it should be followed by a good bull run.

moneyplus - 01 Aug 2006 20:53 - 244 of 934

Picked up a few Redhall group RHL today been rising strongly-so I'm late to the party! lots of nuclear work to come their way according to ADVN posters - glad of opinions on this one. cheers MP. anyone following EPY-they've put out fantastic results today.

silvermede - 02 Aug 2006 09:20 - 245 of 934

MP, Very interested in EPY, on my watch list, they are certainly delivering.

moneyplus - 02 Aug 2006 12:44 - 246 of 934

Disappointing there wasn't a better sp lift after the results but they are quite difficult to buy online-only small amounts better sizes through a telephone deal.

hewittalan6 - 02 Aug 2006 12:50 - 247 of 934

That HYC is up again today. Golden cross looks very likely.
Alan

hewittalan6 - 04 Aug 2006 07:33 - 248 of 934

director buying at BBC.

driver - 04 Aug 2006 09:02 - 249 of 934

Al
Why not ITV

hewittalan6 - 04 Aug 2006 09:05 - 250 of 934

The adverts play havoc with my VCR.

AdieH - 05 Aug 2006 12:01 - 251 of 934

Take a look at COH.. wont ramp as company speaks for itself, could be a multi bagger in couple of years time... look at the market potential...

robertalexander - 05 Aug 2006 21:41 - 252 of 934

Spent many an hour researching kazakhstan for something else, but noticed it has oil.. began looking for aim type oil companies and found this one. what is up with CSH? oil is flowing but SP is isnt! kazakhstan is good oil producing country so would hope company shud be making heaps
i am obviously missing something. any thoughts [keep them clean and civil please.. i am still new to this]
Alex
also found a US listed one that is possibly a t/over prospect " transmeridian"[ well it is if its the one Matt Badiali is possibly alluding to in his oil report advert[ free with RHPS this month]...i wont find out for sure as i am not sending off for it]
identified from the 14,000 acre oilfield in Kazakhstan comment and lots hunting on Google

moneyplus - 06 Aug 2006 11:44 - 253 of 934

Robert -csh does look promising but very often with these small companies until they get noticed and excitement and momentum start to build they can lanquish at these levels forever!! Another like this is SEY on the research looks a very good prospect but not much of a rise in the sp so eventually I moved on. I'm currently in CHP as there's lots of interest and the likely announcement of good news very soon but no guarantees of course. The trick is to watch the ones the posters are getting excited about-do your own research to check them out and then hope to jump onboard and ride the upside jumping off when you 've made a satisfactory profit! It doesn't always work as I very often jump on too late! good luck MP

moneyplus - 06 Aug 2006 11:45 - 254 of 934

sorry posted twice

soul traders - 07 Aug 2006 10:53 - 255 of 934

MP, I thought that CSH looked to be worth a punt when I looked at it earlier in the year - provided one accepts the fact that it's likely to be a incremental grower rather than a blockbuster.

RobAlex, Market forces (i.e. a prevailing apathy/pessimism) is holding many shares back at the moment. CSH looks to have fair prospects BUT if you look at RNS's of July 18th the amount of oil being produced is not huge - only 300 bpd so far. Current SP levels ought to provide plenty of upside if the drilling programme goes according to plan (the stuff under the salt lake looks promising, for example), but please DYOR etc.

soul traders - 10 Aug 2006 14:06 - 256 of 934

Afternoon all!

I had promised myself I was going to wait a while before tipping this, in view of how many rookie punters seem to be remortgaging their houses to pay for blue-sky oil companies that then go through the wars, HOWEVER I think this one is a bit less risky.

And with no further ado:

Hardman Resources (HNR) has dropped over 40% since its April peak due to production problems at its one producing site (Chinguetti). However I feel the stock is due a turnaround as these are due to be offset by the drilling of further wells later this year and in H1 next year.

HNR is currently drilling two rounds of exploration, one likely to be worth a net 6,000 bbl oil/day, the second worth a net 900 bcf of gas. Results for these are due in about ten days for the oil and soon after for the gas.

In my view the current SP is justified by current production plus part of the production due from prospects that have already been tested, meaning new shareholders get most of the broad exploration portfolio (including a 13-stage drilling programme to the end of 2007) basically for free.

The only downside I can see is political risk in Mauritania, but I think this is a background issue due largely to civil unrest (correct me if I'm wrong but it's not like the problems of re-nationalisation going on in Peru).

The SP has also bounced off a support level today in spite of the iffy market.

Anyway I have dipped a toe in the water today and invite others to consider doing so. News and views on the thread.


As usual this is all IMHO, PDYOR.

soul traders - 10 Aug 2006 14:12 - 257 of 934

Forgot to mention re HNR that the exploration portfolio is one of the more exciting ones I have seen - lots of apparently very solid leads, many prospects hoped to be 1-billion barrels -plus, and this from a company that is well-financed and already producing.

In April I was convinced the company was overvalued at around 800 mil; now it's at 440-ish mil with a clear path ahead towards production I have changed my mind and turned Buyer.
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