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Traders Thread - Wednesday 3rd September (ABP)     

Crocodile - 02 Sep 2003 22:18

draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10% draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10%

Gold

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fpDJIA.gqplus?511 marketwatch-ss.img?symb=SP500 fpNASDAQ.gqplus?183

marketwatch-ss.img?symb=DAX

S&P &Futures (Click for latest)

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Pre Market Futures (7:30)
FTSE +20
TechMark +4
DAX +25

Hang Seng +106

Chart

Nikkei +17

Chart

DOW -10
S&P -0.8
Nasdaq -1

 

News Headlines:   US stocks powered ahead after bullish analyst calls in the technology sector pushed the major indexes to levels not seen in well over a year.

The FTSE 100 is expected to open up some 20 points higher after U.S. equity markets surged through 14-month high following more evidence of a recovery.Gallaher Group tobacco reported a seven percent rise in in half-year profits and said that group trading remains in line with expectations for the full year. They reported first half profits of 241 million pounds compared to forecasts of 227-237 million pounds.

Associated British Ports posted a one percent dip in first-half profit to 66.6 million pounds which was less severe than the market feared.

LogicaCMG computer services reported a first half pretax profit of 39.4 million pound 28 percent lower on the previous six months. Sales were three percent lower at 854 million sterling and Europe's No. 3 computer services company said order intake in the first half was strong, providing a solid start of the year.

Serco Group industrial and government services firm reported a 10.2 percent rise in first-half pre-tax profits on Wednesday and said it was confident of achieving sustainable profit growth. They reported profits of 31.3 million pounds with the market expecting 29.8 million pounds to 31.5 million pounds.

Cable & Wirelesss may hand its loss-making U.S. business to management in a deal that could avoid full closure costs of up to 850 million poundsVernalis biotechnology company is preparing to axe more than half its drug pipeline to leave it enough cash for three yearsBP, SHELL may be affected by the seven percent fall in oil prices overnight.

McCarthy & Stone the UK's biggest builder of retirement homes said it expected a "highly satisfactory" set of full year results and it had beaten its turnover targets for the year, with unit sales and average selling prices "well in advance" of last year.

Somerfield which rebuffed a takeover approach in June, said overall performance was in line with management expectations. Like-for-like sales at Somerfield stores were up two percent, but down 1.5 percent at the group's Kwik Save budget supermarkets.

SIG Europe's biggest distributor of insulation products posted a 10-percent rise in first-half profit on Wednesday and said it expected conditions in the second half to be similar to the first.

Calendar

All GMT

ukf.gifUnited Kingdom (F)inals (I)nterim usf.gifUnited States (Click Flag)

Wednesday

 

 

 

 

 

Associated British Ports (I) PBT 69m exp Gallaher Group (I)

Regent Inns (F), Savills (I), Serco Group (I), SIG (I), Signet Group (I), Cambridge Antibody (I), Charter, Clarkson (I), Costain Group (I),  Delta (I), Devro (I), , Heywood Williams (I), James Beattie (I), Isotron (F), LogicCMG (I), Lookers (I),  Melrose Resources (I),

Somerfield AGM & Q1 Trading Update, Quintain (AGM), British Airways Aug Traffic Figures

09.30 Aug Services PMI 56.0 exp. 11.00 July CBI Distributive Trades 20% exp.

15.00 July Construction Spending m/m 0.5% exp. 19.00 Fed Beige Book, ISM Services
euro.gifEurope & World

08.55 Aug German Services PMI 49.0 exp. 09.00 Aug Services PMI 51.0 exp.

10.00 June Retail Trade m/m 0.5% exp.

Ex Dividend: Beale (1.95), Brewin Dolphin (1), Cattles (3.95), EMI Group (6), First Technology (6.1), Glanbia (EUR 0.021), Greggs (25.5),  Hilton Group (3.4), International Greetings (4.45), Low & Bonar (1.5), Metal Bulletin (1.9), Mitie Group (1.1), Mouchel Group (1.45), Oxford Instruments (6),  Peel Holdings (10.2), Persimmon (7), ROK Property Solutions (1.75), Radstone Technology (2), Reckitt Benckiser (14), Royalblue Group (1.85),  Scottish & Southern Energy (24.5), Slough Estates (5.8), Stagecoach Group (1.8), Tops Estates (2.7), Reg Vardy (9.95), VP Plc (3), Wagon (5)

Good Trading!   David@FTSEDOW.com    www.FTSEDOW.com

Bloomberg TV          

Pivot Calculator

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jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 10:20 - 24 of 51

Crocodile...ur website is excellent and informative, moreoverthe multi screens look very interesting, sent you email late last nite, whilst chatting away with LWoman...Nearer the time Im I able to check these out personally at the traders day?

Let me know as I am interested..

Ta..

Jules99.

p.s there's tea in the kitchen...

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 10:39 - 25 of 51

Jules
No Email, could you resend it please?

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 11:13 - 26 of 51

I had ACM on limit sell at 380 but with thier Q2 results due out on the 23 Sept, I've upgraded my sell price! I think the results will be better than expected - and the shares will be a good long term buy. Trouble is they are supposed to be a short term, quick profit holding! Can I be tempted to hang on?

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 11:33 - 27 of 51

Little woman-if ur interested check out announcment by Serco SRP - I thnk this one ill fly...
Order Book upto 10 Billion up 2.5 Billion, rerating on way...

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 12:07 - 28 of 51

I must admit I'm surprised by their results as I used to know this company! The really seem to be doing things right. But having done a little rearch (and I have a little cash not doing anything) decided to make a small investment!

They went ex div last year on the 11 sept. So I presume they will do the same next week. Payment is pretty quick - 10 Oct! Not sure if I'm tempted to hold this for long or do my usual and go for a quick profit.

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 12:30 - 29 of 51

Todays turning out to be a surprise! I have a small investment in ETL which I had made a big mistake at the time and they have just gone into profit!

the TWT purchase from this morning is now breaking even, and the sets order book still looks good. Hope to bail out by close.

SRP are now breaking even - but the question is whether to ignore and stick it out, or try just go for the quick profit?

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 12:40 - 30 of 51

Ur doing well i think..Tomorrow and weekend press will highlight Serco IMHO, I am going to hold out for upside on media review and possible wkend tip on company...may tuck some away for long term maybe as well...thinking...hmmm...?? will check out div on them...

vasey - 03 Sep 2003 12:54 - 31 of 51

Great to see the girls taking control of this thread. Jules99, I've been trading CFDs on GNI if I can be any use and I should be at Clitheroe if you make it. The speaker from GNI (Dean Gainsley) can answer all your questions - well he should be able to anyway. Just don't tell him you've signed up elsewhere!

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 13:03 - 32 of 51

Vasey thnks for that, CFD's look interesting and safer than Spread betting I presume...

Dont mean to sound ignorent, as I havn't read all threads lately but, roughly where is Clitheroe, AND again stupid question -GNI stands for?

aplogies not thnking today...


ta..
Jules99.

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 13:04 - 33 of 51

Hi vasey - How are you?

Looks like next thursday will be a quiet trading day, with everyone else at Clitheroe! Wish I could join you. :(((((((

vasey - 03 Sep 2003 13:15 - 34 of 51

jules99: I had to look Clitheroe up on a map too! Start thinking Preston, north of Manchester, or Blackburn. Then you are in the right zone.

You are not being stupid re GNI. I thought it was the plural of a gnu to start with! Actually it is part of the Man Financial empire, based at Sugar Quay in London.

LW: Fine, seems this is the quieter, less testosterone-fuelled traders' thread. Could be developed into a nice little niche....

Clitheroe could be a hoot. Our arrival could double the local population for the day. Certainly they aren't used to so many people being shoe-horned into the local Conservative Club to listen to talks. All day! I'm amazed IDS hasn't been on the phone, offering a key-note speech - to take advantage of this HUGE audience....by his standards.....!!!

Da Bear - 03 Sep 2003 13:20 - 35 of 51

Hi All
Back from my hols, to find 15 and 17 month highs, its a tough life being a bear, overbought now, like that means squat :-), need to get back up to speed on whats been going on.

So for an impartial point of view been looking at PAUL CHERNEY

On a pure chart read, the Nasdaq has broken out of its trading range. Chartists like to take the high of the trading range minus the low of the trading range and add it to the breakout point for an upside target. When I look at the charts there are potentially two different lows which could be used: the lows from the end of June (Nasdaq 1,598) or the most recent lows in the beginning of August (Nasdaq 1,640). I calculated an upside target for the Nasdaq using each of the lows and those targets are 1,912 and 1,954.

While I have little doubt that at some point the Nasdaq will be printing back above 1,912, the index does have a pretty thick layer of resistance, which will probably cause a stall in the current advance. Chart resistance for the Nasdaq is from March, 2002, and it is well defined: 1,845-1,946, with a thick shelf at 1,846-1,873. Resistance becomes especially cluttered with prints of 1,933 and higher because not only is there resistance from March, 2002, there is also the beginning of resistance dating back to June and July of 2001.

S&P 500 resistance (daily bar charts) was established by price action in June, 2002; it is 1,008-1,041, with a focus at 1020-1031. The next resistance is big at 1,048-1,107, from March, 2002.

Prior resistance levels are now support.

Immediate support for the S&P 500 is 1,015-988 with a focus at 1,015-1,008.

Immediate support for the Nasdaq is 1830-1773, it becomes thick starting with prints of 1797-1778. Support runs all the way to 1737.

Another day of gains is likely for Wednesday.

Cherney is chief market analyst for Standard & Poor's

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 13:33 - 36 of 51

Come on guys start posting, the women are taking over the thread! :-)
D.

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 13:34 - 37 of 51

Still long Logica
Set a target of 250

skinny - 03 Sep 2003 13:53 - 38 of 51

You've hit it Croc!

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 13:56 - 39 of 51

I see a good day for you too croc!

Druid2 - I hope you cut your losses with PRU and went long instead as it is still going up!

ThePlayboy - 03 Sep 2003 14:10 - 40 of 51

MOHAN

Mkt expected to push higher early today, continue to sell rallies for a pullback! Hes looking to sell 1027/28 area, pos first hr pivot.

ThePlayboy - 03 Sep 2003 14:11 - 41 of 51

raptor
For Wednesday, downside is once again favored as all indicators are overbought, however, pullback may be mild as an upper target of 1033 has now been identified. Support below is near 1015 and then 1011, 1006 and 1000. A move below 995 could be very bearish. Support near 1015 or 1011 is favored to be the ideal support line on a pullback

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 14:43 - 42 of 51

Jules no EMail yet :-(
david@ftsedow.com

hilary - 03 Sep 2003 14:51 - 43 of 51

Whoever asked about GNI, they were formed in the early '80s and were part of Gerrard & National Inter Commodities.
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