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13.06.2006
Desire Petroleum Gears Up For Another Tilt At Finding Oil And Gas In The North Falklands Basin
You would think it could be a case of once bitten twice shy for Desire Petroleum. But not a bit of it. The London AIM-listed junior is gearing up for another tilt at finding oil in the North Falklands Basin.
Desire was formed in 1996 to participate in the 1st Falklands Licensing Round. It floated on AIM in 1998 after raising 15 million. It was a pure exploration play; a high risk/high reward project. The Falklands was and remains the ultimate frontier oil and gas province. It is remote and no oil or gas has been found there so far.
Desires shares took off and the company participated in a six well drilling campaign in 1998 alongside Shell and Amerada Hess. Desire had interests in two wells. Five of the six wells had hydrocarbon shows. Well 14/10-1, drilled by Shell, had live oil at surface of 27 degree API. Another well 14/5, also drilled by Shell, had 32 per cent gas at surface. The drilling was not a success but it was not a complete failure either.
The wells were drilled back to back and there was no time to evaluate each well. For reasons, which in retrospect seem a little curious, the initial drilling was not followed up.
Dr Ian Duncan, Chief Executive Director of Desire Petroleum, is wary of criticising anyone after the event but he does say: You have got to remember this was at a time when the oil price had fallen to US$10 a barrel. The majors have to compete internally within the company for scarce rigs. Someone in London or Houston only has to say why are we wasting our time drilling in a marginal area in the Falklands when we could be on to a surer bet in the Gulf of Mexico.
For whatever reasons the majors pulled out but Desire has kept the faith. It has continued its commitment to the Falklands. It holds large equity in five tranches in the North Falkland Basin. This amounts to circa 4,000 sq kms equivalent to 14 North Sea Blocks. Desire holds 92.5 per cent of Tranches C and D. Rockhopper holds the other 7.5 per cent which carries with it a commitment to fund 15 per cent of three wells. Tranches F, I and L are held 100 per cent by Desire.
Dr Duncan says that what was established in the 1998 round of drilling was there is working hydrocarbon system in the North Falklands Basin, because there is a proven world-class oil source rock. The British Geological Survey has estimated over time 60 billion barrels of oil could have been expelled. The question, as always with exploration, is where is it? Where are the reservoirs and traps?
Dr Duncan says lessons were learned from the six earlier wells. He believes the source rock regional seal has prevented upward migration of hydrocarbons. High quality seismic was needed to define traps at deeper levels in the source rock.
Accordingly, in 2004 Desire raised 4 million to shoot 800 sq km of 3D seismic which was needed to identify the traps at the deeper levels. Well maybe there is oil and gas at these deeper levels or maybe there is not. When Shell had the surface oil and gas shows in its two wells, they were the deepest wells drilled in the 1998 campaign.
But Desire is prepared to put its money where its mouth is. In 2005 the company raised 25 million. Interpretation of the seismic has identified ten prospects on Tranches C and D. The water is shallow, so although it is expensive to drill, at some 7 million a time, it is not as expensive as say deepwater West Africa. The partners are planning three wells as soon as a rig becomes available. Dr Duncan says: A third generation semi-submersible would do. But it is not easy - the rig market is extremely tight.
Dr Duncan admits this company is not for widows and orphans. Look, we are not trying to build careers here. It is, as I say, a maximum bang for a buck. If the company finds oil and gas investors will do very well. The company reckons it is looking at 2 billion barrels potentially recoverable. But it could come with nothing. So perhaps the way to look at it is that provided you do not bet the shops, its better than worrying about the mortgage. Only the drillbit will tell.