Stop to entry for risk free trade.

Stop to 456 to lock in + 10

Stop to 460 to lock in + 14 out this morning locking in profits.

Stopped out. Limit long left @ 465.0 stop 455.0

Filled.

Stop to entry for risk free trade.

The British-based defence contractor said in a statement the programme aims to engineer and produce a limited initial number of the vehicles, called the Armored Multi-Purpose Vehicle (AMPV), to replace the Vietnam War-era M113.

The initial 52-month term of the contract, worth about $383 million, calls for 29 vehicles to be produced among five variants, with an option to follow with 289 more, for a total contract value of $1.2 billion, BAE said in a statement.

"The AMPV capitalizes on proven Bradley and M109A7 designs, meeting the Army’s force protection and all-terrain mobility requirements while enabling the AMPV to manoeuvre with the rest of the Armored Brigade Combat Team (ABCT)," the statement said.

Work is expected to start immediately, mainly at the company’s facilities in York, Pennsylvania, and Sterling Heights, Michigan, it said.

The programme was aimed at ultimately replacing 2,897 M113 vehicles, at the brigade and below level, the U.S. Army said in a statement announcing the contract award. It said replacements for another 1,922 M113s supporting Echelons Above Brigade may have different requirements, which had yet to be decided.

(Reporting by Eric Walsh; Editing by Eric Beech)

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/12/24/uk-bae-systems-contract-vehicle-idUKKBN0K11UW20141224

BAE in digital anti-tax-fraud push. (pg 13 Financial Times)

The European defence company is in talks to sell its NetReveal anti-tax evasion software to central European governments and expects to double its client base in the next two years.

Results 19th Febuary, grinding slowly higher. Volume required.

Final Results

UBS note today:
"Downgrade to Neutral and off Key Call list after share price performance. As the share price approaches our price target of 540p, we do not believe there is sufficient upside potential to maintain the Buy rating and are downgrading to Neutral and removing from the UBS Key Call list. Our price target remains unchanged although our 2015e EPS is reduced by 3% due to lower margin forecasts, offset in 2016e by translation of US$ revenues at $/£ 1.50. We also believe that there is potential downside to sentiment as we believe that (a) the US budget will ultimately end up growing 2-4% (vs the 8% in the budget submission on 2nd February) and (b) increasing concerns over UK budget cuts. On the other hand, we remain optimistic that a Saudi Batch 2 Typhoon order could come through this year or early 2016.
US budget euphoria and UK budget concerns could hurt sentiment. We believe that the recent proposed 8% yoy increase to FY16 US budget will likely run into the sequestration wall and ultimately expect 2-4% growth. If we are wrong and the budget goes through as submitted, we estimate circa 3% upside to the BAE Systems fair value. Meanwhile, we are increasingly concerned about the outlook for the UK defence budget – in their manifestos, neither major party committed to 2% of GDP defence spend, while the SDSR is expected later in the year and is unlikely to be positive as we expect it to be budget driven rather than threat driven.
Cash returns remain attractive: The cash returns to shareholders (4% dividend yield + share buy-back) remain attractive, but offer limited upside to the European average of 3.7%. We expect the share buy-backs to continue for the rest of the year but believe new programmes may be more difficult in the face of increasing pressure from the pension regulator.
Valuation: trades on 12.4x ’15e EV/EBITA vs. 11.8x for UK & 11.4x for US peers. Our price target of 540p is based on a fundamental valuation of 570p using cash conversion of 88%, 5 year profit growth of 2.5% and a WACC of 9%, implying a fair value multiple of 13x 2015e EV/EBITA, less a 5% discount for defence budget uncertainty.

Been hammered, well oversold. Tentative long on spreads yesterday @ 454.02.

Broker notes mixed. Half yearly results end of July.LATEST BROKER VIEWS

Date Broker New target Recomm.
2 Jul Investec 440.00 Sell
23 Jun RBC Capital... 560.00 Outperform
22 Jun Credit Suisse 610.00 Outperform
12 Jun Barclays... 430.00 Underweight
9 Jun Kepler... 475.00 Hold
9 Jun JP Morgan... 445.00 Underweight
27 May Espirito... 615.00 Buy
11 May Berenberg 530.00 Hold
8 May Deutsche Bank 495.00 Hold
1 May Jefferies... 600.00 Buy

UBS upgraded BAE Systems to 'buy' from 'neutral' but cut the price target to 510p from 540p.

It said the recent weakness in the BAE share price was caused by uncertainty around the future of the Williamstown shipyard and the Eurofighter Typhoon programme, as well as the pending Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR).

However, it upgraded the stock, saying that even after de-risking its forecast, the valuation is attractive. Also, "in times of uncertainty we find BAE's independence from the economic cycle attractive."

Source - Sharecast

Date Broker New target Recomm.
6 Jul Morgan Stanley 570.00 Overweight

Morgan Stanley upgrades BAE Systems to 'overweight', sees buying opportunity
Mon, 06 July 2015

Morgan Stanley upgraded BAE Systems to 'overweight' from 'equalweight' and kept its price target at 570p, saying the de-rating was overdone.
The bank said that given the stock's defensive attractions, it was surprised at its recent undeperformance.

"Programme and defence budget concerns look overdone, creating a valuation anomaly and more than 25% upside to our unchanged price target," said the bank.

"We don't expect Typhoon production to have to slow, while any scaling back in Australia shouldn't be material," said MS. "At the same time, defence spending reviews in the UK and US should hold no fears for BAE."

It said that while it expects BAE's 2015 results to be weighted towards the second half, a solid first-half performance and outlook on 30 July could be a positive catalyst to buck the recent de-rating trend.

2% for defence

Mr Osborne says he will meet the Nato pledge to spend 2% of national income on defence - every year of this decade.

That should help!

Yes nice wee bounce on that news skinny, fingers crossed NOT dead cat,