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LEADCOM, a real growth company (LEAD)     

PapalPower - 07 Dec 2005 07:57



18th October 2007 : Leadcom voted "AIM International Company of the Year for 2007"


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Size=283*18Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=LEAD&Size


Main Web Site : http://www.leadcom-is.com/

Investor Relations Email : investorsinfo@leadcom-is.com


PapalPower - 06 May 2006 15:05 - 246 of 955

Interesting couple of posts from AFN :

jonfa - 6 May'06 - 09:11 - 748 of 752
an awful lot of leadcom job vacancies in india - they must be fairly confident!

http://www.leadcom-is.com/careers.asp?CatID=9&country=India


steveb3 - 6 May'06 - 11:08 - 751 of 752
Great find Jonfa.
What is very interesting about this recruitment drive is that India already merits its own MD and Project Manager yet, Leadcom is currently recruiting a single MD and project manager to cover all of Africa and Europe combined.
Since their African business is growing at a CAGR of over 50% and with Europe already accounts for over 40% of total Leadcom sales, the above appointments are clearly a very strong pointer as to the importance of India to future growth.

Altium Securities Report dated 27 Feb 2006, Global telecoms services investment is forecast to increase to more than $1,200bn by 2008, according to industry research firm IDC. Wireless services are expected to account for the majority of that, reaching $800bn in 2010, up from approximately $625bn in 2005. The majority of this growth will come from emerging markets. There has been talk in India of operators being granted 3G spectrum for free on the understanding that they provide the investment to roll out the network. In other words, the next wave of growth behind the current stage of infrastructure expansion already looks secure.

PapalPower - 10 May 2006 01:53 - 247 of 955

L2 up today on a 10K buy, stock must be getting short now, and with news due fairly soon, we should start to see another move upwards before too long I think.

Any news on the big Indian tender will have a rerating effect I feel, its a potential company maker deal, and with the price on a low earnings ratio as it is now, I see LEAD as a "perfect" stock to hold for now, undervalued and with a deal in the possible pipeline that could rerate the stock upwards to much much higher levels.

Saintserf - 10 May 2006 14:55 - 248 of 955

hi, papal power. I must confess. I'm afraid I'd been getting a bit lukewarm about lead lately. I thought maybe given its big rise this year , 50 - 87, it might take months before another rise. Impossible to say. I don't mean to be naive but do you think that much can be read into price movements on such low volume?

PapalPower - 10 May 2006 16:23 - 249 of 955

Saintserf, they are on a single figure forward pr PER rating, and this does not take into account the Indian JV and potential for a billion dollars or more cut of the big tender. Anything under 100p is undervalued I think solely on the present order book, if they get the big Indian tender then it could easily more than double from here, its a company maker.

Altium are now off of the offer, so perhaps the restraints are now off.....and it can move.

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 08:55 - 250 of 955

Interesting that Altium went direct from offer to bid yesterday, we might see a couple of steps up in the run up to to India news, up to a higher level, see what sells they can get by holding there, and then up again to a higher level.

The Altium price target of 110p (was it that, cannot remember now) does not take into account anything to do with India at all, it only is based on current order book status as from the contract win RNS, which was when they upgraded from their other target in the 27th Feb report.
Throw in a potential billion dollers over 2 or 3 years (07 to 09) and see what that does to forward earnings ratings. With a massive order in the bag, the pr EPS for 07 could well jump from around the 9p to 10p level this current year, up to the 20's for 07 and more 08 and 09. That is why, in my opinion, the Indian JV and the Indian potential is a company maker for LEAD.

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 10:09 - 251 of 955

Pressure building now, can we move on up to just under the 100p level soon ? ;)

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 11:32 - 252 of 955

ALTI back on the offer trying to slow it down I think, they must still have orders to fill.

L2 2 v 1 @87/89

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 12:18 - 253 of 955

And more and more :)

My short term targets are 110p with no further news and then the Q2 trading update, or over 200p if they get the Indian tender awarded in early June :) Just my thoughts and targets !

schiff - 11 May 2006 12:45 - 254 of 955

PP - I like the steady inexorable rise of this one, nothing terribly showy, just bit by bit (apart from the little April dip).

Having said that, if you are right, any part of the Indian tender would probably make it very, very showy indeed!

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 15:08 - 255 of 955

:)

From macansys' comments and observations it looks like Altium are trying to fill up "their clients" with as much as possible "prior" events. Buying was getting too much and with no real sells coming in, even after a long pause, it was time to step up and see if they can get some sells out at higher levels, but still I would say controlled movements, they will hold where they can, might even drop back a point or two to try to ease some sells out, as time is running out, and June beckons more quickly now.

I am expecting more days like this ahead as the end of the month draws near, each one moving to the next level, to try to tickle a few weak holders into selling out, then perhaps a step back, and then a hold, and then the next one :)

We will see.

PapalPower - 11 May 2006 15:56 - 256 of 955

Altium Capital 31st March 2006 issued a reiteration of their BUY recommendation and set a new target price of 105p.

Has anyone seen a more recent figure ? Or are they "avoiding" a new figure until after the Indian deal comes in ? ;)

Saintserf - 11 May 2006 16:23 - 257 of 955

Nope, but I was looking at altium's 44 page buy note from february when they had a price target of 90p when it was at 70p. So people then have made a 30% profit. I wonder with so many institutions mopping up shares if there's a problem with liquidity. Today's buys were very small, they looked to me like ordinary punters buying because it was rising, maybe I'm wrong. Looking at the buy note I was pleased to see altium are forecasting earnings growth of about 25 - 30% a year for the next 3 years, although they themselves say this is "conservative". We'll see. I'm thinking lead might be a share to forget about and leave for a number of years as it's got a big market it could grow into. I wonder if with the lack of liqudity it's not a share that will be volatile in the short term.

PapalPower - 12 May 2006 02:38 - 258 of 955

Saintserf, yes the original target was a "conservative" 90p, then this was upgraded after the Q1 trading update to a "conservative" 105p. If you were to put LEAD onto a times 20 pr PER ration (low for the sector and also for the growth they are pushing out) then the price should be over 150p. HOWEVER, the big one is India, for if this multi-billion order comes in, you can imagine what it will be doing for earnings. At the moment they are holding the price back whilst behind the scenes "orders are filled" I think. I do not expect it to be below 100p by the end of this month.......we will see. (The Indian tender is due for submition on 31st May)

PapalPower - 12 May 2006 17:26 - 259 of 955

Retrace today with the market sentiment, time to build up some more next week I think.

Saintserf - 12 May 2006 19:39 - 260 of 955

Is it unusual for altium to be the market maker as well as the house broker? I'm not sure if it's a good sign that they are the only analyst covering lead. But I'm taking the view that it is, as it's a chance to buy before other analysts cotton on to it.

PapalPower - 13 May 2006 03:46 - 261 of 955

Saintserf, they are joint broker along with Corporate Synergy, both Altium and CS research reports are in the header.

Bob2Bob - 14 May 2006 14:48 - 262 of 955

This seems a very good buy ahead of news as it is running on a low PER at the moment which is very low when taking a forward view of events and appears to have the equivalent "of striking oil" in the form of India news. I shall be with you PP for the rest of this year at Leadcom.

PapalPower - 15 May 2006 01:26 - 263 of 955

Hi B2B, good to see you here. I look at Leadcom as a very safe investment at present prices. The PER ratio is very low for a growth company as you note, and with such potential in the pipeline to explode earnings, it should be a great few months ahead, and in fact, a good few years ahead for Leadcom.

PapalPower - 15 May 2006 16:35 - 264 of 955

Oversold today, but the insti's will not complain, a 125K MM buy near the end there, so someone was hoovering up stock (also a 257.5K X trade on TMC at the end)

PapalPower - 16 May 2006 12:18 - 265 of 955

Absolute bargain at these levels, it was undervalued at 90p, has a "conservative" price target of 105p by Altium, and has the potential of a multi billion dollar order at the end of the this month/June that is not even noted on the price target or brokers report.........

This should have a very big bounce upwards very soon I think !
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