overgrowth
- 13 May 2005 16:36
Retail Decisions are
market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They
produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally,
though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers
both in the UK and US.
They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be
a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this
"forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout
2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and
Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of
millions of shares in RTD !
|
|
Shares Magazine had
a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is
about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution".
It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.
Here's what Shares
had to say:
"Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing
credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit
and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but
also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in
your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions.
Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime.
Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump
is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities
seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains
concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already
has fantastic experience and technology.
The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that
it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer,
T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner
of Macy's and Bloomingdales.
Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business
in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low
single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."
Retail Decisions have
continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz.
fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices
and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams
from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through.
In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over
their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company
is doing.
The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software
is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success
in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is
being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real
gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.
|

Fundamentalist
- 11 Jul 2005 11:06
- 248 of 1009
OG
The split as at 2004 results was:
Fuel Cards 44% (14.0m)
Card Not Present 31% (9.7m)
Card Present 20% (6.4m)
Consulting 5% (1.6m)
Fundamentalist
- 11 Jul 2005 11:21
- 249 of 1009
OG
Looking at the same at Operating Profit level, the dependence on the fuel card business becomes more apparent (i have split the Op profit on the fraud side based on the gross profit numbers in the report)
Fuel Cards 92% (6.8m)
Card Not Present 11% (0.85m)
Card Present 9% (0.65m)
Consulting -3% (-0.2m)
Unallocated Costs -9% (-0.7m)
If you ignore the consulting and central costs then the pure split is:
Fuel cards 82%
Card Not Present 10%
Card Present 8%
Fundamentalist
- 11 Jul 2005 12:05
- 251 of 1009
OG
with regard to the price of CNP transactions the info is not at all transparent - the revenue is obviously made up of one off payments and some transaction based charges but these are never disclosed - hence when new contracts are announced it is hard to evaluate the impact on results and whether RTD are getting a good deal out of some of these contracts
parveen1
- 13 Jul 2005 14:02
- 252 of 1009
aaaaaaaaaaaaaagggggggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
i hate this share
Fred1new
- 13 Jul 2005 15:59
- 253 of 1009
There are other shares I hate more. Patience!!!! We need to send Douggie on holiday again!
optomistic
- 13 Jul 2005 16:08
- 254 of 1009
OK Fundy, looks like I may be wrong with the mid 30's soon. Still it's not the first time i've been wrong :-)
optomistic
- 13 Jul 2005 16:08
- 255 of 1009
duplicated. sssslow PC this afternoon, must be the weather!
m0dulus
- 18 Jul 2005 14:20
- 256 of 1009
OG
Whats the latest on this share?
daves dazzlers
- 20 Jul 2005 20:08
- 258 of 1009
Evening all just thought i would pop in and see whats the latest here,sp wise i see its much the same as it was 6 weeks ago oh well, i`ll be watching out for 26 again i think its in a tight range,goodluck all and best of luck,dd.
Douggie
- 03 Aug 2005 18:38
- 260 of 1009
hello I'm back..mother board got frazzled by power surge..verry painfull
everyone gone elsewhere ????????????
parveen1
- 03 Aug 2005 18:48
- 261 of 1009
we are all here Douggie
Waiting patiently for RTD to be truly recognized for its real value.
Not long to go a few more weeks of pain, before the upward march starts once again
not long to results , i think we may get RNS tomorrow/friday to tell us the results date
robstuff
- 03 Aug 2005 23:42
- 262 of 1009
Some large selling today :(
Douggie
- 04 Aug 2005 09:32
- 263 of 1009
& so far all sells today ... I find myslf increasingly tempted to join them.... :o/
Fred1new
- 04 Aug 2005 11:14
- 264 of 1009
Douggie, My "guess" is the results given 9/10/05 (sharescope) or early September (RNS) will be good. I have been tempted to trade but I am sure I will be clobbered if I do. I think it wiser to hold until September, but the yesterday's volumes of B/sells are not pleasing and I see little in the TA to make me cheerful at the moment. Perhaps the short termers are boored with RTD.
But I am still finding difficult to see the market go down and my portfolio go up and unfortunately vice versa.
latics3
- 05 Aug 2005 20:02
- 265 of 1009
good day today folks....anyone have incite into why?
latics3
- 05 Aug 2005 20:02
- 266 of 1009
good day today folks....anyone have incite into why?