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European Diamonds (EPD)     

Andy - 17 Jan 2005 10:05

Thesitea40.jpg

European Diamonds Plc (EPD: AIM) is a diamond exploration and development company with advanced projects in Finland and Lesotho.

In Finland, the company has explored a large part of the prospective Karelian Craton and identifed a number of kimberlite indicator trains. Kimberlites have been discovered in one of these areas and exploration continues in the others. Evaluation work on the promising Lahtojoki Pipe has begun with a 5,000 tonne bulk sample due to be collected before Easter 2005.

In Lesotho, European Diamonds holds a 25 year mining license to develop the Liqhobong diamondiferous kimberlites. The Liqhobong Project provides for the commencement of mining at 290,000 carats per annum from the end of 2004 from the Satellite Pipe and the evaluation of the adjacent large Main Pipe and start of a Feasibility Study in 2005.

European Diamonds will become a mid-tier diamond producer in 2005 and intends to grow through acquisition and in-house exploration. The experienced management and technical team of European Diamonds have a strong track record of discovery and a history of wealth creation for shareholders.

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The Kingdom of Lesotho gained its independence from the UK in 1966 and is the only constitutional monarchy on the African continent. The country is a small, densely populated mountainous country situated in the east of the Republic of South Africa, which entirely encircles the country.

Diamonds in Lesotho
The country has long been known as a source of large, high quality diamonds, mostly from alluvial deposits. To date most of the country's diamond production has been derived from the Letseng-la-Terai deposit which was mined by De Beers between 1977-1981. Letseng has recently returned into production and is again producing high quality gems albeit on a modest scale. Apart from Letseng, the only other known significantly mineralised kimberlites in the country are the Liqhobong suite and the nearby lower grade Kao pipe all located about 40 kilometres west of Letseng also high in the Maluti mountains.

Plant-site-Liqhobong-sm.jpg



Finland project.

Project Highlights
Work undertaken by European Diamonds and the Geological Survey of Finland has proven that the Achaean-aged Karelian Craton is highly prospective for hard-rock diamond deposits.
European Diamonds currently have seven regional exploration projects in eastern and central Finland in addition to the Lathojoki project currently under evaluation.
The Company has recovered high quality kimberlite indicator minerals from all of the exploration projects and will continue with the field exploration of these areas in 2005.
Work on the Lentiira Project in central eastern Finland has identified a large kimberlite complex covering an area of some 160 square kilometres. Although the Company has recovered high quality indicator minerals and diamonds from the project area, to date only linear kimberlite dykes have been discovered.
None of the sampled dykes has proved to be the source of the highest quality indicators emanating from the highly prospective 'Railway' indicator train. Further assessment of this project will continue throughout 2005.

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Corporate website : http://www.europeandiamondsplc.com/s/Home.asp

Shareholder info : http://www.europeandiamondsplc.com/s/InformationRequest.asp

Andy - 26 Mar 2005 00:22 - 25 of 294

Stockdog,

You raise a couple of interesting points, one of which was recently discussed "over the road" at ADVFN, where the poster calculated NPV @ 49p including capex.

Another poster has done a calculation on a PE of 15, giving a value of 72p per share for the satellite for the next year.

I have not had the time to check out the calculations, but believe them to be fairly accurate.

IMHO it IS a good time to "get in now", PROVIDED the minestart commences on schedule, ie late April, as I expect a surge in the share price once minestart is confirmed.

EPD have other prospects in Lesotho, and are awaiting news in finland, so there is always a chance of unexpected news arriving, in addition to the minestart RNS.

With regard to EPD and NML, I honestly believe that EPD will be mining before NML, perhaps by a period of months. I think NML are short of cash, and are still being hampered by the weather, and that may continue for another month yet, according to average rainfall figures for the area.

I should declare that I hold EPD, and not NML, at the moment.

My plan is to top slice EPD, and buy NML with the funds, provided of course that EPD can commence production before NML, and NML do in fact obtain their mining permit from the Angolan government.

If you are looking at junior diamond miners, I suggest you take a look at Firestone Diamonds, (FDI), because they already produce from three mines in Namaqualand, S. Africa, but, IMHO, also have some very interesting exploration areas too!



aimtrader - 26 Mar 2005 01:04 - 26 of 294

i have an 80p price target for the minestart

cannot be far away now, we are nearly in April!!!

stockdog - 26 Mar 2005 12:02 - 27 of 294

Andy, thanks for your considered response. My NPV was taken as $8m @1.88 = 4.25m from their own fund-raising prospectus last September for the Satellite Pipe which with 42.5m shares in issue equates to 10p per share - plus as you say the main pipe and Finland (we'll always have Finland!) - also several suggestions that the satellite may have deeper to go for longer with higher grade ore. The 5 years plus mine life is probably the most significant limiting factor, giving a 3 year pay-back then only two years of free profits - 10 years would have been much nicer. Should I also add in the 6.5m cash just raised to the NPV of the mine - that brings total NPV to 25p which is more like it for the current SP?

That said, I suspect sentiment, on minestart, will take the SP to where you and Aimtrader suggest - a 50% lift would be nice for a relatively short term trade. Better try to find some dosh for the trip.

SD

philfolio - 13 Apr 2005 12:33 - 28 of 294

Ouch, what's going on? Getting the **** kicked out of it!

stockdog - 13 Apr 2005 14:09 - 29 of 294

philfolio

Well, nothing's going on actually. They broke sideways through the massive 3 year down trend earlier this year and are now dicking about between 40 and 60p waiting for mining to start "in April". Still technically in the middle of a well defined minor down channel.

We still have 2 weeks to go before they disappoint and the SP lurches down below the 35p support level. Or maybe they will start, and the SP will flip up to a new range above the 65p resistance level.

On balance, they're on my buy more before mining starts list, when I can arrange the necessary, rather than my sell before more bad news which I do not expect.

SD

Andy - 13 Apr 2005 15:38 - 30 of 294

stockdog,

Yes I am considering a top up too, as like you I expect them to more or less start on time.

Andy - 18 Apr 2005 10:53 - 31 of 294

Stockdog,

Well it's a total slaughter out there this morning, and EPD, IMHO, has faired better then most!

I only have one stock blue, Mano River, and only have a small holding in that anyway.

stockdog - 18 Apr 2005 11:07 - 32 of 294

It's certainly bleak out there today. Too bleak to buy IMHO - want to see this sell off hit bottom firmly before committing more funds.

EPD could certainly have fared worse, but I have other penny stocks stocks that have not moved at all today. Hoping this is a sign of strength to come, rather than just too small to bother people who will sell these off too once they have dealt with the bigger fish.

Having posted lyrically about being a born again stop-losser on the ARX (funnily enough the one bit of blue on my screen today) thread yesterday, in practice I am sitting like the proverbial rabbit in the headlights again, hoping the wheels will go either side of me.

SD

scenicroute - 18 Apr 2005 11:35 - 33 of 294

Shouldnt this stock be going NORTH instead of SOUTH. I Know its murder out there today.

When can we expect to see a movement back up?

Andy - 18 Apr 2005 12:04 - 34 of 294

Stockdog,

Well I have been selectively selling since Friday (not EPD), as I suspected we were due a fall today, and I agree, before I commit those funds back into the market I want to see a solid base too.

I have a nasty feeling the US market is going to have a quick correction, and drag UK down too.

On my non oil stocks, I have placed stop losses, and am selling as soon as they are breached. I have made several sales today, and I can buy them all back CURRENTLY at cheaper prices.

I relaise there is a risk of missing a quick rise, but I have lowered my risk, and am happy to sit out today, to see how Wall St. CLOSES!

Andy - 18 Apr 2005 12:06 - 35 of 294

Sceniroute,

The quick answer is yes, but with the market being so soft, until EPD actually announce official minestart, which could be any day now, I think we will wallow around this price.

philfolio - 21 Apr 2005 07:51 - 36 of 294

Any opinions from anyone about todays news?

stockdog - 21 Apr 2005 08:18 - 37 of 294

Well, the issue price of the units for 45p suggests some support for the SP at around that price (above today's 41.5p mid-price), since the warrants for half a share at 75p are well out of the money and are therefore just a kicker at this stage. But investors must think 75p will be cheap enough by the time they swap their warrants into shares within quite a limited time-frame of 1 year.

"Each whole warrant will entitle its holder to
acquire one ordinary share of the Company for a period of one year following the
closing date at an exercise price of 75 pence per share."

Is the closing date the date of closing of this issue or some date specified in the issue documents?

Also, a little surprised to see reference to an EGM to be convened "shortly", but a listing date of 25th April for the new shares. Don't they know when the EGM will be yet - today, Friday or Monday - and what happened to 21 days notice of a GM?

The private placing in Bermuda has overtones of dodgy funds - was it so much better than raising in London? Is EPD listged on a Bermudan stock exchange?

Basically very good news for the operational side of the company and no discount to the SP, but a couple of tiny alarm bells about the corporate administration - or am I being too sensitive?

SD

philfolio - 21 Apr 2005 08:58 - 38 of 294

I agree Stockdog, some questions need answers, but at least so far the SP is not collapsing again. Looking again at today's release, I note that the 4.25m shares have already been subscribed, and it is these that they hope to start trading 25th April. The remaining 6.86m shares are the ones for which they are calling an AGM to seek approval.

Andy - 21 Apr 2005 12:30 - 39 of 294

Stockdog,

I think you are confusing two issues.

I think they already have shareholder permission to issue the 4.25 million shares, hence so they will commence trading on 25/04/2005.

In order to obtain shareholder approval for the additional shares and warrants, they will need to call an EGM, and give, as you rightly say, 21 days notice.

Once the EGM approves the additional shares / warrants, they will be issued, but not before.

Bermuda is a taxhaven, so not necessarily "dodgy", possibly simply tax avoidance.



stockdog - 21 Apr 2005 21:32 - 40 of 294

Andy, as I said, good news on balance and I'm prepared to be called over-sensitive about the other issues. Not making a big issue out of it. Still holding.

BTW Comdirect marked the offer up to 45 (from 43 close) after hours - usually a sign the MMs are protecting themselves from cheap buyers expected in the pre-market tomorrow, I think. So maybe we touched bottom at 41.5p mid-price yesterday and today before climbing back up through the dma's to the wide blue yonder - only another 70 days till end of Q2 by when they say they will commence production.


Andy - 21 Apr 2005 21:46 - 41 of 294

stockdog,

That's interesting, re Comdirect, will watch the open tomorrow closely.

May be worth attending the EGM if in London that day, all formality, and over quickly, but you have the opportunity to have a chat with the directors afterwards, so could prove fruitful.

I believe production is due to start by the end of April/beginning of May, so hopefully that will prove to be accurate.

Andy - 22 Apr 2005 11:02 - 42 of 294

Stockdog,

Well spotted sir!

Following on from your Comdirect comment yesterday, up goes the price today!
maybe a few traders coming in now that minestart MAY be imminent?

Another possibility is the placing at 45p has put a support under the price, and we're simply rising to that level.

Anyway, a nice finish to a poor week overall.

stockdog - 22 Apr 2005 12:18 - 43 of 294

It's a good day generally for me, Andy

Topped up on some holdings first thing today. Gratified to see I am clear of the offer price already on two of them already.

If only NML would get out of bed, I'd be feeling totally chipper!

SD

Andy - 23 Apr 2005 20:30 - 44 of 294

Stockdog,

I'm now considering a topping up my EPD again on Monday morning, maybe the march northwrds has started now?
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