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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

optomistic - 13 Jul 2005 16:08 - 255 of 1009

duplicated. sssslow PC this afternoon, must be the weather!

m0dulus - 18 Jul 2005 14:20 - 256 of 1009

OG

Whats the latest on this share?

overgrowth - 18 Jul 2005 16:15 - 257 of 1009

m0dulus - it's gone into summer hiberation by the looks of things.

The lacklustre trading statement from Carl Clump wasn't taken too well by the market and hence rather than rising, the price fell back.

RTD will rally towards the end of the year when it becomes evident that favourable currency conditions both $Aus and $US and high oil prices are creating more income than expected at the mid term.

Until then it's a bit of a waiting game I'm afraid, though anyone prepared to wait will be well pleased at year end.

I continue to hold RTD because the price can shift quite quickly and spreads are kept at a level which isn't really conducive to trading - however the MM's are quite happy to let you place normal trades within the spread !

If you're looking for shares moving quicker - it appears that my other "pet" investments MDW and DGT are zooming up nicely, it's worth checking them out.

daves dazzlers - 20 Jul 2005 20:08 - 258 of 1009

Evening all just thought i would pop in and see whats the latest here,sp wise i see its much the same as it was 6 weeks ago oh well, i`ll be watching out for 26 again i think its in a tight range,goodluck all and best of luck,dd.

overgrowth - 28 Jul 2005 15:49 - 259 of 1009

A very large amount of buys coming through today folks.

This is unusual for RTD - it appears that someone may know something.

Get ready for some news...

How about a trading update to the trading update from Carl Clump e.g. "Having reviewed the 2005 H1 figures in detail, we conclude that the half year results are significantly ahead of expectations rather than we're just doing ok as the previous update implied" lol !

More likely to be contract news IMHO or confirmation of Cyber dropping the legal challenge all together.

Douggie - 03 Aug 2005 18:38 - 260 of 1009

hello I'm back..mother board got frazzled by power surge..verry painfull


everyone gone elsewhere ????????????

parveen1 - 03 Aug 2005 18:48 - 261 of 1009

we are all here Douggie

Waiting patiently for RTD to be truly recognized for its real value.

Not long to go a few more weeks of pain, before the upward march starts once again

not long to results , i think we may get RNS tomorrow/friday to tell us the results date

robstuff - 03 Aug 2005 23:42 - 262 of 1009

Some large selling today :(

Douggie - 04 Aug 2005 09:32 - 263 of 1009

& so far all sells today ... I find myslf increasingly tempted to join them.... :o/

Fred1new - 04 Aug 2005 11:14 - 264 of 1009

Douggie, My "guess" is the results given 9/10/05 (sharescope) or early September (RNS) will be good. I have been tempted to trade but I am sure I will be clobbered if I do. I think it wiser to hold until September, but the yesterday's volumes of B/sells are not pleasing and I see little in the TA to make me cheerful at the moment. Perhaps the short termers are boored with RTD.

But I am still finding difficult to see the market go down and my portfolio go up and unfortunately vice versa.

latics3 - 05 Aug 2005 20:02 - 265 of 1009

good day today folks....anyone have incite into why?

latics3 - 05 Aug 2005 20:02 - 266 of 1009

good day today folks....anyone have incite into why?

overgrowth - 08 Aug 2005 19:13 - 267 of 1009

latics3 - Just in case you incite any riots in future...I think you mean "insight".

It's traditional that RTD's price creeps up significantly before publication of interims and it appears that the tradition is continuing.

overgrowth - 09 Aug 2005 10:59 - 268 of 1009

The great news posted yesterday on Bloomberg (which I wasn't aware of until now) is attracting the buyers today:

"Major Software License Sale -- 'PRISM(R)' -- to Fifth Third
Bank Processing Solutions

PALO ALTO, Calif., Aug. 8 /PRNewswire/ -- Retail Decisions ("ReD"), a world leader in card fraud prevention and payment processing, is pleased to announce it has signed a 5 year agreement with options to extend for at least 5 additional years to license its leading edge PRISM(R) fraud detection software to Fifth Third Bank Processing Solutions, the electronic payment processing division of Cincinnati-based Fifth Third Bancorp (NYSE: FITB).

Under the agreement, Fifth Third will install ReD's PRISM neural network technology to detect and prevent ATM, credit and debit card fraud associated with its own issued cards and also provide ReD's PRISM technology as a service to the bank's 1,350 partnering financial institutions.

The agreement comes on top of the five year license sale of ReD's PRISM software to Seattle based PEMCO Technology Services, announced in March 2005 and previous PRISM license sales, internationally, to South Africa, Puerto Rico, Japan and Canada.

ReD's PRISM(R) neural technology comprises a full suite of fraud detection applications tailored to each client. PRISM(R), offered on a licensed or outsourced basis, provides predictive fraud detection for credit, debit and private label cards as well as for retail fraud, e-commerce transactions and money laundering. ReD's intelligent software enables its clients to predict, prevent, track and understand new patterns of fraud and to create strategies to combat fraud as it evolves.

PRISM's integrated Windows-based Case Management Workstation enables risk analysts to provide rapid response to high-risk situations. Analysts can review alerts, define and manage investigation steps and work queues, and initiate fraud-control actions.

Commenting Carl Clump, Chief Executive of ReD said:

"The agreement with Fifth Third is a major endorsement of our global expertise in fraud prevention. ReD's PRISM(R) fraud detection software is world class leading edge technology and provides our clients with a significant advantage in detecting and preventing fraud as it evolves and migrates on a minute by minute, second by second basis." "

Fundamentalist - 09 Aug 2005 11:07 - 269 of 1009

why no RNS ?????

Douggie - 09 Aug 2005 11:11 - 270 of 1009

:o))

overgrowth - 09 Aug 2005 11:13 - 271 of 1009

Fundy - that's just what I was thinking.

If the deal is as big as they say, then we should have definitely had an RNS.

parveen1 - 09 Aug 2005 11:19 - 272 of 1009

Re... the delay in announcement....

May be they've got a consultant PR man to give it once over.... just in case it sounded drab in their own wording !!.... surely thay can't screw this one up ?!

:-)

Douggie - 09 Aug 2005 12:47 - 273 of 1009

:o))

Douggie - 09 Aug 2005 14:21 - 274 of 1009

that :o)) should have been downgraded to...:o)

now is ;o/

selllers taken over
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