Anybody think Lloyds will bail out, or not be able to continue with HBOS takeover

Ian .... trading is a dirty word to several members - lol!

Is Scotland that great country you can't wait to emigrate from ???

You don't half talk a load of bullsh*t scotty.

Aww sorry Ian just saw the warning ... but he is a right uckin prat.

After averaging down with lloy, I now almost have my quota, what I should have done was trade out of them last week at 325, and buy back in lower. But I wasn't fast enough on the day, so back to original plan and hold for long term, about 2 to 3 years.

At least the perma bull at Panmure Gordon Sandy Chen has changed his view from a hold to buy with 340p price target.

Spitfire, it may be 5-10years.































8-)

I hope not as I have some.

You may be right, it's a hard call for timescales, but when sentiment changes it can move the sp higher very quickly. So looking at the brightside, at least I have brought the shares, and won't miss the bull run.

But being a pessimist I will plan for next year to still be a bear market, with a recovery due in 2010.

Now that the plan has failed, I would think there is a good chance RBS, Barlays and LLoyds will be bust within days unless the Fed has a masterplan. Panic on the high street once the media gets hold of it.

America is "over there" and I understood LLOY has plenty of funds that are not controlled by our cousins - - - - so panic aside ( =Buying Op), there is no real reason for bankrupsy.
Just what is it that LLOY has handled that is now zero?
Fred1new - I don't like 10-years, particulalry as many FTSE companies are already fairly under-valued.
The "credit crunch" is due to fear, not lack of dosh.

-although US finances are hardly "sweet" and the FBI may be feeling some collars . . .. just hope they stick to home-ground first - that's where the Regulations were abused. What was any business doing leanding to "no-income" families.... Eh? Good for a charity, but NOT a commercial operation . . . . those deals were dishonest for the Family AND the providers .

However, I do wonder the position of Moody and Poor (IMHO) and any Credit-Rating agency that was able to ignore the creation of AAA-rated bundles that contained not much more than do-do . . . were their Rules applied lax? . . . or were their Rules total rubbish?
So, why would Banks accept these "bundled debts" - were they also part of "an unwitting scam" - (or worse), ?

Oh dear, - you couldn't write stuff like this!!!

tis a case of market sentiment. NRK, BB. A&L and HBOS were always the weakest but the market has certainly turned its attention to RBS today (unfortunately for me) because of the Ambro situation. I feel the next bank on the 'list' if it happens would be RBS. Expected it to be mnths away but after tonight maybe it is only days away. If RBS goes, then LLOY and BARC would be close behind.

IMO

ps I sincerely hope it doesn't happen cause I have RBS

Armageddon really is nigh

IMHO I'm surprised RBS has avoided the woes (they deserved, IMHO). Maybe RBS did pass the begging-bowl first, so that "may have" fixed things - certainly it was a great wheeze ( but a scam on RBS-shareholders, eh?).

All of this stemmed from the purchase of that Bank - Ambro, as you say. This was bought at the peak time for banking-shares. There were suggestions RBS paid "too much" ( as is always the case with buying turnover!) - and I don't think there was a retraqctment clause, which if set at 18 months would have reduced the price by a big-chunk.

The sorry thing is that Scots' pride has been battered by HBOS woes; and now it may be second-time arround . . . . . and this ignore the return of GB wrapped in tar. This Gov attempted to curry favour by boosting Nationalism, presumable it hurt Tory-hopes . . . . but 10-years on, it has shreaded all hopes of Labour Politicians, north of the Border.

Take a close look at the Ambro 'fiasco', call it what you will, and you may well be surprised to find that RBS actually ended up with the bargain end of the bank. There's no doubting that RBS is going to come under some intense pressure over the next few days UNLESS shareholders realize that they actually hold a solid share that will eventually pay mega dividends. DYOR but do it! Don't rely on others (yea, ok such as me!) to tell you what might be, RESEARCH it, I did, but I could just have missed something so that's why I say DYOR!

sentiment is everything in this market. Fundamentals mean nothing I'm afraid. If the market believes a cy is going bust then the sp collapses and everyone wants to bail out/ not do business with them = bust.

Nothing else matters

Things will be rough for banks now, but the Americans will still clobber something together for the bailout.

If things really turn bad, don't forget the lloy - hbos isn't a done deal yet, so it might not go through, it still needs to be voted on by share holders. So come on chaps, do try and look on the bright side of life, if I start singing that then you know it' all over.

heaven forbid! .... by the way, your Freudian slip should surely have read cobble, though i am sure some of the redneck renegades will get truly clobbered

Yes cobble it should have been, I should proof read my threads after a few glasses of wine. I think clobbering those idiots would be too good for them, hung strung and quartered.

lloy down 5% to 205p and hbos down 11% to 128p a few moments back. But using the takeover ratio of 0.83, hbos should be at 170p, the difference is growing each day. Are the markets now having doubts to the deal going through.

I'm sure Government will do everything in there power to keep it on track, but there may come a point when the short term threat may become to great for lloy.

Cant see Lloyds backing out of the best deal in the 21st Century - The government will probably throw sweetners in as well - But in these markets I suppose anything could happen. Banco Santander would rather have Hbos than AL. so no fear of a take-over not going through eventually. The Yanks will sort themselves out before Friday and everybody will be buying banks like madmen, then next week another twist...........

I hope you're right and those madmen start buying, the strange thing is that the gap has widened even further now, with lloy at 225p and hbos at 123p now. For the brave investor, buying hbos now would give many more lloy shares when the deal is/if passed. The correct ratio should be lloy = 225p and hbos = 186p, but the market is still to be convinced.

I been out walking the dogs but, my wife tells me from the news on TV that Lloyds is looking at the take over terms again which probably explains the widening between share prices spitfire43 mentions above. Lloyds appear to be in the driving seat.