http://www.sartma.com/art_4586.html
Falklands : BHP Spin-Off Could be Good for Desire
Submitted by Falkland Islands News Network (Juanita Brock) 03.10.2007 (Current Article)
Now that BHP are a farm-in partner of FOGL the spin-off could benefit other exploration companies to find suitable rigs for exploration.
BHP SPIN-OFF COULD BE GOOD FOR DESIRE
By J. Brock (FINN)
On Monday 01 October 2007 Desire Petroleum held a shareholders meeting at the Falkland Islands Chamber of Commerce Function Room. About a dozen shareholders made the meeting on Peat Cutting Monday and heard some very encouraging news from Dr. Colin Phipps and Mr Ian Duncan about the prospects in their tranches in the North Falklands Basin. To say that the next 12 months are going to be exciting is putting it mildly. FINN has interviewed Dr. Phipps about the way forward for his company and the industry in the Falklands in general. He was asked first about rig availability.
CP: Today you would have had the announcement from Falkland Oil and Gas that they have done a farm-out deal with BHP. The deal states that BHP will drill 2 wells in the next three years. Now, BHP has two rigs which are now in the American Gulf Coast. It may be that they will bring one of them down to drill here in the South Atlantic. But they havent said when they will.
And, its not certain that the rigs that they have in the Gulf Coast are going to be suitable, anyway, for drilling in the South and East Falklands Basins. So, I think as far as the rig situation is concerned, we are all of us still going to be looking and the probability is that BHP will now join with us in that search. Two alternatives are that BHP bring a rig down that the rest of us use or they join with us in getting a rig.
The difficulty at the moment with rig availability is that all of the rigs are contracted for a long time. But its beginning to look as if some of the companies that have taken long-term contracts dont really have enough oil to fill up the length of contract so there is spare capacity. And also, and it is perhaps more important, a large number of new rigs are becoming available as they come off the shipyards. So, there are going to be a lot more rigs.
It may be a fairly slow process but I think that the additional rigs that are coming on to the market the prices will start to dip and rig availability will become better. So, right at the moment it is probably looking better for getting a rig than it has done for quite some time. And what BHP is doing is clearly going to be a catalyst in helping that to happen.
FINN: There have been a few speculative articles about Borders and Southern and working with the rest of the exploration companies. From what I can understand from them, their waters are too deep for even an enhanced rig. Is this still the case? Have rigs been advanced enough?
CP: They have a deep water rig that could drill there quite successfully. There are plenty of deep water rigs that can drill there. These are rigs that are either ships or dynamically positioned drilling rigs which means they dont need anchors. They stay on station because they have a multitude of thrusters working all the time to keep them on a single spot. These thrusters are very expensive pieces of machinery and the fuel costs are very high if the weather is particularly bad to keep them on station you use a lot more fuel for the thrusters. But there are certainly rigs available that will meet those requirements. You may check this out but we certainly have spoken with all the other companies about going forward and these are certainly one of the options.
FINN: Are dynamically positioned rigs and drill ships the same thing?
CP: A drill ship is often dynamically positioned in fact they always have done it but it is ship shaped. The advantage of that is it can go from one location to another as fast as a ship can so it cuts down the transit time. And cost per day is high.
A drilling rig dynamically positioned is not shaped like a ship. It can also move under its own steam but it cant move quite as fast as a ship shaped rig.
FINN: I am curious about the amount of oil you say you have. Is it just in one prospect the 2.3 billion barrels or is it in all of them?
Its in all of the prospects on the tranches C and D. There is additional prospectivity in Tranches I and L. that would add to that. Besides, these are prospective. They have yet to be discovered. And, of course, it may be that they are not there but we would certainly hope equally that it could be more.
FINN: Indications I get from the South American Press are that the larger companies are pulling out of Latin America and selling their assets. Do you think that you might be seeing them here in the Falklands?
CP: Well, its possible, I mean it would certainly take away some of the embarrassment of companies likes Shell and ESSO being involved in Argentina and therefore it might be easier to come to the Falklands. I am not sure to what extent the politics here have kept out some of the larger companies but I think it must have had influence. They have large investments in places like Argentina relatively large, anyway. It would, I think, have an affect on their view of the Falklands. If they moved out of Argentina and I think Shell has already pulled out their assets in Argentina and I understand ESSO is going to do the same. Not merely in Argentina but through Latin America Venezuela and Bolivia and Ecuador. They are all very nervous that they are going to see the old-fashioned type of dictatorships beginning to emerge again in South America with presidents giving themselves much more than one or two terms and others becoming extremely nationalistic. Nationalism in the left wing and the right wing there has equally been right and left wing nationalism expropriation the sort of thing you have been seeing in Venezuela and Bolivia. And, the companies are very reluctant to invest more. And if you are not going to invest more the appropriate thing is to disinvest.
It could help here but so far its early days.
FINN: How are you going to deal with the fact that Argentina might demand that a company working in their country should not work in the oil industry here?
BHP, for instance, which has just become a partner of FOGL have no interests in Argentina but have major interests in Chile one of the biggest mining companies in Chile, so they are not going to worry about Argentine politics and I suspect that others that come in will be in a similar position.
FINN: Your share prices, hovering between 28.00 and 32.00 could go higher. Are you satisfied with the price?
I am never satisfied with the share price but in the final analysis its the success that we achieve that will determine what the share price will become and there are a number of steps towards that. That will be reflected one way or another in the share price. Once we start drilling that will influence the price. If we are successful it will be great. The current price is reflecting the cash position of the company and some of its future potential. Shareholders and the market are really waiting to see if we get a rig and at that stage I think the market will become more active.
FINN would like to thank Dr. Phipps for taking the time to do this interview.