silverfern
- 21 Feb 2008 07:48
- 27 of 28
Fantastic results, with huge growth coming in the next two years. I don't normally post recommendations to buy or hyperbole about companies but this company is flying in a very very secure market. The deal with SOny is particularly exciting, and they have m managed all the growth without diminishing margins.
PapalPower
- 21 Feb 2008 09:15
- 28 of 28
Nice set of results :)
Daniel Stewart comment today :
Dori Media - BUY
Price: 159p Target price: 343p Code: DMG.L Analyst: James Hollins | 020 7776 6571
FY results; forecasts & target upgrades
Dori Media is our key pick in the media sector. The company has reported FY07A results c.19% ahead of our expectations.
We are upgrading our FY08E estimate by 13% and introducing a FY09E forecast of 51.5c (+24% vs FY08E).
We apply a 13x target multiple to FY09E EPS (343p target, 116% upside) and reiterate our Buy stance.
Doris FY07A results reflect top-line growth of 47.1% ($30.0m vs $20.4m), with solid increases across all divisions.
The largest division by revenue, TV series rights sales (+71% YoY, c.60% of group sales), benefited from strong recurring revenue, as well as substantial growth from new additional content, including Lalola.
Group gross margin increased from 73.4% in FY06A to 73.7% in FY07A (vs 69.0% forecast) with lower-than-expected content acquisition costs.
The group reported EPS of 33.8c, equating to 19.3% out performance against our 28.41c forecast and representing YoY earnings growth of 25.4%.
Following the FY07A results, and given our bullish outlook, we are upgrading FY08E PBT from $11.1m to $12.5m (+12.4%), with a resulting (unchanged tax rate of 21.0%) increase in earnings of 12.6%, from 36.97c to 41.62c.
We are introducing a forecast for FY09E, showing top-line growth of 35.2% to $82.5m, with earnings growth of 23.8% to 51.51c.
The resulting FY08E and FY09E multiples of 7.5x and 6.0x fail to reflect the strength of the business.
We believe that the company deserves a genuine growth multiple and premium to the UK television production sub-sector.
Doris growth potential and existing position in the global Telenovela industry, in our opinion, justify a target of 13x FY09E earnings. On this basis, we apply a target price of 343p.
The value of the cash generative nature of the business is borne out in our DCF-based valuation that drives our bull-case valuation of 405p.