ThePlayboy
- 13 Dec 2003 08:16
- 28 of 28
Updated 12/12 for Monday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 12/15
UP Above 10,075
DN Below 9,900
Continued Uptrend
Dow continues steady push higher, ends day with 34 point gain.
From prior commentary, "...The index continues to push higher within the wide, upward-sloping range...Look for the index to continue higher within the range for tomorrow's market..."
The Dow opened the session lower this morning, but got a v-bottom reversal off the lows that sparked a steady rise the remainder of the session, seen in the 15 Minute Chart. The Dow closed above the 10,000 mark for the second straight session and continues to close in on the upper boundary of the wide, upward-sloping trading range, seen in the 60 Minute Chart.
Look for the Dow to continue higher toward the upper boundary of the range until either a break or bounce of the upper line is seen. That is where the decision will be made; An upside break through the upper boundary of the range at 10,075 will likely spark an even greater advance, while a downside reversal off the upper line will mark the beginning of a likely decline back toward the lower boundary of the range. A downside break through 10,000 will likely fuel such a move.
Short Term Dow
Short term, the Dow has formed a clear trend line beneath the lows of the 1 Minute Chart. A downside break of the line at 10,040 will make for weakness tomorrow morning. Otherwise, look for further strength above the line in the short term.
Medium Term Dow
In the medium term, we entered the market Long at 9,971 and are still in the position. We will move stops up to 10,000 for tomorrow's market to lock in some profit on a pullback. We will stay Long above 10,075, but will wait for Shorts until 9,900 is crossed to the downside, using 20 point stops.
NASDAQ & S&P
The NASDAQ and S&P trended slowly higher off the day's lows, ending the session at the day's highs. Look for further strength Monday, as each index has formed consolidations at the highs. *
Summary
The Dow moved higher off the day's lows, pushing and holding back above the 10,000. The index will likely continue trending higher toward the upper boundary of the wide, sloping range. A break or bounce at the upper boundary will be key.