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ACCUMA, A Play On Consumer Debt And The Softening High Street. (ACG)     

goldfinger - 18 May 2005 13:30

This one as a market cap around 20 million and floated only a few months back but looks to have been overlooked by the small investor and could be a sound play as a defensive in these docile markets.

We all know about the number of people in debt and over burden with credit and also the huge increase in bankrupts. I picked out Debt Free Direct about 18 months ago as I could forsee the present market conditions taking place. Accuma is cheaper than Debt Free Direct after its large rise, and as far as I can see as larger number of areas it covers.

Heres a top fund manager commentating on it.................

Allsopp told Citywire: "Accuma is a perfect play on consumer debt and the softness of the high street. It will exhibit enormous growth going forward and is cheaper than bigger rivals like Debt Free Direct."

Heres what the company does..........................

The Group is a provider of tailored financial solutions and advice to
individuals who are experiencing debt problems. The Group's principal aim is to
help individuals regain control of their financial affairs by advising them on
the most appropriate course of action based on their individual circumstances.
The Group is highly regulated as its key product, an IVA, is a legally binding,
court-approved agreement and can only be administered by Insolvency
Practitioners (IPs) - individuals licensed under the Insolvency Act 1986 to
undertake insolvency appointments.

The Group's operations comprise a personal insolvency practice specialising in
IVAs, general debt advice and the referral of individuals to other solution
providers where appropriate. The Group does not lend money, nor does it take
clients' debt on to the balance sheet, thereby limiting its business risk. The
solutions offered to individuals depend upon personal circumstances and
principally comprise the following:

Individual Voluntary Arrangement (IVA)

IVAs were introduced as part of the Insolvency Act of 1986 as an alternative to
bankruptcy, enabling individuals who were struggling with unsecured debt
payments to reach a legally binding compromise with their creditors. Penetration
of IVAs has historically been low due to the limited number of providers, cost
to the consumer and perceived complexity.

The Directors believe that this gives the Group an opportunity to build critical
mass and create barriers to entry in a relatively short timescale.

An IVA is a legally binding, court-approved agreement between the individual and
his/her creditors, under which the individual agrees to make fixed monthly
payments, generally over a five-year period.

IVAs must be supervised by an IP and have many advantages for both the debtor
and creditors. The debtor avoids bankruptcy which can be of particular
importance for home owners or those employed in occupations where bankruptcy
would be highly disadvantageous. The IVA conveys a legal obligation on the
creditors to freeze all interest and charges and, subject to adherence of the
terms by the debtor, to write off any outstanding debts after expiration of the
fixed period. An IVA therefore provides both certainty to and reduced pressure
on the individual.

From the creditors' side, the attractiveness of an IVA is the ability to
forecast a higher return than in bankruptcy combined with lower administrative
costs compared to traditional debt collection. This is driven by a legal
obligation on the part of the debtor to make fixed monthly payments, or to
introduce other funds, which have been assessed by Accuma Insolvency
Practitioners (AIP), one of the Group's trading subsidiaries, as being
affordable and sustainable.

AIP does not directly charge the debtor a fee for its services; these are
received as a priority from the contributions made by the debtor into the IVA
and are agreed and funded by the creditors. AIP charges the creditor an initial
fee of 2,500 - 3,000 as well as an average 78 monthly supervisory fee which
over the five-year period gives good cash-flow visibility. Where AIP believes an
IVA is inappropriate the following solutions will be recommended:

Informal Arrangement

AIP advises on two types of informal arrangement, managed and self-managed,
under which creditors agree to extend the repayment period for the individual.
This is not a legally binding agreement and often interest and charges continue
to be applied until the individual has repaid the amount in full. Under the
managed scheme, AIP refers individuals to a non-connected company which manages
the scheme between individual and creditor.

Re-mortgage

This solution is usually suitable for homeowners with positive equity in their
property. This has until recently been a particularly strong area of activity in
the UK with individuals re-mortgaging to consolidate high interest credit,
taking advantage of lower mortgage interest rates and the high perceived value
of their property. AIP refers such individuals to professional finance brokers
and receives a percentage of any commission payable to the finance broker.

Consolidation Loans

This is a highly competitive area of the market where individuals take out a new
loan to repay existing unsecured debts. AIP recommends professional finance
brokers and would usually receive a percentage of any commission generated.

Bankruptcy

If an individual is made bankrupt, a trustee is appointed to manage their
financial affairs and to sell any assets that may exist in order to repay their
debts. Accuma does not directly advertise or promote bankruptcy as a solution.
However, as the Group aims to provide a full range of solutions, if bankruptcy
is deemed the most appropriate option, the individual is provided with free
information detailing the actions to be undertaken. ENDS.

Well worth a punt in these markets as a defensive play.

DYOR.

cheers GF.



goldfinger - 24 May 2005 16:30 - 27 of 252

And we have more buyers.

cheers GF.

mickeyskint - 24 May 2005 17:32 - 28 of 252

Another good call GF. Not in yet but watching.

MS

goldfinger - 24 May 2005 17:42 - 29 of 252

Yup MS, we got a late T seller and the buyers mopped up all his sell so I see no problems from the off tomorrow. Well worth having a look earlier in the thread re- to the valuation of this one and Debt Free Direct (its on the brokers note), its way cheaper and I think we have investors moving over from them.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 24 May 2005 23:57 - 30 of 252

Just take their word that this is an excelent company.

pic.gifWe owed a fortune, over 22,000. Wed tried everything
and didnt know what else to do. Then we called Accuma.

They reduced our monthly payments from 900 to under
300, arranged for nearly 10,000 of our debt to be written
off. Stopped all interest and charges, and best of all, it
didnt cost us a penny. The service was free. Now weve
got our lives back!.


cheers GF

goldfinger - 25 May 2005 01:26 - 31 of 252

Go on take the plunge now or itl be you who needs this companys services.

cheers GF.

jimmy b - 25 May 2005 07:30 - 32 of 252

LOL, i might just do that.

goldfinger - 25 May 2005 10:42 - 33 of 252

A little bit of background re to this companys market...............

The Market

Historically AIP has attracted prospective clients primarily through direct
advertising in a range of media channels including press, directories, radio,
the internet and more recently television. Prospective clients call a free-phone
number that is answered by a team of experienced debt advisers who collect
personal and financial details in order to ensure that recommendations can be
made based on the most appropriate course of action considering the personal
circumstances of the individual concerned.

According to a report published by the University of Wales, commissioned by The
Insolvency Service:

'Unsecured consumer debt has risen at a compound rate of 12-15 per cent each
year since late 1997. This phenomenon is in large part a reflection of
favourable economic factors, national credit policy, social pressures to
demonstrate certain patterns of perceived material influence, and hard marketing
by lending institutions.'

The Bank of England's recent Financial Stability Review (December 2004), noted
that unsecured lending had been rising more rapidly than mortgage lending. In
November 2004 consumer debt passed the 1 trillion barrier; 182 billion of
which is outstanding on credit and store cards, personal loans and overdrafts.

According to the Financial Times, the average household now borrows 140 per cent
more than its combined income, up from 90 per cent in 1998 and from 100 per cent
at the peak of the last boom in the 1980s.

The Bank of England also believes that 'the growth rate of household
indebtedness is likely to remain strong over the next few years' and with 42 per
cent of individuals with unsecured debts experiencing repayment problems

Directors of Accuma believe that this increasing level of consumer indebtedness
creates a strong opportunity to rapidly increase market share and create
barriers to entry in a relatively short timescale.

cheers GF.




goldfinger - 25 May 2005 16:24 - 34 of 252

A quite day for this one and a bit of profit taking I see. The trend though is truly well and up. Certainly worth having in your portfolio as a hedge against volatile markets.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 26 May 2005 00:17 - 35 of 252

Oh sorry wrong thread.

goldfinger - 26 May 2005 10:34 - 36 of 252

Another reason why people should be snapping up these shares..........

Bad debts stunt Barclays
MoneyAM

Barclays reported flat income growth in its core UK banking business over the first quarter.

The bank said bad debt provisions at its credit card division rose faster than expected, in a further sign that the UK consumer boom is running out of steam.

But the high street bank said overall profit growth was 'good,' with operating expenses rising in line with income. It added that it was sticking by its earlier forecast of double digit income growth for the year as a whole, with costs expected to rise in line with income.

'Barclays has delivered good profit growth in the first quarter of 2005. We have accelerated the implementation of our strategic agenda by organic investment and acquisition,' CEO, John Varley said in a statement.

The bank reiterated that it expected its acquisition of a 60% stake in South African retail bank Absa, agreed earlier this month, to contribute to group profits in the first full year following completion.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 31 May 2005 23:41 - 37 of 252

Bad debt be talked about by the day.

This one as certainly a future.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 01 Jun 2005 11:44 - 38 of 252

Looks readt to tick up.

cheers GF.

blackbelt - 01 Jun 2005 12:30 - 39 of 252

Hi GF, im in with a small holding should be enough to help it tick up. This company looks a good hedge against choppy markets......

Cheers for the info

sidtrix - 01 Jun 2005 12:45 - 40 of 252

HBoS warns on bad loans
MoneyAM
Banking group HBoS said trading over the first four months of the year was in line with expectations.

However, the banker warned that bad loans had continued to rise.

In a trading update, the bank said non-performing consumer loans rose 'in line with previous guidance' during the January to April period, with secured and non-secured lending both affected.

The rise in bad loans at HBoS tallies with recent trading updates from rivals Barclays and HSBC, who warned that higher interest rates and rising utility bills had contributed to a deterioration in UK credit quality.

HBoS said it still expected to hit its profit growth targets, helped by a steady increase in revenues and tight cost controls.

The bank, Britain's biggest mortgage provider, said net mortgage lending was 'robust' during the first four months, while sales of insurance and investment products were 'meaninfully' higher compared with the same period last year.

HBoS added that corporate banking had continued to perform well, helped by a 'vigilant' approach to lending.

The bank said it had so far bought 230m of shares under a 2005 share buyback programme budgeted at 750m.

goldfinger - 01 Jun 2005 13:45 - 41 of 252

AND...................

May 28, 2005

Defaults on credit cards and loans will top 4.5bn
By Caroline Merrell and Patrick Hosking



PERSONAL borrowers in Britain are expected to default on a record 4.5 billion of bank loans and credit card debt this year as hundreds of thousands of households struggle to meet repayments.
The soaring rise in arrears is likely to mean a sharp increase in the number of people facing county court judgments, bailiffs, confiscated earnings, bankruptcy proceedings and even home repossessions.



City analysts were yesterday revising upwards their estimates of the scale of the problem after Barclays Bank admitted on Thursday that the number of cardholders in arrears had risen sharply in recent months. It said that those already in arrears were paying back less than in the past.

Rising mortgage bills and the volume of outstanding personal debt in Britain, now more than 1 trillion (one thousand million), are blamed for the growing numbers of people in difficulties. Credit card companies have been abandoning interest-free offers which enabled borrowers to stave off the day of reckoning.

Jonathan Pierce, a leading analyst with Credit Suisse First Boston, said that the large British banks were preparing for their customers to default on a total of 3.7 billion of unsecured personal debts this year, a rise of a fifth on last year.Adding defaulting customers of American lenders such as MBNA and Capital One, and of building societies, takes the total level of personal unsecured defaults this year to about 4.5 billion.

Mr Pierce said: Most indicators suggest a further increase in defaulters during the year, and not just confined to credit cards. There could also be further issues with personal loans and overdrafts.

His analysis is based on the assumption of relatively benign economic conditions low unemployment and comparatively low interest rates continuing. A sharper slowdown could lead to job losses and a more serious level of arrears.

Personal bankruptcies are up 30 per cent, to 37,900, in the year to March. New rules allow bankrupts to escape their debts after a year and wipe their credit record clean six years later.

A bank-backed charity that helps people getting into difficulty with debt is expecting a flood of fresh clients. The Consumer Credit Counselling Service, which fielded 180,000 calls from distressed borrowers in 2004, is increasing staff to handle 300,000 calls by 2006.

Malcolm Hurlston, its chairman, said that it was hiring extra staff to be in place by summer, when he expects calls for help to intensify: Its a bit like the Battle of Britain: will we have the pilots ready in time?

Banks yesterday were accused of using increasingly aggressive tactics to collect debts from defaulters. A debt advice charity has written to the Office of Fair Trading raising concerns over high street banks increasing use of private debt collection companies. AdviceUK has sent the consumer watchdog the results of a survey carried out at 73 of its advice centres which found that debt collectors were flouting OFT rules on collecting payment.

Nick Pearson, national debt co-ordinator of adviceUK, said: The debt collection firms used by the banks have a vested interest in recovering debts as quickly as possible and they do have a tendency to cut corners. The activities of debt collectors are the biggest cause of complaint among our advisers.

Norman Lamb, the Lib Dem MP and a member of the Treasury Select Committee in the last Parliament, said: The news is evidence of a worrying trend. The Goverment needs to at least show an interest in the level of private debt.

cheers GF.








goldfinger - 02 Jun 2005 13:02 - 42 of 252

From the latest Daniel Stewart note...................

Valuation At the current price Accuma trades on a prospective P/e of 16x to July 2006, falling to 6.8x for July 2007. This is based on a weighted EPS of 5.7p to July 2006, rising to 11.8p (+108%) for 2007. By way of contrast, Debt Free Direct (DFD.L) trades on a prospective P/e of 24.3x to April 2006, falling to 20.3x to April 2007. This is based on a weighted EPS of 6.5p (+66%) to April 2006, rising to 8.0p (+24%) for 2007. Daniel Stewart.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 03 Jun 2005 10:48 - 43 of 252

All buys so far today.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 03 Jun 2005 11:36 - 44 of 252

Just ticked up . NICE.

blackbelt - 06 Jun 2005 13:58 - 45 of 252

Due another tick up soon

goldfinger - 06 Jun 2005 16:06 - 46 of 252

Seems to be a lot of volume going into this one now BB. Can only be good for the stock.

cheers GF
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