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Just been on the cricket tonight. What an epic finale!!

Layed off WI at 1.07 with 3 overs to go for a laugh and guess what?

Ha Ha Ha!!!

Guy on betfair claiming to have won 300,000 on the game tonight, most of it by laying 200,000 at 1.01 - nice nights work if you an get it

Evening Fundy,

Picked up your post regarding joining John and yourself at Haydock sometime. I'm not really into horses so not been to a race meeting before but looking forward to giving it a go. Will have to wait till after mid June as with my 1st wedding anniversary in 2 weeks time it won't go down too well with the Mrs if I'm having a knee's up with betfair mates!

Bakko

no probs about when - john and i have been trying to get to haydock together for at least 6 months probably more - if you go the aforementioned post it has the links to all the racing dates for the year at haydock.

Thanks Fundy, Will check it out properly,

Will be more than happy to meet up for that drink though. If we can grab John again I've a great place in mind for some nosh and drinks.

Bakko

sounds good -name the date and well sort it out

Will try and come up with a date over next few days as the mental diary is on low at this time of night!

Fundy, Not so daft afterall, Peter Crouch is the new England striker!!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/internationals/4518717.stm

Consider this - to date over the years 43 of the 108 1st leg football league play-off matches have ended as draws - 40% (a 6/4 fair bet). There is no reason to think this year will be any different as there seem to be a number of tight matches. Bookies are offering 9/4 or 11/5 the draw for each match. Free money?

looks like glazier is going to get his hands on Man U as hes got the irish 30% now

huge gamble on perfect tone 14.10 at salisbury

Good day so far on the races.

Well done john, keep it going.

i got off to a flyer on the first 5 races then got called out to the site - just about to start again

Been a good day Steve. None of this loading one side with 50,000 and all that funny business. Scrip must be away today then!!

Having said that just got stuffed by Swiftway in the 17.05

Sorry to hear john - i managed to catch that the right way round - so far so good - just looked at my p&l for the day and im 14 from 14 :-))) feeling a loser may be round the corner

Any thoughts on the glazer takeover?

You get the feeling Utd is coming to the end of an era. I remember Liverpool being so dominant in the 70's and 80's it seemed it would never end. Surely all this fuss can't do Utd any good?

Scrip

i think you and i both hope that at least it will have a short term effect and that they lose their next 2 games :-)))

Been working on these odds for Sunday this morning. None of it makes any sense from a statistical perspective. Also weird to note that large bookmakers are finding it difficult to quote on Fulham vs Norwich and Southampton vs Man Utd. I do not know why. I note a lot of the spread bettors do not have quotes on these markets and subsets.

From the perspective of stats vs market prices the odds on the relegation teams are completely out of proportion to the theoretical odds.

Roughly working out I see the following:-

Soton vs Man Utd
Theory 3.27, 3.87, 2.30
Market 2.52, 4.10, 2.70

Fulham vs Norwich
Theory 1.64, 4.35, 6.23
Market 3.10, 3.85, 2.34

West Brom vs Portsmouth
Theory 1.70, 4.03, 6.09
Market 1.66, 4.00, 6.20

Charlton vs Crystal Palace
Theory 1.75, 4.98, 4.39
Market 3.40, 3.55, 2.30

So, Only the West Brom vs Portsmouth match appears to be priced at normal value. The others have a very very heavy bias to the miracle of the last day. All the subset markets are reflecting the same issues. So next goal, total goals and correct score are significantly adrift from "normal" value. Of course the great unquantifiable here is just how much this great escape motivation will play on the last day. Also the motivation for the opposing teams must play on this. Curious stuff. Never seen such pricing but then again I have never seen such an end to the season!