goldfinger
- 04 Jan 2004 00:32
Closed the last thread as it was getting top heavy and cluttered. Brought out the new thread showing carry over of stocks held from year 2003 and ones I will following this year with interest.
Please remember I am by norm a long term value investor ( and invest in tranches ) but now and again may pick some trading stocks which need to be purchased on the same day I invest in them, or the opportunity to profit may be lost. Notice will be given.
Always please DYOR and remember you are always responsible for your buying and selling timing, and actions. I do own other stocks but I have not covered them on this board and therefore dont feel its right to list them here unless I do a reco on them.
Heres the list.
Telecolm Plus Results recently were excelent and the company is just growing and growing. Next target FTSE 250.
Bema Gold A little gem of a gold miner and has surged on the back of the increasing POG, should be a very long term banker.
Caldwell Investments Nothing Spectacular here but still up on buy price. If its good enough for Jim Slater and Evil Knievil, its good enough for me.
African Eagle A play on the ever increasing POG, but this time an explorer, and hopefully good news out very soon.
Just Car Clinics A long term hold that has fought back in the market just recently. Trading was a tad dissapointing late summer, but there are whispers about everything is back on track.
Bioprogress Hoping this one is going to be a long term Bio hold and has some big names like Mike Walters tipping it. A new contract win is imminent.
Zoo Digital Another long term hold which is likely to make its maiden profit in the very near future. I see this as a take out or take over candidate based on its, DVD Extra Technology.
Healthcare Enterprise Group A small company with a big future. As acquires a couple of very well know companys in the Health Care Business and has some very big backers.
Datacash One of the World Leaders in its software security field for online payment processing, also now branching out into other areas of security for credit cards and store cards.
Pipex Communications Fantastic and proven management team have acquired the bit parts to put together a Telecolms network of the highest order. Another long term hold.
I D Data A play on the new security chip credit cards and store cards. Awaiting big orders from Banks from all over the Globe.
NEW BUYS
T T Electronics A recovery play on the world car manufacturing and mobile phone industries.
Armour Group, a company that again is in the in car entertainment market and sells all the leads and plugs that are needed for the electronics to work. Also has an in house, audio electronics division.
Service Powerthe recognised market leader in artificial intelligence based field service scheduling applications.
Patient Line Market-leading pioneer of bedside communication and entertainment services within the NHS healthcare sector. Offer a comprehensive solution partnering Trusts in delivering digital TV, telephone, free 24hr radio, internet, email and information services direct to bedside.
Scott Tod Straight swap with Cardpoint, basicaly in the same business, but this has further growth, much further growth left in it.
Mediwatch Exciting little Bio/health care company ready to break into the US market.
Imagination Technologies Silicoln chip maker. Rumoured to be the "New ARM"
Sanctuary Group Music company with divisions in Concerts, artists and Media.
2 Ergo Mobile communications company with cutting edge technology across all platforms.
CMS Webview Commodity software and Exchange software developer and servicer.
Zincox A play on the growing infrastructure of the newest industrial economy in the World China.
Anglo Pacific A coal miner who again I have invested in because of rising prices and incresed demand from China for coking coal and other metals.
London @ Associates Properties A fast rising NAV well above the stock price attracted me to this one, investing in large shopping centres.
SELLS
Top sliced Cardpoint 21/1/2004
also TT electronics and Datacash.
Top sliced ZOO 19/2/2004
Top sliced Zoo and JCR 29/02/2004
Top sliced JCR and ZOO plus some of my earlier stock
in BPRG at 50p and 60p. Wc March 1st
Top sliced Bema, Caldwell, JCR Zoo and Armour week ending, 12/03/2003.
Top sliced ID DATA, Telspec, Patient line, ZOO, Bema, JCR, Caldwell, Service power, on 28th and 29th of March.
Incite Holdings, sold 09/01/2004
Cardpoint, sold 30/01/2004
Centurion Electronics sold 12/2/2004
Avocett Miningsold 2/03/2004
Telspec sold after a few days of profit taking on 31/3/2004
I will be adding new recommendations to this list throughout the year, and at the moment I feel its a stock pickers market and one where value stocks with sound balance sheets will outperform. I cant really see that we will get the momentum opportunities we got in the last year from april to August and therefore as usual PATIENCE will be required.
Please feel free to make comments on the above list adding your thoughts and I wish everyone a prosperous year on the markets.
Regards Goldfinger.
goldfinger
- 29 Mar 2004 23:31
- 281 of 304
Hi I facer, yes its certainly good news for ZOO and I still have a lot of this stock all the way up from around 4.5p,I sold my earlier tranchs. The problem is as a pointed out to a poster on the Zoo thread is that with results coming up Zoo are going to have to produce the recent profit warning and this in effect can take away from the positives in what we have seen with ZOO since December. Just depends how the market takes it on the day.
As for the ATM war sorry I cant agree there, I think Scott Tod are the better value at the moment, but I certainly wouldnt rule out transfering again as I have done out of cardpoint, into Money Box.
good luck.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 30 Mar 2004 16:11
- 282 of 304
Continuing my theme from yesterday repositioning my portfolio, getting slowly but surely out of small techs and now looking at more stable less momentum led/low beta led stocks.
Placed an order for LAS London And Assoc Property, a new position. Around 61p to buy, NAV around a quid per share and that is very consevative. Has Bank of Scotland as a partner and also (Bisichi Mining which as its fingers in property aswell as south African mining, sales up 65% at last results and profits up over 100%.)
The consortium own and are developing amongst plenty of others Windsor shopping Centre and the church Square shopping centre in St Helens.
Has a low geared balance sheet and access to over 20 million of funds, looks like a craking investment to me.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 31 Mar 2004 01:09
- 283 of 304
Solid results for TT Electronics and a positive forward looking statement.
TT electronics PLC
30 March 2004
TT ELECTRONICS PLC REPORTS ON STRONGER SECOND HALF FOR 2003 AND INDICATES
CONFIDENCE FOR 2004.
TT electronics, a World leader in resistor and sensor technology today announces
its preliminary results for the year to 31 December 2003.
KEY POINTS
•Group turnover on continuing activities of 527.5 million (2002: 512.5
million).
•Profit before goodwill amortisation, exceptional items and taxation was
20.0 million (2002: 19.2 million).
•The uplift in the second half saw operating profit before goodwill
amortisation increase by 19 per cent from 10.1 million in the first half to
12.0 million (H2 2002: 9.3 million).
•Sales to the automotive market grew by 12 per cent which was ahead of the
average market growth. The group has received over 350 million new
automotive orders spread over the lives of the product lines.
•The acquisition of Optek Technology for 30.3 million significantly
expanded our sensor activities and will contribute to group profitability in
2004.
•Magnetic businesses now reorganised with exceptional costs of 3.7
million and goodwill of 10.1 million recycled through the profit and loss
account.
•The Board is recommending a maintained final dividend of 6.36p per share
bringing the total for the year to 10.05p (2002: 10.05p).
John Newman, Executive Chairman said today:
'These results reflect both our continuing success within the automotive market
and improved trading conditions.
It is particularly pleasing to report a 12 per cent growth in sales to the
automotive market. We have for some years recognised the potential of this
market. The range of products and technologies we have developed is such that we
estimate that over 60 per cent of all cars produced in Europe and North America
incorporate at least one of our products. We continue to work with our customers
to develop new electronic solutions which improve vehicle fuel efficiency,
safety and comfort.
In recent months we have experienced an improvement in order intake which we
believe will be maintained and as a result now look forward with confidence to
better trading conditions in the current year.'
30 March 2004
Enquiries:
TT electronics plc Tel: 01932 856647
John W Newman, Executive Chairman
Biddicks Tel: 020 7448 1000
Zoe Biddick
Website:
www.ttelectronics.com
cheers GF
i facer
- 31 Mar 2004 17:01
- 284 of 304
thanks for the response goldfinger, best of luck
i facer
- 31 Mar 2004 17:48
- 285 of 304
goldfinger, heres an interesting article:
www.evbg.com 29 March 2004
Cardpoint (CASH) Buy (unchanged)
Mkt cap: 44m Net cash: 0.3m Comment Price/Target: 150p/133p
Cardpoint (CASH) Buy (unchanged)
Mkt cap: 44m Net cash: 0.3m Comment Price/Target: 150p/133p
More for your money
Cardpoints share price has had a strong run this year as investors have
warmed to its business model and track record. Despite this, it is valued at
a discount to its newly quoted competitor.
Cardpoints closest quoted competitor Moneybox (ATM.L) has been trading
for a few days. Its share price has been in a range of 50-52p a relatively
modest premium to its flotation price of 47p. Although competitors in terms
of delivery of convenience ATM services, there are important points of
differentiation between the businesses.
Cardpoints root is strong organic growth, but since flotation it has
established itself as the leading sector consolidator. Moneybox has been
grown organically
Cardpoint's estate is almost exclusively of managed ATMs. Moneybox
has 1,100 merchant replenishment ATMs (smaller and lower volume)
Cardpoint's estate (approx 2000 ATMs) is mainly wholly owned,
depreciated over 5 years. Moneybox's estate (2,400 in the UK, 180 in
Netherlands and 180 in Germany) is funded by 7 year operating leases.
Moneybox is looking to build fastest its merchant replenishment, Dutch
and German estates. Cardpoint has just entered the German market
Moneybox's average transactions/ATM/month is 1,400 (for the
managed ATMs) and 500 (for the merchant fill ATMs). Cardpoints
average is 975. Cardpoint's average is diluted by the Securicor
acquisition
Cardpoint's average withdrawal fee is 154p. Moneybox's is nearer to
150p
Moneybox has a net cash balance of 14.5m on its balance sheet. We
estimate that Cardpoint will end the year with net debt of 3.9m.
Cardpoint continues to seek acquisition opportunities to consolidate
further the sector utilising funding from the market as previously.
Moneybox has indicated that the cash balance, war chest, is to be used
for unspecified acquisitions
Neither group is currently paying tax because of past losses
Both groups have non-ATM businesses. Cardpoint's is the mobile
phone-top up business, which we estimate to contribute 0.3m on sales
of 9m this year. Moneybox has an electronic security / vending card
business, with turnover of about 10m and 10% margin.
As to valuation. Cardpoint is trading at a discount to Moneybox. EV/EBITA
probably provides the best comparator ratio for the groups. Our preliminary
estimates for Moneybox show turnover of 39m and pre-tax profit of 3m for
this year and 66m and 7.7m, respectively, for next year (years to Dec). On a
market cap of 103m this gives an EV/rev of 1.3x and EV/EBITA of 12.4x for
12/05E. For Cardpoint, we have 32m of turnover and 2.4m of operating
profit for the year to Sept 2004 and 37m and 4.0m, respectively, for next
year. On a market cap of 44m, this gives EV/rev of 1.2x and EV/EBITA
10.7x for 9/05E. There seems to be no good reason for Cardpoint trading at a
discount to Moneybox, aside from size, Cardpoint's longer record as a public
company and wider coverage argue for a valuation premium.
http://www.beesonresearch.co.uk/
greedybas
- 31 Mar 2004 21:12
- 286 of 304
Hi Goldfinger
I have made alot of cash from your tips, I am surprised,however that you have not mentioned afe recently. I know that they have taken a dive due to the rainy season and goldfields rejection of miyabi. however since the last rns they seem a bargain at 22p. Am I missing something here.
Cheers anyway
greedyb
goldfinger
- 01 Apr 2004 01:25
- 287 of 304
No not at all in fact I have added to AFE over the last month. News is now seeping out from the company and I am sure you saw the latest RNS only a couple of days ago. Still worth holding and adding to in my opinion.
Cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 01 Apr 2004 01:42
- 288 of 304
Hi Ifacer thanks for the gem on Cardpoint. Very interesting.
Will be posting on the 3 new shares I have bought hopefully this weekend. As I have pointed out in the last 2 weeks I am changing the portfolios direction slowly but surely away from small momentum/high beta techs into more solid low beta industrial stocks.
I beleive although some have called this premature this is the best way to go about it. People have mentioned the capital gains year end as a reason for the stagnation in the markets over the last few weeks. I say sorry theres more to it than that, the terrorist threat we face is holding the markets back and I for one do not want to be holding losses like most held on sept 11th and after.
We need to hedge for these problems and although I am not advocating going into all out defensives, surer less volatile stocks need to be bought and exchanged for some of the more volatile holdings.
cheers GF.
ps, please note there is no need for panic. I have had a few e-mails on these lines. I will not be selling BPRG or Mediwatch or CMS webview or SVR, but I have started to offload IMG and PTL and have sold Telspec outright after a few days.
scotinvestor
- 01 Apr 2004 09:20
- 289 of 304
GF
You change your stance a lot on shares when u say u will do something, then do something different i.e. you sold avocet mining for no reason other than price fell a bit. Its now risen back most of what it lost. Also, I noted u said you would hold Bema Gold for 10 years. Well you havbe top sliced already and from reading some of your other postings on other share tips, i do not have much credance on some of the things you say.
Although this is a board for everyone to air views and share facts, a lot of novices or people not understanding the stock market look at some peoples opinions or tips on this and buy into certain shares. I know you always say buy or sell in your own time etc but there does seem to be inconsistencies in some of the things u say.
Hope i have not annoyed you though for saying all this. I just felt it needed saying
goldfinger
- 01 Apr 2004 11:44
- 290 of 304
Fair enough scotinvestor, theres always two sides to a coin.
Im still in Bema with a healthy profit and like others I do need the occasional drawings and hence my taking profits from a very large position. I still very much hold and will also add and sell being a tranch buyer and seller.
As for avocet I have been in these since 19p from around feb last year. I needed money for an investment in bricks and motar and this share provided me with that, and yes the price did fall and as just risen slightly. If you switch over to minesite.com there is a very damming piece on avocet criticising the company on its PR and its general promotion of the company.
I would also point out that the rebalancing of my portfolio as not been brought about because of economic facters in general (although I am very worried about the consumer debt problem here and in the US ) but more geopolitical events.
I for one could not forecast in Early January that the increased terrorist problems we have seen and are likely to face in the future would impact the home market and markets around the world in the fashion that it as done.
I personaly think it is very responsible of me to take this repositioning of my portfolio rather than to just let things be. If that means losing some revenues in the short term for a stronger portfolio in the future so then be it.
The ones who lose out in markets are the ones who cling to false hopes for far too long and then its too late.
Good look with your stratergy.
cheers GF.
graybadger
- 01 Apr 2004 12:46
- 291 of 304
Have any of you guys taken a hard look at:
Clarkson CKN
Maybourn MBY
Victoria VCP
They are all growing fast on a very low PE and paying a good divi
Check them out!
goldfinger
- 01 Apr 2004 13:09
- 292 of 304
Cheers Graybadger will do Clarkson is an old favourite of mine.
cheers GF.
bosley
- 01 Apr 2004 13:36
- 293 of 304
gf , does your strategy change incude hceg?
graybadger
- 01 Apr 2004 14:10
- 294 of 304
Maybourn is a no brainer.
Just look at their last results.
Turnover up 10%
Profit up 88% to 6.9m from 3.7m
EPS. up to 23.7p from 6.4p
Net Debt down 2.8m from 7.2m
Final divi 4.3p up 126%
And there is a share buy back 6% last year and the sme again this year.
goldfinger
- 02 Apr 2004 00:37
- 295 of 304
Bosley, no holding and even adding to these.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 05 Apr 2004 12:44
- 296 of 304
Datacash results in the morning.
GF
apple
- 16 Apr 2004 15:42
- 297 of 304
goldfinger
You were right about Caldwell!
We didn't know if or when they would be granted a patent or that they had applied.
Granted a patent at the beginning of March & the shares rapidly more than doubled.
A fact that doesn't justify such a rise but hey, facts seem to have a very loose relationship to share prices.
How the hell did Evil K know this was going to happen?
goldfinger
- 16 Apr 2004 16:06
- 298 of 304
He He apple I told him. Stanley Wootliffe I know from the past.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 16 Apr 2004 16:28
- 299 of 304
THREAD NOW CLOSED. THREAD NOW CLOSED. THREAD NOW CLOSED.
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
apple
- 16 Apr 2004 21:30
- 300 of 304
Why closed?
& who is Stanley Wootliffe?