markymar
- 03 Dec 2003 11:36
Big Mac
- 14 Apr 2008 10:34
- 2823 of 6492
Very strong today, must be news soon. check BB on www.iii.co.uk some very good posts on it
jammyjimmy
- 15 Apr 2008 16:41
- 2824 of 6492
Nice tick-up today :>)
markymar
- 17 Apr 2008 17:19
- 2825 of 6492
http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2008/0505/042a.html
OutFront
The Falklands. Again?
Christopher Steiner 05.05.08
Argentinean President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner recently proclaimed her country's right to the Falkland Islands "inalienable." These would be the same Falkland Islands that Margaret Thatcher snatched back for Britain, embarrassing Argentina, after Kirchner's country invaded in 1982. We all understand the occasional bout of nationalism, especially when it comes from a head of state in South America, where that seems to be the going shtick. The real question: Why the heck does Kirchner, or anyone, want the Falkland Islands? We've ranked theories for plausibility, from 1 to 100 points.
1. She's hoping to prove that the Falklands wolf, a species last spotted in 1876, is still around. 1 point.
2. Kirchner wants to establish an economic think tank and tap the brainpower on the islands. The resident population consists of doddering British expats who wear tweed and herd sheep. 2 points.
3. She's after those rabble-rousing runts of the Falklands, the Macaroni penguins, whose heads are adorned with yellow feathers, much like Yankee Doodle. 2 points.
4. Kirchner is preparing for her exile once her government gets overthrown by soybean farmers who roiled international markets with a March strike after Kirchner jacked export taxes above 40%. 5 points.
5. There's oil--conceivably 60 billion barrels beneath the Falklands and surrounding seas. Even if the economically recoverable quantity is only 10% of this total, it's interesting. Six exploratory wells were drilled in 1998, and they exposed rich source rock in the north end of the Falkland basin. Desire Petroleum, a British firm, is preparing to explore further but is hindered by the scarcity of floating drilling platforms, almost all of which are far from the islands and can cost $4 million a week to operate. Perhaps Royal Dutch Shell (nyse: RDSA - news - people ) now regrets pulling its interests out of the Falklands a decade ago when oil was dirt cheap. 90 points.
halifax
- 24 Apr 2008 09:38
- 2827 of 6492
Sorry but I missed the name of their drilling/farm out partner?
chav
- 24 Apr 2008 10:22
- 2828 of 6492
The partner is still a mystery halifax. All will be reveiled in time!
halifax
- 24 Apr 2008 10:28
- 2829 of 6492
Fair enough but why the delay in making the disclosure? What matters is that their partner has sufficient cash resources to fund a very expensive drilling programme. FOGL has already achieved this by partnering with BHP.
chav
- 24 Apr 2008 10:37
- 2830 of 6492
They need the nod from the Falklands Government before it's a go.
halifax
- 24 Apr 2008 13:39
- 2832 of 6492
Markymar that might be a wee bit difficult without a rig!!
scotinvestor
- 24 Apr 2008 14:38
- 2833 of 6492
nick one fae abbberdeen.......baaaaaa
markymar
- 29 Apr 2008 09:12
- 2836 of 6492
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=7293&page=0
The prize of oil
By John Lea - posted Tuesday, 29 April 2008
markymar
- 29 Apr 2008 09:15
- 2837 of 6492
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/04/29/cxmktrep129.xml
SMALL TALK
Borders & Southern Petroleum, one of several companies prospecting for oil off the Falkland Islands, rose 1 to a record high of 84p on vague takeover rumours. One rather optimistic story doing the rounds was that oil giant Royal Dutch Shell was mulling a 220p-a-share approach. Sceptical dealers pointed out that the Falklands' oil stocks are very popular with day traders and as such tend to be the subject of wild speculation.
queen1
- 30 Apr 2008 12:35
- 2838 of 6492
Desire Petroleum lost 3-3/4p to 87p this morning, as it saw its profits down, with Daniel Stewart reiterating its 'sell' recommendation and 20 pence target price, whilst Seymour Pierce retained its 'outperform' stance.
How can Daniel Stewart have a target of only 20p for DES? They really must believe that the company is never going to get a rig!
halifax
- 30 Apr 2008 12:49
- 2839 of 6492
Until they come clean and name their prospective drilling partner this is a short.
markymar
- 30 Apr 2008 13:43
- 2840 of 6492
Desire have now said today that "reserves now exceeds four billion barrels of recoverable oil."now factor in for every 100 mill found will put 3.20 on the share price.
Does not take a brain to work the huge posible upside on this share Halifax good luck with your shorting.
Seymour Pierce published this after Farm in agreement
Desire Petroleum Farm-in agreement
Desire Petroleum announced yesterday that it has accepted an offer from a
third party to farm into Desires acreage in the North Falklands basin. This
third party will farm into three of the groups prospects. The farm-in terms
remain subject to a number of conditions and once these are negotiated, the
full details will be published. Desire Petroleum has five licences in the North
Falklands basin and the recent 2D and 3D seismic survey has identified
significant prospectivity, with the top ten prospects having potential
recoverable reserves of over 2.3 billion bbl.
Desires main prospects on tranches C & D
Prospect Reserves (mmbbl)
Liz 660
Anna 297
Beth 272
Rachel 179
Ninky 122
Ann 202
Pam 428
Total 2,217
Source: Desire Petroleum
The third party will secure a rig and pay for the mobilization and
demobilization of the rig and the drilling of two prospects. This will probably
be done in conjunction with BHP Billiton which has farmed into Falkland Oil
& Gas acreage in the south and has committed to drill two wells as part of
its own farm in terms. Overall, we believe that there will be a six well drilling
programme with the costs of mobilization and demobilization being shared
between the relevant parties.
This is very exciting news as it accelerates the potential of a new exploration
campaign occurring in the Falklands in the short term. On the best of farm
out terms, we would see Desire Petroleums equity considerably reduced.
That being said the potential rewards remain huge. We believe that a 100
mmbbl discovery in the Falklands Islands could be worth US$1.4 billion
equivalent to approximately 320 pence per share. Given the prospectivity of
the acreage this could provide significant upside for shareholders.
This move accelerates the timetable of the drilling programme in the area.
We believe that this will lead to increased interest in shares. We maintain our
buy recommendation.
Daily Bore 26 February 2008
3 Seymour Pierce Research
Rockhopper Exploration - Read through from
Desire
The news of Desire Petroleums agreement to farm out its acreage should
be seen as good news for Rockhopper Exploration. The company recently
finished the interpretation of its 3D seismic on licenses PL032 and PL033,
where the management has now identified prospects with P50 reserves of
more than 1.2 billion bbl. This is in addition to the prospects which were
identified in the 2D seismic, on licences PL023 and PL024, with P50
reserves of 2.5 billion bbl. The company was waiting for the interpretation of
the 3D seismic to be completed before it decided how to proceed to the
drilling phase.
Rockhopper Explorations top prospects from 2D seismic
Name P10 P50 P90
Beauchene 216 145 98
Bleaker 387 193 119
Concordia 60 44 20
Dolphin 543 287 49
Ernest 300 130 50
Golding 125 49 4
Keppel 812 580 365
Pebble 298 186 97
Saunders 679 434 171
Usborne 290 220 150
Weddell 394 254 108
Total 4,104 2,522 1,231
Source: Company data
Desire Petroleums move should make things easier for the management of
Rockhopper. Four wells in the North Falkland have now been sorted out and
this significantly increases the potential of more wells now being drilled on
Rockhoppers acreage. The company will now have to decide whether it will
fund the drilling of the wells whether from funding the wells itself or
bringing in a farm-in partner of its own. The latter course of action should
become easier given that there are now very few remaining opportunities for
interested parties to acquire acreage.
The acceleration of a drilling programme in the Falklands should lead to
renewed interest in Rockhopper Exploration which remains one of our
preferred E & P companies. We maintain our BUY recommendation.
halifax
- 30 Apr 2008 14:50
- 2841 of 6492
Markymar DES referred to "potential reserves" and we all know that means "pie in the sky" until the drill bit strikes oil. Also from their RNS it appears they have yet to sign the farm in agreement with the "anonymous" partner. I hope this does not turn out to be another collosall ramp up as happened a couple of years ago.