Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

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Fundamentalist
- 24 May 2005 16:01
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Just watched the highlights of the sharapova game - that must have thrown up some interesting trading opportunities not to mention containing more screaming than your average porn film
Scripophilist
- 24 May 2005 16:13
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PMSL
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 17:09
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I mentioned to bak last week that I thought many players who lost the first set actually went on to win the match.
Yesterday I searched for and found a seeded player who had lost or was losing the first set to an unseeded player. His odds had drifted to 1.77 when I backed him. He very nicely went on to win.
Haven't had the chance to do any empirical research yet but will try to do so. In the meantime it may be worth keeping an eye open for such opportunities.
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 17:10
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I suppose you are using it but this is a great site for the scores.
http://www.rolandgarros.com/en_FR/scores/
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 17:18
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The Draper v Johannsen match is a good example.
The seeded player Johanson started out at approx 1.06 and drifted to 1.35 ish on losing the first set.
Won the second set comfortably and now back to 1.13.
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 17:31
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Johansson struggling though in the third set. Now 1.6
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 17:54
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Took advantage of the 1.6. Now in to 1.15 and greened up.
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 18:03
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Johnsson now broken Draper's serve in the final set. Now 1.03.
bakko
- 24 May 2005 18:27
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It's time to add my thoughts on the French Open.
Luckily for me I wasn't on the Agassi game.I had it on the live scoreboard and knew something was wrong as soon as the games were going against him thick and fast! If only I had the benefit of TV pictures I would have been grabbing at the free money! Apparently, there were lots of it!
Personally, I'm not too keen on backing any of the Yanks on clay. It's just not their preferred surface. Although Agassi was seeded 6 he seemed to be struggling from the outset. Roddick, seeded 2, will come a cropper as soon as he faces a half decent clay specialist, therefore, a good lay candidate later on.
IMO, the big 3 in the mens are Federer(1), Nadal(4)- The Spanish teenage sensation and Coria(3). Fed and Nadal are in super hot form leading up to the Open and if all goes well will meet in the semis, the winner of which should take the title.
I've piled into Fed to win at 3.55 but will hedge my bet during the latter stages by either greening up later or allow to run. Nadal can still be picked up at 4.6. Odds are good to hedge as both these guys odds were 1.03/1.04 yesterday, although, this will change as the rounds progress.
Regarding the girls, Henin is the favourite having won 2 recent tournaments prior to this. She's only seeded 10 as she's just been back from a long spell of injury. Threats in her half of the draw are Sharapova(2) and Mauresmo(3).
Sharapova seemed to struggle today and Mauresmo is too inconsistent and past it! On her day, Henin can beat both.
I hope the above is useful to you guys out there but I will try to post the games I'll be on over the next 2 weeks.
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 18:32
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Thanks bak. Trying to get really involved in this tournamment in practice for Wimbledon.
Fundamentalist
- 24 May 2005 19:01
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John
Sharapova game would have fitted your theory nicely today
Scripophilist
- 24 May 2005 20:17
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Wonderful drifter in the 20:15, Lutin Du Moulin. From 1.80's to late 2.30's
Scripophilist
- 24 May 2005 20:19
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There were rumours on the Betfair forum before the game that Agassi was not fit enough to play. Often laying the heavy favourite in Tennis appears to be a worthwhile tactic but I guess it helps if you really know the form.
Harlosh
- 24 May 2005 20:32
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Steve,
Good. Of the three I've looked at, all have turned it around. Might be worth me doing some real research so I can get % likelihood of it occuring etc.
Trouble is I'm not sure who was and wasn't a seed. A lot of digging required I think.
Fundamentalist
- 24 May 2005 20:32
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Scrip
managed to catch Lutin Du Moulin - saying that the layers got their fingers bitten as it won (having been as large as about 6.4 in running)
Scripophilist
- 24 May 2005 22:02
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Just drifted over to US horse racing. Volume is creeping up but still pretty small fry. About 30k traded on the 22:00.
bakko
- 25 May 2005 10:33
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Harlosh,
To save you digging around the website for the French open is
http://www.rolandgarros.com/en_FR/scores/index.html
This will take you directly to the live scoreboard but you'll also be able to access the seedings, draw etc.
I'll dig out other useful links later.
I'm currently on Nalbandian game
Scripophilist
- 25 May 2005 11:13
- 2868 of 10502
More volume on the Williams game Bakko, 1.8m so far when I was there a few moments ago.
Scripophilist
- 25 May 2005 11:17
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Expecting a drab game this evening for the CL final. I can't see Liverpool coming out firing on all cylinders and Milan will know they have to penetrate an 11 man defence so I think they will play posession football and look for a way through.
Fundamentalist
- 25 May 2005 12:15
- 2870 of 10502
Scrip
i think the volume on the tennis is predominantly driven by which game Eurosport decide to televise - the williams game was on live