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TMC...One of the miners that hasnt bounced yet (TMC)     

siwel2 - 17 Feb 2006 10:17

Interesting little company. Did a series of asset swops to leave them with half of the 4th largest Nickel deposit in the world.
The deposit itself is in the Philippines has been known about for 30 years but due to low prices and lack of demand in the Far East it was never exploited. With the explosion in demand from India and China the nickel price has climbed from $2 to $6.50 but oddly enough is still considered low.
The final approval stage for exploitation is just about to be approved and extraction will begin. The company already has one contract with a Japanese smelter and is in discussions with smelters in a series of countries.
Nothing clever about the operation, as the ore is of sufficiently high grade, they dig it up and ship it out. Infrastrucure is already in place for operation.
TMC is currently priced at 18m, the initial Japanese contract is worth 4m and each additional contract will hopefully be at this level or greater.
Final approval turns the company into a producer and each additional contract simply increases their size.
The management is tight with cash and has some good quality mining skills onboard.
The Philippine government is fast tracking the final approval and the company says it expects it shortly.
One to hold for approval and through the series of RNS's as more contracts are won. Company should be worth 50m in 6 months and 100m in 12-18 months.
Buy it, ignore it, just pointing this one out.

oilyrag - 08 May 2007 15:09 - 287 of 879

The late reporting of a deal struck at 14:04 for 20,000 shares is a buy not a sell.

oilyrag - 08 May 2007 15:32 - 288 of 879

Down 2.5p to minus 6p, must be a large buy coming soon.

smiler o - 08 May 2007 17:24 - 289 of 879

oily, yes a nice 175k @ 1604 , wish I had that much cash ! :)

expert - 09 May 2007 12:04 - 290 of 879

It looks like the institutions are soaking up the sells, as some mug private investors are selling off a this early stage in the story.

ellio - 09 May 2007 12:48 - 291 of 879

400p push!!

halifax - 09 May 2007 18:04 - 292 of 879

According to an article in Metal Bulletin today Berong will produce 15000 tons of nickel this year gross. Today the price of nickel reached $52805 per ton!

ellio - 09 May 2007 18:52 - 293 of 879

Thats half a billion pounds, I think!, wonder what the profitability is per ton?

ptholden - 09 May 2007 23:14 - 294 of 879

Not sure if you guys think TMC are making half a billion or summat here, but they are not producing nickel, they are digging nickel ore out of the ground and shipping it to customers. I believe the price of ore, dependant on grade is somewhere between $85 and $250 per ton.

halifax - 10 May 2007 10:27 - 295 of 879

Metal Bulletin report states Berong has shipped 350000 tons of ore to chinese processors so far. They are said to be negotiating long term supply contracts with australian and japanese buyers. At say an average of US$150 per ton for ore exports current annual production would generate US$100Million FOB. We await news of plans to construct a processing plant which of course would enhance the value of their exports enormously.

steveo - 10 May 2007 12:34 - 296 of 879

Processing plant seems a no brainer, if yeild can be increased that significantly.

firsttimetrader - 10 May 2007 16:03 - 297 of 879

ellio, 400p push!! it the minute I would be happy with a 350p push!!!!!! 16:00 down 28p

ellio - 10 May 2007 21:06 - 298 of 879

oops, some big buys recently though taking a longer term view! oily gone quiet though!!

oilyrag - 11 May 2007 10:10 - 299 of 879

Hi, havn't gone quiet just too busy analysing trades. We are being conned. I have just sold all the dross in my portfolio and am now sitting on a cash pile ready to buy more of this. RNS from Atlas very positive. Some inst's are selling but nothing to worry about in my book. No directors are selling because they know its worth. Next week the tmc boys are having dinner with the phillipine president, hopefully a prelude to, or celebration of MPSA. 4 years to retirement, good luck to all holders, DYOR.

ellio - 11 May 2007 10:24 - 300 of 879

Am adding also, just waiting to see the new bottom? had a feeling this would happen though,, 350 was the current top and we should of predicted early profit taking, they'll be back in at the new bottom but have already reaped a nice 70p profit, honestly though they would try 400p first, anyway lots will be looking for the new entry point which could be 250p imo, we'll see but long term the facts seem to be there so we shall see! Think 10 is reasonable long term target but with news who knows.

hlyeo98 - 11 May 2007 10:27 - 301 of 879

280p now...but I think bottom is not reached yet.

soul traders - 11 May 2007 10:32 - 302 of 879

TMC Bid: 282p Offer: 289p Change: -17 400K traded.

That's a fall of over 20% in a week, but a bounce has to come some time. Intraday there seems to be support around 280. Will the SP stop sliding by itself or is it in freefall until news comes out?

soul traders - 11 May 2007 10:52 - 303 of 879

Price seems to be nudging back up a little: TMC Bid: 290p Offer: 297p Change: -9

I have gone in for a few in the hopes that this is the beginning of the bounce-back.

Good luck to all.

halifax - 11 May 2007 10:53 - 304 of 879

Investika (IVK) has its AGM on 17th May we should get an update then.

soul traders - 11 May 2007 10:55 - 305 of 879

Buys to sells apparently 3:2.

soul traders - 11 May 2007 11:17 - 306 of 879

TMC Bid: 293p Offer: 301p Change: -5.5 now with over half a million traded. It's doing it's best to get back up there.
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