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Traders Thread - Wednesday 3rd December (GSK)     

Crocodile - 02 Dec 2003 21:50

Premarket Futures FTSE -4 DAX -12 DOW -2 S&P -0.5 Nasdaq +1

1 Day 2 Day 5 Day - UK News

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FTSE 250

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FTSE Small Cap

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1 Day 2 Day 5 Day  Futures  US News

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Nasdaq 100

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S&P 500

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S&P Futures

DAX / CAC    Euro News

Nikkei -50   Hang Seng +39 Asia News

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US Stocks suffered a mild round of profit taking today after hitting new 2003 highs the day before.

United Utilities said profits grew 4.4 percent from a year ago, towards the top end of analysts expectations. Profit grew to 171 million pounds from 163.8 million a year ago.

Serco Group said it continued to trade strongly and in line with market expectations. The company manages and operates call centres, speed cameras and prisons for government bodies, said in a statement: "In addition, there continues to be a good flow of new bids and opportunities for the Group, both in the UK and overseas and it expects to hear news, in the short term, on bids worth 7.5 billion poundsJarvis said it had won a contract worth 263 million pounds with Norfolk County Council, eastern England, to improve up to 39 Norfolk schools.

Rank Group launched a 150 million pounds convertible bond issue on Wednesday to refinance existing debt maturing in 2008. The new issue would be convertible into about 42 million new Rank shares

Wolverhampton & Dudley Breweries Britain's biggest regional brewer reported a 1.2% dip in annual profits to 73.1 million pounds but said it had made a good start to its new financial year.

Tesco said the interest rate rise by the Bank of England (BoE) last month had not yet had a big effect on consumers

De Vere Group hotels posted a five percent rise in annual profit to 39.7 million pounds slightly above expectations and said recent booking trends were encouraging, though trading conditions remained volatile.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT

De Vere Group (F) PBT 38.7m exp. United Utilities (I) PBT 168m exp. Wolverhampton & Dudley (F) PBT 72.5m exp, Upholstery (F), Wagon (I) Expro International (I), Mentmore (I), Reliance Security (I), RPC Group (I), ScSGlaxSmithKline research and development day

British Airways Nov Traffic Figures

08.30 Chancellor Brown Addresses European Finance Convention

09.30 Nov CIPS Services PMI 59.0 exp.

11.00 Nov CBI Distributive Trades 26.0 exp.

Mandalay, QwCommunication (Q)

13.30 3rd Quarter Final Non-Farm Productivity 9.2% exp. 13.30 3rd Quarter Final Unit Labour Costs 5.6% exp. 15.00 Nov Non-Manufacturing ISM 64.0 exp.

Europe: KLM (Traffic)

08.55 Nov German BME Services PMI 54.5 exp. 09.00 Nov BME Services PMI 56.5 exp.

11.00 3rd Quarter GDP Estimate q/q 0.4% exp.

11.00 Commission Publishes 4th & 1st Quarter GDP Forecast

Ex Dividend: 3i Group (5.1), Anglo Irish Bank (EUR 0.1393), Bank Of Ireland (EUR 0.148), Big Food Group (1.1), Body Shop International (1.9), Bodycote International (2.25), Caledonia Investments (8.4), Cranswick (4.4), Croda International (4.02), Daily Mail & General (6.85), Diploma (10), Greencore Group (EUR 0.0758), Helical Bar (6.6), Hill & Smith Holdings (2.15), Johnson Matthey (8.2), Land Securities Group (9.9), London Merchant Securities (2), London Stock Exchange (1.4), Majestic Wine (4.5), Merchant Retail Group (0.75), Pilkington (1.75), SABMiller (US$ 0.075), South Staffordshire (6.1), TBI (0.7), Tate & Lyle (5.6), Town Centre Securities (3.85), United Drug (EUR 0.0297)

Croc@SnappyTrader.com  WWW.SnappyTrader.com

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zarif - 03 Dec 2003 16:46 - 29 of 35

melnibone these were my thoughts which i posted on the dow thread.
U r quite right about the 9920/9930 area.

The range on the Dow l see for today is 9830-9920, estimate for Wednesday 9870-9940
Thursday 9900-9970. Friday is the day when we should be falling back but the day will be led by unemployment figures in the US

Anyway these are solely my guesstimates and please DYOR & NAG.

lets see what it throws at us.Could be avolatile session hence give us some opps both ways.
rgds
zarif

Druid2 - 03 Dec 2003 18:30 - 30 of 35

Opened longs on LGEN 99p and BAA 465p today. Also have limit longs on them at 95p & 455p to average if they drop. Nice rise EZJ today - hoping to hold up to 500p.

Melnibone - 03 Dec 2003 20:34 - 31 of 35

Nice pullback on the US markets the last 30 mins.

If it keeps it up to the close I should get the lower
prices I'm looking for on the FTSE tomorrow morning.

After hours FTSE spread is already down to 4374/4378.

In addition to selling my longs I should have opened an
index short, but I don't like to go against a trend.
I prefer to buy on the pullbacks. If you get your timing
wrong but the trend holds it will always come back to you.

If you are counter trend and get your timing wrong it will
run away from you.

Now, fingers crossed for a weak last 30 mins.

Melnibone

Melnibone - 03 Dec 2003 21:09 - 32 of 35

Great, got a weak last 30 mins.

Dow is roughly 40 points lower than it was when
the ftse closed.

S@P is roughly 9 points lower than it was when
the FTSE closed.

FTSE spread at 2100 is 4370/4374.

With a bit a luck we'll get a gap open lower.
Be able to pick some stocks from a sea of red
and take some scalps as it moves back up to try
and fill the gap.

Well, that's the plan. Funny how it never seems
to work out exactly, but at least there's a chance
with these conditions in place.

Fly in the ointment tomorrow could be a surprise BOE
rates decision and a weird and wonderful contrarian
market reaction.

That's what makes trading interesting, it's always
full of surprises.

Melnibone.

Douggie - 03 Dec 2003 21:17 - 33 of 35

I think we are both looking for opposit result i,m hoping for open rise ftse thur. am...xfinger can we both win?????????????????

Melnibone - 03 Dec 2003 21:24 - 34 of 35

Don't worry Douggie, it takes at least two opposite
views to make a market and who is to say that mine
is right?

We'll compromise. A lower open for me and a swift
reversal before the BOE decision for the both of us.

How does that sound?

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 03 Dec 2003 21:51 - 35 of 35

Be careful with oil stocks tomorrow, I think OPEC are
waffling again.

Last time, they threw a curved ball and the oil stocks
threw a wobbler.

They are a bit peeved with the non OPEC guys,(Russia et al),
pumping whatever they want and spoiling their party.
Chavez, in Venezuela, needs the Dollars.
Dollar is still depreciating, in case nobody has noticed.
They all seem to be exceeding quotas and playing 3 card
brag as it is, so there's no telling what this lot will
get up to.

Melnibone.
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