from w-w-bb:

19.01.2007 - Total Rocketscience

The third and final company making up our Risk / Reward trilogy on shares for 2007 has so many investment negatives that most observers might not even give it more than a cursory glance. Although quoted on the London AIM market, it is based on the other side of the World, has reported revenues and cash flow of diddly squat and, more importantly, operates in an area of expertise so deep in boffinland that you need to be at least a 5 star techie to venture anywhere near it.

What originally persuaded us to give it a second look was the fact that legendary Stockmarket investor, Jim Slater, was pouring money into it via several successive rounds of financing. As we all know, Mr. Slater is a qualified accountant and hugely experienced corporate financier but clearly he is more at home in leafy Surrey than in the technologically rarified atmosphere of Southern California. However, he must have gleaned enough about what the company actually did to get extremely excited about it. In fact, by last Autumn, he had grown to like it so much that, to paraphrase the immortal Victor Kiam, he bought the remaining 51 % of the company that his vehicle, Original Investments, didn't already own.

The company in question was VIALOGY and, ever since it was fully reversed into Original just before Christmas, Slater's loyal band of followers have seen their highly speculative penny punt move on to the calculated risk category and been duly rewarded with a 50% shareprice improvement. We first latched on to this situation last April when we wrote a piece entitled The Cisco Kid ( see news archive ). To recap briefly, the company was set up by some brainboxes who had earlier worked together on supercomputing projects for NASA. Led by Dr. Sandip Gulati, the team appeared to have perfected software to detect and enhance extremely weak signals previously obscured by background noise. This may not seem particularly earthshattering to the layman but, apparently, the applications for this technology are not only revolutionary but almost limitless which suggests that an exponential rise in licensing income could well lie ahead.

Big news clearly travels fast on the Eastern seaboard because global behemoths Cisco and Boeing have already enlisted Vialogy to work on 2 major government inspired projects and these are just the ones that the company have been allowed to talk about publicly. As we reported in April, Cisco has contracted Vialogy to help with its IPICS programme which seeks to make sure that all emergency services and government agencies can communicate with each other quickly via computers and phones. The need to address this obvious requirement was highlighted by 9 / 11 when communications between different departments with different systems proved chaotic.

For its part, Boeing has recently confirmed that Vialogy has delivered a tenfold improvement in the accuracy and efficiency of the types of gyroscopes it uses in spacecraft and missile navigational systems. It is also known that both Cisco and Boeing see a major role for the technology in such areas as border controls and missile defence systems. Elsewhere a much smaller Texan company, Evolution Petroleum, is applying the technology to improving seismic evaluation of oil and gas deposits.

This initial clutch of applications is almost certainly just the tip of a very large iceberg that is going to float into view over the next few years and all that is required is a little patience. At todays price of 5.5p, Vialogy is valued at a mere 22m. To justify this valuation, the company would have to be earning say 2 million pretax. With cash reserves of 3 million and its heavyweight partners funding the projects it is involved in, Vialogy should be able to get through to breakeven without further recourse to shareholders. We would expect this stage to be reached sometime over the next 12 months. Thereafter, profits could / should escalate very dramatically as new applications and licensing income start to snowball.

On a two year view, shareholders could be rewarded extremely handsomely indeed. Vialogy is in so many ways akin to last weeks selection, CORAC. Both are now moving from the development stage to commercialization with the scales tipping away from blue sky risk towards the reality of cash flow. Both have mindblowing upside potential yet both have current shareprice action that makes drying paint look positively orgasmic. Although this presents an opportunity for latecomers, it is a frustrating byproduct of both companies involvement with highly sensitive technology and powerful, publicity shy partners. Moreover, the present lack of any meaningful numbers together with the sheer scale of future potential makes any serious stockbroker research well nigh impossible. All this will resolve itself in due course but, as they say in the Grolsch advert, all good things come to those who wait.

Bid 8.25p, offer 8.75p. Peaked at 9p.
News on the way???

Yes , Yukio been buying ! or are they about to start selling their new products ?

do I smell yukky's shorts burning? LOL......

well done all you sellers today, you had a lucky escape.

Yes bought at 7.3p yesterday and sold at 8.5 today. Nice little earner!!

looks like that shah guy , you know the one , the " top cisco guy" who recently had the sack has sold all his vialogy shares, why would he do that, logic says because he thinks their not going up, but of course it might not be him lol.

It wasn't the cisco kid selling. ;-)

going nicely , looks like yukky got it wrong again!

the chart needed this rise , now its looking perfectly formed for the drop to 4p when the market goes bad again and maybe the news will not be as good as expected, hence the selling yesterday of 600,000 shares by a former employee

LOL!

10p this week ?

'This autumn the company will be
launching the first of a series of three significant ViaLogy products based.on
our unique and patented technology. We are anticipating worldwide demand for the
products from the defense, construction and oil and gas industries. The funding
will be used to scale our sales operations This will begin the transition of
ViaLogy from a research and development operation to a commercial business

nice, flipper

moving ahead in weak markets is always a good sign, on decent volume too.

wheres yukky when you need him! Probably dousing his shorts! LOL!

dow down 280 , now the real crash is starting 4p soon.

LOL!

See what you mean, yukio.

LOL

quick, send for the fire brigade, looks like yukkys shorts are on fire!
LOL! This guy is good!!!!

Well fliper, you have got your 10p to sell, just seen it ;0). Oh what a shame I wanted the 4p so I could have filled my boots, lol.

Make that 10.25p to sell ;0))

Well I got more at 7p thanks to mr Y talking down the sp . We will see the sp fly in the next 4 months .