cynic
- 17 Jul 2009 10:55
- 2921 of 3050
i do .... i watch what you post - lol!
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 11:01
- 2922 of 3050
I really shouldn't mock the afflicted!!
This morning's rise not unexpected following the announcements and the US SOL rise yesterday, SP now trying to push through my first resistance level.
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 14:23
- 2923 of 3050
A slight softening of the SP since the first hour of this morning. My impression for the last 14 days has been that UK SOL has taken the lead and US SOL follows accordingly. However, the release of news post UK trading yesterday has reversed that process and I expect UK to react when US opens. Can't say I'm a great fan of this morning's gap, but gaps are not always filled despite what some say. If this level of resistance is breached (can't see any reason from the chart why it shouldn't) next target is 240p.
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 16:57
- 2924 of 3050
The fundamental view:
Dark Days for the Solar Manufacturers?
US SOL has shed half of yesterday's 10% gain, with UK SOL following suit and closing 15p down from the 185p resistance level. First attempt failed. With hindsight I should have closed this morning, SOLA has always had a somewhat flakey reaction to news, often zooming up only to lose those gains quickly thereafter. From a TA perspective the MACD MAs have not crossed nor achieved a centreline crossover. I'll be keeping a close eye on the all important trendline support (150p) next week to determine if this recovery is sustainable.
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 21:11
- 2925 of 3050
SOL finished down 9% on the day, red day on Monday I expect
HARRYCAT
- 17 Jul 2009 21:31
- 2926 of 3050
So it would seem that your post #2917 containing the hedging words 'suggest, possibly, may, ideally & assuming' has proved to be somewhat off target along with our posts predicting the UK SOLA (not SOL) price would likely drop below the 140p support level? Nice to know that we are all mere mortals! ;o)
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 21:44
- 2927 of 3050
Harry
Not quite sure of the point you are trying to make? Please explain.
My prediction was a bounce from the trendline support in the region of 143p.
Err, I think you will find it did exactly that. My entry is at 143p and I could have closed today at 180-185p. If you take 180p as worst case scenario the rise equates to 26%, not a bad profit for 14 days work.
As you are no doubt aware I didn't close, but chose to hold the position because I cannot lose, unless there is a gap down, a risk I'm prepared to take.
As far as the future is concerned, the chart still looks positive and we'll see what happens next week.
Edit. PS Incidentally, I have explained the rationale for my carefully chosen words when posting my thoughts previously. If you rather I didn't post, I'm quite happily to oblige.
ptholden
- 17 Jul 2009 22:17
- 2928 of 3050
Just as an aside; with a 1000 starting pot, it would take just 34 trades to turn that figure into 1m with a 25% profit every time :-)
cynic
- 18 Jul 2009 09:05
- 2929 of 3050
and the theory of probability would no doubt dictate that 6 successive and successful trades is about the realistic limit .... you then go back to Square 1!
Falcothou
- 18 Jul 2009 09:13
- 2930 of 3050
Snakes and ladders!
HARRYCAT
- 18 Jul 2009 11:28
- 2931 of 3050
Keep posting pth. Happy to see all points of view from all posters, long or short.
ptholden
- 18 Jul 2009 20:42
- 2932 of 3050
Tell you what Harry, can't be arsed, without wishing to sound too alturistic, posting my TA was never for my benefit, only others.
Stick with Hyleo, you know it makes sense.
kimoldfield
- 19 Jul 2009 16:11
- 2933 of 3050
Altruistic. It's ok, I'm only worried about the spelling! ;o) As for Sola, well, nerves of steel required but ultimately a survival story with a respectable share price - 2+ long term?
HARRYCAT
- 21 Jul 2009 13:24
- 2934 of 3050
Ref post #2887 : "The maximum return on this position is realized if US:SOL rallies to the seven level ($) by the time the options expire on July 17." It didn't & the sp has twice recently tested close to the $6 level & bounced back.
UK:SOLA also seems to be running out of steam again, which is a bit disconcerting.
ptholden
- 24 Jul 2009 13:55
- 2935 of 3050
SOLA in the process of making a higher high, although will be dependant on US SOL action when the US opens.
ptholden
- 24 Jul 2009 14:45
- 2936 of 3050
US pre-market SOL up over 6%, interesting day.
HARRYCAT
- 24 Jul 2009 14:54
- 2937 of 3050
Just nudged over $6 which is a hopeful sign if it can hold there.
ptholden
- 24 Jul 2009 15:03
- 2938 of 3050
Slipped back to just under 4% ($6.01) however, over half a million ADRs traded pre market, equivalent to the UK's volume today thus far.
ptholden
- 24 Jul 2009 23:52
- 2940 of 3050
US SOL maintained today's (and exceeded slightly) the UK gains. Next target 240p, see what happens next week.