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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

HARRYCAT - 03 Oct 2008 19:20 - 2980 of 21973

Big bounce on the FTSE on monday, followed by profit taking......Hopefully!

Falcothou - 03 Oct 2008 19:36 - 2981 of 21973

Well Dow just hit 10400 imagine if they hadn.t passed it would have hit minus figures

Falcothou - 03 Oct 2008 21:04 - 2982 of 21973

Evidently a case of buy on the rumour sell on the fact which I didn't do...

cynic - 04 Oct 2008 09:18 - 2983 of 21973

Dow stands this morning (Saturday) at 10333, reflecting a fall of about 500 points from its high yesterday evening prior to the vote ...... all very strange, with the index now below where it was after the bill was thrown out on Monday!

My guess, and I hope it is not just wishful thinking, is that the fall primarily reflects profit taking and just a general clearout while peeps and analysts assess the implications of last week's momentous roller-coaster ...... that being so, a sharp bounce on Monday might be expected .... indeed, chart followers would say that it is badly needed as 10400 is seen as an important support.

Of course the passage of the bill does not remotely cure all ills ..... in fact, it probably solves few directly, but it should provide some stability, which is exactly what the financial markets need to allow confidence to slowly return, and with it, the freeing up of inter-bank lending.

Meanwhile, if it were not so serious it would be farcical, I hear that Iceland's 3 big banks have debts of 9x that country's GDP!

djalan - 04 Oct 2008 13:46 - 2984 of 21973

Soon the DOW will drop below the 'magic' 10,000

then the S will really htf

Falcothou - 04 Oct 2008 20:06 - 2985 of 21973

Seems like a lot of respected people think otherwise though Antony Bolton, Warren Buffett Simon Thompson to name 3 all seem to expect an October election bounce. I would have thought it would have to be seen that this rescue package wasn't working before such a big drop and another US cut not out of the question. May be even the ECB as well! Could be a sub 10,000 false break out. 3 trillion dollars waiting in the sidelines looking for an entry according to market ticker

cynic - 04 Oct 2008 22:41 - 2986 of 21973

certainly a drop below 10,000 is not out of the question, but beyond question is that no one but no one has any idea how the markets are even going to react over the next week, let alone over even a slightly longer period.

for sure there are still some nasties to come out of the closet - the latest being the collapse of the Hypo Bank rescue in Germany and the lurking problems in Iceland - but i would hazard a guess that the worst will be over by the end of the year, and some slight shoots of recovery appearing by early Q2 2009, and that is really not that far away

cynic - 05 Oct 2008 07:35 - 2987 of 21973

Bailout: Will it work? .......... Experts differ on whether the $700 billion bailout plan will prompt banks to lend and help the economy. But even if it does, it will take time.

the above is the headline on an article on cnnfn.com .... it's worth reading for a balanced view

maddoctor - 05 Oct 2008 12:55 - 2988 of 21973

Elliot wave boys also calling the bottom but not the absolute bottom

HARRYCAT - 05 Oct 2008 18:12 - 2989 of 21973

Well, I have read up on Elliot, Gann & Fourier to try & figure out what may happen & I am totally confused, but I suppose the big boys have got some fancy software which makes it all a lot easier!
The consensus seems to be that markets will be generally flat during 2009, so for those people still holding equities, now is not the time to cash in imo, as this is probably close to the bottom.

cynic - 05 Oct 2008 20:13 - 2990 of 21973

it is interesting to note that not one pundit has said that the bailout was a waste of time and money .... the only differential is its perceived effect and the time it will take to filter through

HARRYCAT - 05 Oct 2008 21:12 - 2991 of 21973

Except that a number of sources have said that $7bn won't be enough. I have seen final figures in trillions quoted, so...... who knows?

cynic - 05 Oct 2008 22:01 - 2992 of 21973

try $700bn! ...... maybe not, but as i said ..... and also the banks are stuffed full of cash but are reluctant to lend .... anyway, all we can do is sit and wait and watch

cynic - 06 Oct 2008 07:41 - 2993 of 21973

looks as though 10,000 may indeed be imminent .... total bloodbath looking on the cards this morning

dealerdear - 06 Oct 2008 07:54 - 2994 of 21973

you're telling me.

Good time to buy!?

Falcothou - 06 Oct 2008 08:05 - 2995 of 21973

Lots of equities too terrified to come out of the auction

Global Nomad - 06 Oct 2008 08:07 - 2996 of 21973

down 5% at start,


who dares doesn't know what they are doing

Falcothou - 06 Oct 2008 08:14 - 2997 of 21973

Fair old gap down on Rio £4!

cynic - 06 Oct 2008 08:14 - 2998 of 21973

what a truly terrifying start to the day ..... confess i predicted that totally and utterly wrong ...... that said, HBOS recovering a bit and at current level may be worth buying ..... glad i sold 2/3 of my original holding by close of biz friday, and at least that is still showing a very healthy profit

dealerdear - 06 Oct 2008 08:15 - 2999 of 21973

enrc down 20%. now in auction
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