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Traders Thread - Friday 15th January     

IanT(MoneyAM) - 14 Jan 2010 18:31

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 01:18 - 3 of 19

NIKKEI 225AUSTRALIA ASX200HANG SENGSHANGHAI COMPOSITE
t?s=%5EN225t?s=%5EAXJOt?s=%5EHSIish000001.gif?1187511702562
KOSPISENSEX  
t?s=%5EKS11t?s=%5EBSESN  
NYMEX CRUDEGOLDVIX 
t?s=CLG10.NYMgold_1d_o_USD.pngquote.chart?SYMBOL_US=VIX.X&WIDTH=192&HE 

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 07:58 - 4 of 19

BARC Deutsche: tp 420
BG. ING: reiterated hold, tp raised to 1215 from 1115
BP. ING: reiterated buy, tp raised to 710 from 670
BWNG Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
DEB Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
DSGI Citigroup: reiterated buy, tp raised to 50 from 45
HFD Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
HOME Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
HSBA Deutsche: upgraded to buy from hold, tp 800
INCH Citigroup: buy, tp cut to 40 from 45
LLOY Deutsche: tp 70
MKS Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
NXT Citigroup: downgraded to hold from buy
RBS Deutsche: tp 70
RDSA ING: reiterated hold, tp raised to 1850 from 1800
SMWH Citigroup: reiterated buy, tp cut to 600 from 630
SPD Citigroup: upgraded to buy from hold

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 07:59 - 5 of 19

Twitter Updates
more >>

Time Traveller - 15 Jan 2010 08:24 - 6 of 19

And Friday arrives. The question is will it be an up or down day. I am currently long BARC and short AGK. Not sure if the short was a good idea but it is a hedge against real shares I have in my portfolio.

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 08:32 - 7 of 19

At least you've got Deutsche backing you up on that BARC long TT. Mind you, Obama's on the warpath against the banks in the US. I've gone long HMV - I think this is going to be a medium term thing. I was long INTC in the US into the results and it's been a huge disappointment despite the figures last night. SPD seems rangebound 95-100 so may present long-short opportunities until it breaks out.

Time Traveller - 15 Jan 2010 09:11 - 8 of 19

Kyoto, I would like the Deutsche backup especially if BARC hit their TP of 420. A gain of 100p from here would be most welcome. Just so long as the price doesn't collapse below 410 (my stop) and then rocket upwards.
I was looking at INTC results and they seemed to be very good. I would expect to see a lot more upside on them when the US opens today. From your comments you were looking for a lot more. Are you still holding?

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 09:36 - 9 of 19

Yes - still holding INTC - actually had been holding for a few weeks but lightened up yesterday before the results. Reaction seemed muted but don't quite know how much after hours trade went through - was in bed rather than watching - the disadvantage of living in Asia. I ought to give up the US trading - not compatible with my time-zone. Arguably there's resistance short of $25 looking back to 2008 - I was hoping to get much closer to that prior to the results, now hoping for some broker commentary into the open today but if it doesn't gather enough momentum then I might exit. I seem to recall that last time I had INTC on some good results the reaction was uninspiring and I'm worried about a repeat. Vague lawsuit/antitrust issues hanging in the air as well though I think they're probably going to be largely immaterial.

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 10:05 - 10 of 19

If anyone fancies a pairs trade - LAD versus WMH:

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LAD&Si

LAD waving goodbye to their CEO arguably a positive catalyst... but is the divergence justified?

My system here is telling me the recent analyst target price average on WMH is 216 - LAD (albeit pre the RNS) is 149. MA25 is +9.8% LAD and -1.7% WMH.

kimoldfield - 15 Jan 2010 10:26 - 11 of 19

RBS has been in auction for a long time.

kimoldfield - 15 Jan 2010 10:27 - 12 of 19

Amazing, as soon as I posted that, out it popped! RBS that is!!

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 10:36 - 13 of 19

XTA was another oddly lagging in the auction today.

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 12:02 - 14 of 19

Looks like JP Morgan is well ahead of concensus - but they missed this morning's whisper number by a cent... so the futures drop :-)

kimoldfield - 15 Jan 2010 13:27 - 15 of 19

Touchy lot! :o)

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 13:45 - 16 of 19

HOME has flashed up on my system as now being 10% below it's MA25.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=home&SChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=home&S

For some reason MAM's MA25 is 286 but mine from raw data is 289.

Time Traveller - 15 Jan 2010 14:09 - 17 of 19

Kyoto, based upon your graphs for HOME and its current price do I assume that you are looking to place a long on the basis that it will recover back towards the 25 day MA?

Kyoto - 15 Jan 2010 14:42 - 18 of 19

Basically yes, wherever the MA25 ends up being... sometimes subject to VOLMA and intraday EMAs usually to pick an entry - or sometimes I just go for it :-)

Kyoto - 16 Jan 2010 01:39 - 19 of 19

From the Telegraph:

E-Trade in talks, shop shut up

Word reaches me the online brokerage company is back in talks about a sale, talks that are so advanced it has had to shut down applications for new accounts.

Try to apply for a new share trading or CFD account and the only reply you will get is: "Thank you for your interest in applying for an E-Trade account. Currently we are unable to process any applications at this time. We apologise for any inconvenience."

I put a call in to find out what was going on, but they were too busy to deal with that too.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/citydiary/6998977/E-Trade-in-talks-shop-shut-up.html
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