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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 24th March (EBR)     

Crocodile - 23 Mar 2003 12:45

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draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10% marketwatch-ss.img?symb=DAX

Click on the DOW JONES / S&P / NASDAQ Charts below for the NEW Streaming Page

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NIKKEI +240.12 HANG SENG -33.49 Click for latest S&P FUTURES
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Pre Market Futures  12:20 am

FTSE -47

TECHMARK -7

DAX -35

DOW -117

S&P -12.3

NASDAQ -12

Monday News Headlines: Saddam Hussein to make historic speech at 8am GMT  (Take care, markets could react sharply)

The FTSE is expected to open lower following a big fall in U.S futures due to news of heavier than expected resistance and loss of life. Crude oil prices rise on the news from Iraq. Suspected chemical weapons secured in Nasjaf about 100 miles South of Baghdad. Hong Kong hospital chief is believed to have caught SARL the new killer pneumonia virus.

The Nikkei finished nearly 3% higher, its biggest gain this year.

Over 210 Japanese have now died after taking Astra Zenecas drug Irissa

Imperial Tobacco says trading is in line with expectations. Altria part of Philip Morris had a big court order go against it in the States on Friday so this may depress UK tobacco stocks.

Ebookers reporting sales rising but the Iraq war will have an effect on there sales & profits.

Oxford Glycoscience continuing talks with Cambridge Antibody.  Celltech said it had bought a 10.5 percent stake in its target in an attempt to block rivals.

Carphone Warehouse said it expected full-year pre-tax profit to be in line with analysts' forecasts and that it would pay its first dividend but would take 15 million pounds  in write downs.

LogicaCMG said it had signed a deal with Netherlands-based mobile operator KPN Mobile , a unit of KPN, to deliver picture messaging services.

Securicor saying it will make a special 12.5p dividend after saying it had agreed to sell its 50 percent interest in its distribution joint venture to Deutsche Post for 247 million euros

Cable & Wireless,  Kelda , Provident Financial and Foreign and Colonial are all promoted to the FTSE 100 . They replace British Airways, Rolls-Royce, RSA and Invensys .

Pivot Calculator

Wishing you all the best for the day ahead.    david@FTSEDOW.com       www.FTSEDOW.com

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Crocodile - 23 Mar 2003 12:46 - 3 of 10

Sunday News  23rd March

Headlines  Brown May Increase Taxes as Deficit Expands, Sunday Times Reports U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown may raise taxes by another 2 billion pounds ($3.1 billion) amid sluggish economic growth and an increase in spending, the Sunday Times reported, citing accountancy firm Deloitte & Touche

INVESTORS have been put on alert that any setbacks in the Allied invasion of Iraq could send stock markets tumbling again.

Sunday

Times:

 

Click on the paper name for link.

Morrison may make higher bid for AWG Liberty International Gordon hits out at senseless Higgs Arcadia Group Green bides time over Safeway deal Arcadia millionaire plans to rid railways of leaves Granada/ Carlton ITN wins shareholder support in battle to alter ownership rules Carlton Granada chairman forced to give up 2m walk-out clause Sportingbet Antigua sues US over gaming Royal & Sun estate agent sale stalls Irish Continental Group looks to buy Cenargo ships Granada chairman forced to give up 2m walk-out clause BAA Heathrow prepares to handle new jumbo British Airways New suitor for Deutsche BA Hilton Meats to run 10m packing plant for Tesco Green bides time over Safeway deal Reuters chairman told to step down

TIPS: Johnston Press 347.00p, Mentmore 70.00p, Smith and Nephew 374.75p Saturday: Aga Foodservice, House of Fraser, Kensington Group

Sharewatch: Venture Production Scots press for tabloid in Navan Take no action and wait on First Active Nils Pratley: Reuters chiefs put a spin on the annus horribilis Arcadia, Green leads in Safeway stakes Orange, Prufrock: T-Mobiles touch of spin makes a loss into a win Vital statistics Kerry Group, Cairn energy, British Airways Share of the week: Charter Transware shuts HQ after slump Ryanair, EasyJet And Finally ... European bureaucrats need to inject Buzz into daily dealings Interview:More turbulence in the cockpit at BA Sharewatch: National Express Bumper sales for HMV in Ireland Directors' Deals: Sage founder sells stock near three-year low Boots needs to polish up its boardroom act Green King leads in Safeway stakes British Airways Rod Eddington's war day

Sunday

Telegraph

Granada, Carlton Green declines ITV contract Safeway bids in jeopardy British Energy Britain in 48bn nuclear clean-up Vodafone in 400m Caudwell deal Monro poaches Matalan staff Irish bid could net RMC 60m

Rentokil's exterminator Safeway Criado-Perez: the bid is hurting the business 'We'll keep BA flying through the crisis'

TIPS: Chelsfield 219.00p, Goshawk Insurance Holdings 108.00p Kier Group 426.50p, ICAP 939.00p Medical House 45.50p, Smith and Nephew 374.75p Taylor & Francis Group 422.50p Saturday: Alfred McAlpine, Daily Mail & General Trust, Warner Estate

City Comment: Safeway could be left on the shelf Sainsbury Consumer anxiety skews the economy Carlton, Granada Allen's feather bed  

Observer Green faces block on Safeway sell-off Orange, mmo2,vodaphone Mobile giants 'act like cartel' against minnows Big Food does big U-turn Arcadia Group Green faces block on Safeway sell-off Thistle hotel group sale lands Orb in fresh row

Granada/ Carlton Is Allen key to TV future? P&O Lord - and a gentleman

Consumer is loser in battle for Safeway Orange Contract ties Germans to Virgin deal for years Tesco to cull directors after supply fiasco

Independent Shareholders seek change at Carlton and Granada Ryanair says CAA is 'running amok' War-hit British Airways considers going Dutch

Business View: Safeway interfered with by Vickers: can competition survive? British Airways As war buffets the world's airlines, which ones will still be in it for the long haul?

Merger payoff costs P & O Princess Cruises 40m

Scotland

on Sunday

John Wood Group Staff safety is 'paramount' BAE 10bn deal at risk because of 'value' fears SMG Gingerly returning to limelight AWG plans 'vigorous' pursuit of 130m action against Fraser Morrison Egg highlights cracks in credit company offers 20m accounts overstatement puts Magnum Power's future at risk OFT decision means Morrisons loses out on 29m

Wonder of Woolies tested as City puts retailer under the microscope Carphone Warehouses, Oxford Glycosciences Royal Bank of Scotland Good time to start chewing over changes in the boardroom Digital Animations Ananova talks Gates out of tight corner Royal Bank of Scotland expands team in France to court corporate finance market PPL Therapeutics Rogue investor fails to secure support for break-up

Investor

Chronicle

Sell: Whitbread at 571p. - Buy: Cattles at 276p - Findelat 192p - Braemar Seascope at 153p - Halladale at 47p - Parkwood at 38p. Tip Updates: Enterprise Inns buy - Comeleon and Gympie  hold. Carlton Communications high enough. MFI Furniture fairly priced.

Shares

Magazine 

The Plays of the Week: Buy William Morrison at 167p - Ideal Shopping at 45p - Glisten at 101.5p. Sell P&O Princess Cruises at 396p. Tips Updates: Rolls-Royce take profits. - Lambert Howarth buy/hold. - Taylor Nelson Sofres sell.

Other Links:

Nothing Ventured:  GNI:   Bloomberg:   Digital Look:   Citiwire:  The Register News Review:  ShareCrazy:  CNN

Teddy Bear - 23 Mar 2003 13:37 - 4 of 10

reserved for bad bush

ashamed American teddy

Viva_Cohiba - 23 Mar 2003 22:03 - 5 of 10

Thanks for the thread Crocodile,
Having appraised the deteriorating newsflow from Iraq this weekend I'm beginning to wonder if the US may have bitten off more than it can chew in trying to promote a "user-media-civillian friendly" option. Technological evolution just hasn't come that far yet, it's either going to require some serious arty to root those hardcore-boys out of their bunkers or a very long seige. Personally prefer it to take a bit of time and see a few more lives spared, a lot of casualties appear to be occurring because of the external demands for a high-speed war.

Glad I'm still short BARC from 394 and likewise with BP. at 429.

mbbcat - 23 Mar 2003 22:39 - 6 of 10

just wonder how much the usa charged for the media rights?

Crocodile - 24 Mar 2003 07:39 - 7 of 10

Morning all

Viva_Cohiba - 24 Mar 2003 08:40 - 8 of 10

Good morning Crocodile,
perhaps there'll be a few more people posting on this thread today, sorry but I don't have access to the traders thread. Looks like my bearish BARC and BP positions are already paying off. I'm looking for about 30 points off both over the next 2 days.

Crocodile - 24 Mar 2003 08:48 - 9 of 10

Saddams speech was typical, no substance. The only important thing is he mentioned something which was after the time he was supposed to have died. So still alive and kicking.
Viva I hope so, already at 8:45 have 55 posts on the traders board.
Covered PRU short for +8

Crocodile - 24 Mar 2003 11:45 - 10 of 10

TTT
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