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Trades Thread & Thoughts - Monday 28th April (IHG)     

Crocodile - 27 Apr 2003 10:19

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Gold

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S&P &Futures (Click for latest)

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Futures

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CHANGE

FTSE 100

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CAC 40 10 EURO

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DAX

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DJIA INDEX

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S&P 500

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NASDAQ 100

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NIKKEI 225

    

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News feature coming here

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News Headlines:   

The Nikkei average ended trade at a fresh 20-year closing low on Monday following a shock earnings report by Sony last week

Scottish and Newcastle confirmed it was to put all its 1,450 managed pubs, restaurants and lodges up for sale to focus on brewing and drinks expansion.

Stagecoach said it expected to deliver profit at the top end of current market expectations. The firm is in talks to sell part of its Coach USA business, said it expected April revenues at its Hong Kong unit to be around a quarter less than last year due to SARS.

Scottish & Newcastle said on Monday it made an offer of 310 pence per share for Bulmer

Cordiant advertising said it had lost a contract with Allied Domecq Plc which would have a big impact on operating profits from 2004.

WPP Standard & Poor lowered its long-term corporate credit and senior unsecured debt ratings on the giant advertising firm to BBB+ from A- due to the difficult trading conditions it faces.Shell said it has received information that "criminal elements" could blow up a storage vessel for one of its oil fields off Nigeria, putting at risk production capacity of 170,000 barrels per day.RBOS , Abbey National have wrote off their investments in the Le MeridienBT is poised to lift its self-imposed ban on takeovers to assuage fears its sales could decline,

Calendar

All GMT

 ukf.gifUnited Kingdom (F)inals (I)nterim usf.gifUnited States (Click Flag) euro.gifEurope & World

Mon 28th April

Reports / Data

Cordiant Communications (F),

RBOS (AGM), Scottish & Newcastle Trading Statement

11.00 UK April/Q2 CBI Industrial Trends

MacDonalds (Q1), Procter & Gamble (Q1)

13.30 March Personal Income 13.30 March Personal Consumption

Aventis (Q1), ABN AMRO (Q1)
Good Trading!   David@FTSEDOW.com    www.FTSEDOW.com

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Crocodile - 27 Apr 2003 10:19 - 3 of 5

Sunday News 28th April 2003        

A crisis meeting has been called by bankers to discuss the future of Le Meridien, the international hotel chain

Directors of Selfridges have given bidders for the upmarket department-store group 10 days to submit their best takeover offers

Brown accused of wild optimism as confidence in economy slumps

Fear over the cost of the Sars outbreak continued to undermine shares in companies with extensive operations in Asia yesterday, with Prudential one of the biggest fallers in the FTSE 100

Sunday Times:

UTC moves ahead with bid talks for Chubb Easyjet boss may sue film distributors Statoil seeks North Sea bidders Doubts over C&W chiefs record Interbrew leads bevy of bidders thirsting for Bulmer cider BAE banks on demos to distract shareholders CSFB struggles to stay in bulge bracket Booming Soco knows the drill A Share in the Boardroom: Peel Holdings Share of the week: Amey Enterprise Network: On a roll with rock music An Post close to giving Ryan stamp of approval

Brennan to withdraw 20m airlines subsidy Today FM in tune with 2.5m profit Viridian looks solid but has little spark Scotland: Aberdeen deal delayed Chrysalis retunes to radio Metronet finds 314m black hole in Tube contract Vodafone in talks to buy independent Manchester United hires Cazenove HSBC as an adviser to the club and to ward off any potential hostile bidders Stock Markets: Sars fears continue to weigh on investors Celltech hit as asthma drug trials abandoned

Sunday Telegraph

 Matalan threatens Poundstretcher suppliers Scottish & Newcastle selling pubs division Aviva seeks to merge Morley after profits collapse to 5m Selfridges deadline in takeover auction Abbey to offload offshore insurers

Pearson City Comment

PowderJect to be sold for 500m Entrepreneurs to up Somerfield bid RBOS Meridien falls into hands of its lending banks
Observer HSBC's new man set to make $60m Thistle Hotels Fresh blow for Orb as Thistle sale turns sour Takeover threat puts Man Utd fans on alert

GlaxoSmithKline, BT, Hanson, HSBC Exposed: cosy world of the perk ethic

Chrysalis deal points way for TV production
Independent Invensys headache heads to Chicago Aberdeen Asset Management Cash crisis could end split capital investors' legal case Leeds United Ridsdale had to go to keep Leeds Utd investors onside Oxford Glycosciences Rumble in the Square Mile jungle Carlton The Lowdown: A ruthless priest - Gerry Robinson reinvents himself Barclays, When a sick borrower is just what the doctor ordered for the bank Granada The Lowdown: A ruthless priest - Gerry Robinson reinvents himself

Scotland on Sunday

 Malcolm Group Malcolm's link Plunging drug sales give AstraZeneca investors a bitter pill to swallow Former Astra Zeneca director joins drugs firm Strakan HSBC,RBOS, HBOS Banks coining it in at head of Scots corporate league Murray's Midas touch Selfridges Financial Hunter snaps up 15m Office chain Mining levy a thorn in the side for Thistle Mining Thwarted S&N still on track to buy Bulmers Aggreko Strong oil to have a say in trading statements

Granada, Carlton Media watchdog fails to provide a clear picture

Celtic Resources Funny old week of two halves House of Fraser Hunter snaps up 15m Office chain Stagecoach slowed by virus and Coach USA John Menzies Master of the company makeover Beat goes on and on as Capital Radio decides on Thus WPP JWT targets Leith agency RBOS RBS to bring new Harvard to Scotland

Investor Chronicle

 Buy P&O (PO.L) at 195p - Detica (DCA.L) at 265p - Metnor (MTG.L) at 161p - Monterrico Metals (MNA.L) at 75p. Anglo Pacific (APF.L) - VT Group (VTG.L) - Dobbies Garden Centres (DGC.L) - Homestyle (HME.L). Sell Woolworths (WLW.L) at 35p - James Halstead (JHD.L) at 280p - Kingston Communications (KCOM.L).

Click the paper name for a link.     david@ftsedow.com     www.ftsedow.com

  

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midknight - 27 Apr 2003 11:51 - 4 of 5

Croc, shouldn't that be "all rights reserved"!

Insider trader - 28 Apr 2003 07:28 - 5 of 5

Morning all. The broker ratings are overall consensus figures derived from Multex Global Estimates reports. The EPS, EBIT and revenue estimates relate to the full-year and therefore do not necessarily correlate to the reporting period indicated. The consensus recommendation gives a numerical rating where 1=buy, 2=outperform, 3=hold, 4=Underperf. and 5=sell.
UK, US and European results this week
Result DateCompany nameCountryResultsConsensus RecNo AnlEPSRevenue
28-AprAmbientGBFY2.00Outperform2
28-AprMacdonald's CorpUSQ12.61Hold181.3215,828
28-AprPPL TherapeuticsGBFY3.25Hold4-10.101
28-AprProcter & GambleUSQ31.73Outperform114.0643,060
28-AprABBCHQ13.52Hold290.1825051
Tuesday
29-AprABN AmroNLAGM2.39Outperform381.59
29-AprAlexandraGBFY2.00Outperform28.1074
29-AprAllianzDAGM2.95Hold232.80
29-AprBASFDQ12.43Outperform282.5733025
29-AprBijou BrigitteDFY1.50Buy/Outperform25.43119
29-AprBookham TechnologyGBQ13.00Hold7-30.20100
29-AprBPGBQ12.88Hold3229.00108921
29-AprBritish American TobaccoGBQ12.38Outperform1667.5411382
29-AprCewe Color HoldingDFY1.67Outperform32.69450
29-AprE.I. DuPont de NemoursUSQ12.38Outperform161.8125,314
29-AprEuropean Motor HoldingsGBFY2.33Outperform314.50450
29-AprFraportDFY2.22Outperform231.751942
29-AprHawesko HoldingDFY & Q12.75Hold41.64278
29-AprIDS ScheerDQ11.85Outperform130.45197
29-AprInfineon DH13.13Hold38-0.365943
29-AprJenoptikDFY2.50Outperform110.842086
29-AprMcGrawHill Companies IncUSQ12.68Hold133.204,994
29-AprMerckDQ13.31Hold261.637686
29-AprNorthop Grumman CorpUSQ12.11Outperform183.8125,482
29-AprOxford GlycosciencesGBFY3.42Hold15-58.4014
29-AprSAP Systems IntegrationDQ12.50Outperform/Hold140.71302
29-AprSartoriusDFY2.00Outperform10.43493
29-AprSyzygyDQ12.00Outperform30.1916
29-AprTakktDQ12.67Hold60.63814
29-AprWestburyGBFY2.11Outperform957.90773
Wednesday
30-AprAberdeen Asset Management GBH12.50Outperform/Hold79.89
30-AprAdidas-SalomonDQ12.24Outperform265.756850
30-AprAstraZenecaGBQ12.43Outperform4599.0711030
30-AprBlacks LeisureGBFY1.67Outperform922.90217
30-AprCelaneseDQ12.39Outperform181.994596
30-AprClear Channel CommunicationsUSQ11.80Outperform251.278,765
30-AprDeutsche BankDQ12.70Hold372.69
30-AprDuke Energy CorporationUSQ13.17Hold241.3920,403
30-AprE.ONDAGM2.35Outperform343.9745419
30-AprExelon CorporationUSQ12.53Hold174.9015,640
30-AprGame GroupGBFY2.62Hold135.94531
30-AprGFKDFY2.00Outperform81.10597
30-AprGlaxoSmithKlineGBQ12.92Hold3981.8121701
30-AprIntershop CommunicationsDQ13.50Hold/Underperform3-0.0549
30-AprMetroDFY2.34Outperform301.4754267
30-AprPressacGBFY3.00Hold21.00134
30-AprRugby EstateGBFY3.33Hold389.60
30-AprScheringDQ12.11Outperform382.555266
30-AprSchwarz PharmaDQ12.22Outperform95.961941
30-AprSplendid MedienDFY5.00Sell1-3.4436
30-AprThe Southern CompanyUSQ12.86Hold211.8410,811
30-AprWhitbreadGBFY2.50Outperform/Hold1850.251868
Thursday
1-MayImperial Chemical IndustriesGBQ12.68Hold1917.155841
1-MayJennings BrothersGBFY3.00Hold116.4017
1-MayJohn David GroupGBFY3.50Hold/Underperform824.69406
1-MayPhytopharmGBH12.40Outperform5-10.102
1-MayShilohGBFY1.00Buy111.3045
1-MayShire PharmaceuticalGBQ12.63Hold1934.37744
1-MayThompson CorpUSQ12.56Hold161.148,020
1-MayTyco International LtdUSH11.67Outperform121.4330,077
1-MayThe Walt Disney CorpUSH12.41Outperform290.6426,749
Friday
2-MayGiardino GroupGBFY2.50Outperform/Hold27.4024
2-MayShell Transport &TradingGBQ12.50Outperform/Hold2627.4696288
2-MayUnileverGBQ12.05Outperform2241.4131434
This table indicates how broker recommendations for key FTSE 100 companies have changed in the last 24 hours. It details how great the rating change has been and reasons for this change. The consensus recommendation gives a numerical rating where 1=Buy, 2=Outperform, 3=Hold, 4=Underperform and 5=Sell.
 24th Apr25th AprChangeConsensus RatingBroker Change
Amvescap3.363.43arrowdown.gif-2.1%HoldDKW downgrades rating to "sell" as the broker feels the stock's recent strength following the rally in US equities provides an opportunity to sell.
Anglo American2.672.71arrowdown.gif-1.5%HoldSmith Barney lowers its rating to "underperform" as the broker believes that BHP Billiton's and Rio Tinto's exposure to higher margin commodities will allow them to outperform Anglo American
AstraZeneca2.482.49arrowdown.gif-0.4%OutperformAhead of Q1 results on 30th April brokers remain divided, ranging from Williams who say "sell" to UBS who says "buy. Given the division the rating continues to falter.
British Land2.152.23arrowdown.gif-3.7%OutperformCSFB's recent look at the property market has shown that the several key property areas have continued to weaken. CSFB revises its forecast on British land to "neutral" as a result
Canary Wharf33.11arrowdown.gif-3.7%HoldCWG is also downgraded by CSFB to "underperform" as part of the broker's review of the property sector, which highlighted CWG's key market in Central London as one of the markets that has weakened
Granada2.782.86arrowdown.gif-2.9%HoldTV forecast advertising figures for June reveal a further decline in the advertising market. Merrill notes that comparables were tough, but admits that after its strong run recently GAA may suffer as this news filters through the market
Hilton Group2.822.91arrowdown.gif-3.2%HoldConditions in the hotel sector are expected to remain volatile in the short term following the war in Iraq and now the SARS virus, which in turn causes the ratings for key hotels stocks to suffer
Liberty International3.213.14arrowup.gif2.2%HoldFollowing its strong first half performance in shopping centres, CSFB has upgraded its rating to "neutral" from "underperform"
Prudential2.72.70.0%Awaiting ChangeMorgan Stanley has downgraded PRU following its concerns for the group's tight cash flow
Vodafone2.122.11arrowup.gif0.5%OutperformMerrill reiterates its positive view on the European telecom market and Deutsche also issues a positive note on the telecom giant in which it lifts its forecast ahead of FY results on 27th May
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