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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 30th June (DEB)     

Crocodile - 29 Jun 2003 11:39

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Gold

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fpDJIA.gqplus?511 marketwatch-ss.img?symb=SP500 fpNASDAQ.gqplus?183

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S&P &Futures (Click for latest)

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Pre Market Futures (7:30)
FTSE -22
TechMark -2
DAX -+ Unch

Hang Seng -36

Chart

Nikkei -20

Chart

DOW +38
S&P +5.5
Nasdaq +3.4

 

News Headlines:   

UK futures down bur European markets open Flat & US futures rising so a rise is likely after a a down start.

House prices were unchanged in June after falling slightly in the previous two months, property website Hometrack.co.uk says.

Debenhams, says it has received a rival bid approach from another party. A takeover attempt would come up against a 1.5 billion pound approach already on the table from Permira. Debenhams said the discussions with Permira were continuing.

IMI said Monday that for the six months ending 30 June 2003, on a like for like basis sales overall remain steady at similar levels to last year with volume improvements in Fluid Controls offsetting the expected reduction in Retail Dispense.

Alfred McAlpine said that at this stage in the year, overall prospects for the second half remain encouraging and our order books provide a strong platform for future progress. Overall performance to date has been in line with expectations.

Calendar

All GMT

ukf.gifUnited Kingdom (F)inals (I)nterim usf.gifUnited States (Click Flag) euro.gifEurope & World

Mon 30th June

Reports / Data

IMI Trading Statement, Wilson Bowden Photo-Me International (F), Regus (Q1), WPP (AGM)

09.30 May Final M4 y/y 09.30 May Net Consumer Credit 1.5bn exp. 09.30 May Net Lending Sec. On Dwellings 7.3bn exp. 09.30 June Preliminary M0 y/y 6.4% exp.

AAR Corp. AIR -0.02 Before Market Open Finish Line FINL 0.28 After Market Close HORIZON HEALTH CORP Before Market Open

15.00 June Chicago PMI 52.0 exp.

Gucci (Q2)

09.00 EMU April M3 3m ma 8.3% exp.

11.00 EMU June Economic Confidence 98.0 exp. 11.00 EMU June Industrial Confidence 13.0 exp. 11.00 EMU June Flash CPI y/y 2.0% exp. 11.00 EMU June Consumer Confidence 20.0 exp.

Good Trading!   David@FTSEDOW.com    www.FTSEDOW.com

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Crocodile - 29 Jun 2003 11:40 - 3 of 10

SI_UK__3MNFEN11.gifSunday News 29th June         

British American Tobacco is thought to be considering a 5bn takeover of Altadis, the Spanish-French rival that makes Gauloises and Gitanes cigarettes

The BBC plans to team up with BSkyB in a joint bid for the rights to Premier League football matches. If successful, BBC's Match of the Day would show live, top-flight league games for the first time.

Standard Life mortgage bombshell, the biggest provider of mortgage endowments*, has admitted it faces a timebomb caused by shortfalls on hundreds of thousands of policies.

BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto Group should maintain output cuts at Escondida, the world's biggest copper mine, through the end of the year because of sagging metal demand, a partner at the Chilean venture said.

Leading shares are expected to trade in a narrow range next week as results dry up and investors wait for brighter economic news, though a quarter-end rally could give a boost.

The chairman of the country's biggest newsagent and bookseller, WH Smith, plans to quit before the end of the year

Private equity groups CVC Capital Partners and Texas Pacific Group are preparing a joint bid for retail group Debenhams, Sunday newspapers have reported Central bank governors from around the world say they expect a slow and sluggish recovery in the global economy. The London Stock Exchange has confirmed its in-coming chairman Chris Gibson-Smith is seeking early meetings with his counterparts at rival bourses Deutsche Boerse and Euronext.

Sunday Times:

12m Burberry boss faces investor revolt Faroe Petroleum Oil explorer defends chiefs pay-off deal British American Tobacco boss to fly in at BA WPP UK Active agrees to Cordiant disposals Allied Irish Bank seeks 400m for buyout fund Rival bid planned for Debenhams Allied Irish Bank SMG Goodbody woos Montgomery star Scottish and Southern Energy End of the fat cats pensions bonanza Aberdeen Asset Management fails to meet deadline for 80m deal Cazenove is worth less than Lastminute.com BAE to win 1.5bn Hawk deal AOL beats Freeserve to first net profits British Energy chiefs 3.6m pension pot WH Smith chairman Taylor in shock decision to resign Dana Petroleum Oil explorer defends chiefs pay-off deal

Smith and Nephew, GWR Group, Legal & General Success for our stockpickers BT Group Yell and Belgacom plan megafloats Is Sir Peter losing control of his Sainsbury trolley? Whitehead Mann: Recruitment agents dismiss their own shares British Airways, Alliance and Leicester Success for our stockpickers Enterprise Inns, Cordiant Communications Success for our stockpickers AWG, Marks & Spencer Success for our stockpickers Nestor Healthcare, Serco Success for our stockpickers Taxing reason why Orange faces takeover City finds WH Smith lacking in magic Scottish Sharewatch: PPL Therapeutics Dixons John Clare: Shy cheerleader for the high street

UK Active agrees to Cordiant disposals EasyJet: No profit in coming to Dublin'

Sunday Telegraph

Galen Holdings Tchenguiz puts money down for Selfridges WPP, Cordiant go-ahead for disposals Ennstone faces 130m auction Kingfisher faces new revolt CVC and TPG prepare joint Debenhams bid

Don't bet on a BAE takeover Persimmon White in the pink Lord Robertson to join Cable & Wireless board BT Group Yell judges time ripe for flotation

Invensys seeks $850m for US arm

Just 15 months ago shares in construction group Alfred McAlpine were trading above 490p, last week they closed at 272 1/2p. Shareholders have been disappointed that McAlpine has not returned as much cash from last year's sale of its housebuilding arm as many had hoped. This looks harsh. Its decision to invest in a move into capital projects and PFI schemes has been successful. Buy. Ports shares have hardly been in favour with investors over the past year. However, the sector is worth considering. Some companies such as Mersey Docks & Harbour have produced respectable earnings in a difficult economic environment. The group, led by Peter Jones, has taken advantage of the economic downturn to invest in infrastructure and is now better placed than it rivals to benefit from a recovery. At 553 1/2p the shares trade at a discount to other ports groups which seems unjustified. Cardpoint, the operator of convenience cash machines (60 1/2p) pulled off a bold acquisition last month buying a rival network from Securicor. The move increased its network from 450 to 1,700 including machines in prime locations such as motorway service stations. Valuing such businesses can be tricky but some brokers believe the price could rise through 80p. Worth a punt.
Observer Exel UK transport crisis deterring investors Candover plans 1bn move for Auto Trader Energis accounts bore 'no relationship to reality Safeway, JJB Sports 100bn industry is desperate for deals Marks & Spencer Corporate tax avoidance is costing us all billions mmO2 Is that your mobile ringing or a deep human need?
Independent

WPP, Cordiant Communications Scrutiny for Sorrell after AGM rebuke Granada, Carlton urged to seek better deal on merger

RBOS Shareholders say bulls to the bond markets and the management buyouts

Dixons ready to recharge itself as profit is corroded JJB Sports Shareholders say bulls to the bond markets and the management buyouts Going, going, gone? QXL ricardo once excelled, now it's getting hammered

Scotland on Sunday

Jove considers taking legal action over Aberdeen Asset Management Bidders line up to take over Scottish and Newcastle pubs empire Magnum Force to be reckoned with? Faroe Petroleum floating in a sea of hope HBOS Scots directors profit 200,000 through share dealings Digital Animations Black back in swim with new agency Pentland exapnsion drive after US contract

The puck stops here for Orange ICI Beguiling battle for Hamleys does not look like child's play SNG Can Chris Evans ever make the grade again? KPN Beguiling battle for Hamleys does not look like child's play

Scottish & Newcastle expects to toast strong results Businessmen up stakes in John Swan but deny bid interest Do not ask Diageo for a drink

Sunday Express A trading statement from banking group HBOS said margins, credit quality, costs and capital were healthy, it also reported rising investment sales. Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein says it expects to see higher trading in 12 months and has raised its target. Buy at 793p. A new management team at the gearbox technology company Torotrak is finally on track. Tests by Ford show the company's technology can improve fuel efficiency by 20%, so it looks well placed to capitalise on demand for reduced fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. Buy at 35p.

Investor Chronicle

Capital Radio, Cobra Bio-Manufacturing, Gallaher, Havelock Europa, Palmaris Capital, Shell Transport

Shares Magazine 

Buy Ncipher at 133p - Surfcontrol at 635p - Venture Production at 174p - Ultimate Leisure at 223.5p. Wiggins - Courts - JJB Sports - Tomkins - UK Coal - easyJet - Marconi - Ashtead - Corus - MyTravel Group, Celtic Resources, Close short positions in Dixons (DXNS.L). Take profits in Amec (AMEC.L).

Click the paper name for a link.     david@ftsedow.com     www.ftsedow.com

 

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Crocodile - 29 Jun 2003 21:04 - 4 of 10

hako1
You have sent an Email regarding next Thursday's training day. Unfortunately you have not given me your EMail to reply. There are 3 places left so please Email me at david@ftsedow.com

Nick - 29 Jun 2003 21:33 - 5 of 10

Hi Croc - Excellent summary as usual.

Thankyou.

Crocodile - 30 Jun 2003 07:43 - 6 of 10

Morning Nick & all

farmboy - 30 Jun 2003 07:59 - 7 of 10

Junp into ATL quickly - train leaving the station.

washlander - 30 Jun 2003 09:04 - 8 of 10

hello croc tried your web address but unable to find it

Crocodile - 30 Jun 2003 11:15 - 9 of 10

washlander

Try www.ftsedow.com

D.
thanks farmboy

little woman - 30 Jun 2003 16:30 - 10 of 10

Pity, I didn't check this thread earlier!! Just checked out ATL - up 22.5%
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