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Traders Thread & Thoughts - Monday 21st July (SCTN)     

Crocodile - 20 Jul 2003 13:01

draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10% draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10%

Gold

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fpDJIA.gqplus?511 marketwatch-ss.img?symb=SP500 fpNASDAQ.gqplus?183

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S&P &Futures (Click for latest)

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Pre Market Futures (7:30)
FTSE +21
TechMark +3
DAX +18

Hang Seng +41

Chart

Nikkei +-

Chart

DOW -1
S&P -0.4
Nasdaq +0.5

 

News Headlines:    The FTSE 100 is expected to rise at the opening to play catch up with Wall Street, which continued to race ahead after London's close

Eurotunnel said its loss was EUR22 million, compared with EUR138 million last year. As a result of the continuation of these difficult market conditions, the company is now unlikely to achieve the full year revenues needed to cover interest charges from cash-flow. However, as market conditions improve the shuttle revenue growth should pick up again as in the past.

Prudential looks set to cut its dividend for the first time since 1914 in a move which is expected to save the most famous name in British insurance about 200 million each year.Smiths Group: said it was selling its polymers division for 495 million pounds to Swedish engineer Trelleborg

Mitchells & Butlers Britain's biggest managed pubs company is ready to mount a joint bid with Whitbread for Scottish and Newcastle pubs and hotels business,

Corus has secured the final backing of its lead banks, ABN AMRO, Credit Suisse First Boston and HSBC for a new refinancing packageBritish Airways will hold crisis talks with unions in an effort to end unplanned industrial action,

Calendar

All GMT

ukf.gifUnited Kingdom (F)inals (I)nterim usf.gifUnited States (Click Flag) euro.gifEurope & World

Mon 21st July

Reports / Data

Eurotunnel (I), St Modwen Properties (I)

Woolworth

11.00 UK BCC Q2 Economic Survey

Texas Instruments (Q2)

15.00 US June Leading Indicator 0.1% exp.

11.00 EMU May Euro-Zone Trade Balance

Good Trading!   David@FTSEDOW.com    www.FTSEDOW.com

Bloomberg TV          

Pivot Calculator

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Crocodile - 20 Jul 2003 13:02 - 3 of 9

Sunday News 20th July         Sunday ExpressTony Blair

S&N to raise Centerpulse bid -- paper  - M&B seen bidding for rival pub business - RBS reported considering offer for U.S. bank - Reuters

BT said to be rejected for government contract - BT Group has been struck off the list of firms competing for a government IT project worth 4 billion pounds,

Interest rates have now bottomed unless house prices collapse, according to a study by The Ernst and Young - Reuters

Prime Minister Tony Blair has told Japanese business leaders that euro entry is essential to Britain's future and that he is working hard to ensure the economics were right to go in.

Sunday Times:

Ireland: Eircom plans new assault on mobile market HBOS expansion plans behind $1bn buyout Centrica, Business Digest Royal Bank of Scotland, Meridien's survival in the balance Scottish and Newcastle, Pub company reneges on 400m pledge Glocer sweeps away the gloom from Reuters Royal Bank of Scotland, Permira poised to pounce Mitchells & Butlers Pub company reneges on 400m pledge BAE 'told MoD about shortfall' Royal Bank of Scotland considers move for 3bn Philadelphia bank

Sharewatch: HBOS

Granada, Carlton 'Quiet assassin' who has his finger on ITV merger trigger A Share in the Boardroom: Anite Group Directors' Deals: Next boss makes 3m in his summer sale WH Smith Former Our Price stores put up for sale again Rank Group Welcome to the There Is Something Going On column British American Tobacco, BOC Group, Dixons Shareholders go back to dividends Waterford Wedgewood bosses who failed to read crystal ball must pay price Easyjet battles rivals with new 'time and money' strategy Share of the week: Marks & Spencer Volex, Irish Business Digest Manchester United,W elcome to the There Is Something Going On column

Britain's biggest managed pubs company, Mitchells & Butlers, is poised to mount a joint bid with Whitbread for Scottish and Newcastle's pubs and hotels business

The Royal Bank of Scotland is considering an offer for Philadelphia-based Sovereign Bancorp as it continues on its U.S. acquisition spree

High Street retail bellwether Marks & Spencer rudely awakened shareholders last week when a downbeat trading statement reduced the shares 7.1% in a day to 311 1/4p. News that first-quarter clothing sales were not growing as quickly as hoped spooked the City and M&S's 'bull-in-chief', Deutsche Bank, downgraded its rating to 'hold'. M&S still trades on a fairly hefty valuation, with a price/earnings ratio of 15.3 not far behind sector darling Tesco at 15.4.

Sunday Telegraph

Royal Bank of Scotland, Meridien on brink as rescue falters BT, Mobile groups try to wriggle out of price cut Smiths close to 500m disposal Pru cuts its dividend for first time since 1914 Smith and Nephew to raise Centerpulse bid

Northern Rock, Rocky times ahead Cadbury eschews the fat Safe way for Sainsbury London Stock Exchange 'Our customers will end up paying for this'

MyTravel nears deal Wildcat strikes cost BA 20m

Medical devices firm Smith & Nephew is poised to raise its bid for Swiss orthopaedics group, Centerpulse AG, to trump a rival offer from Zimmer

Hotel and gaming business Hilton Group is an excellent recovery play. It has a widely-respected management and can look forward to continued growth from its Ladbrokes unit, which could be worth up to 1.9bn on its own.

A way forward for the group could be to merge with rival Intercontinental, while Hilton's existing hotels will benefit from any business travel recovery as the US and European economies improve. The shares are significantly undervalued and the group trades on a forward earnings multiple of 13 times, compared to 17 times for Intercontinental. Buy. Small but well-run rail operator GB Railways, which runs Anglia Railways, Hull Trains and GB Railfreight, is shortlisted to win several rail franchises. Last week, FirstGroup offered 250p a share for GB, an extra 200p if GB wins Greater Anglia and 50p more if it wins a further franchise. Investors who bought shares in June would now sit on a 67% profit. Sell.

Observer

National Grid faces corruption inquiry BSkyB Transco EC calls foul on Sky's 1bn live football deal

Sainsbury a nation of shopkeepers, meet the first family Sainsbury's strategy just won't check out Manchester United, Sir Alex sees the bigger picture

Manchester United Who's bigger than Becks out east? Trinity MirrorMemo to Sir Victor: What about Piers? Prudential, How man from the Pru stored up a load of trouble Royal Bank of Scotland Luxury Meridien chain on brink of collapse SSL InternationalI, Nasty taste in the mouth  :-)
Independent

BT snubbed over 4bn IT project

Reuters GroupThe Week Ahead: BT Group Pink elephants can't halt the jobs stampede as UK plc outsources to India The Week Ahead: Cable and Wireless, Shell Transport

Limping down the runway, a BAE-Boeing merger may just get off the ground Yoof appeal comes too late at Sainsbury's, the supermarket that was left on the shelf Advair helps Glaxo to breathe easily  
BT Group has been struck off the list of firms competing for a government IT project worth 4 billion poundsLast week's heatwave pulled the public into the boozer and investors are sizing up listed pub players. While Wolverhampton & Dudley and Mitchells & Butlers are fairly priced, Scottish & Newcastle presents a more risky, but potentially more rewarding, way into the sector. S&N's brewing operations are not enormously attractive from an investment perspective, but the group has 1,500 British pubs and is in the process of selling them. The sale is a big potential draw for investors because there is believed to be much interest in the estate. The group's fundamentals are also appealing.

Scotland on Sunday

BAA's commercial thrust makes sense for airports EasyJet Business news in brief Debenhams shareholders angry at bosses' takeover bonus Wiggins Group Property firm to land 80m airport group Belhaven rolls out the barrels ScottishPower back on track as its earnings per share rise by 1.8p Branson offers hope to Alstom

Drugs giants find generic competition a bitter pill to swallow GlaxoSmithKline find generic competition a bitter pill to swallow Legal & General

Celtic Resources to launch credit card for US fans Stagecoach Group Havelock Europa has high hopes of gaining contracts Manchester United, Celtic to launch credit card for US fans MyTravel Group Business news in brief

Sunday Express Northern Rock's strong interims last week provided an excellent start to the bank reporting season. The former building society's half-year pre-tax profits were 179m, a 3.1% increase on the second half last year and 17.2% on the first half, after stripping out the 7.3m credit card book sale. Northern Rock reported record first half net* mortgage lending of 3.8bn, representing a market share of about 9.5% - just over twice its natural market share - and forecast another good year for mortgage volumes. Buy at 689p

Investor Chronicle

Buy - WPP - DTZ - North Midland Construction - Dobbies Garden Centre - Wealth Management SoftwareSell - Cambridge Antibody .BioCompatibles (good value) - Smiths (good value) - Tikit (fairly priced) - Air Partner (hold) - United Utilities (good value).

Shares Magazine 

Buy ICI at 138p - Proteome Sciences at 156p - Pursuit Dynamics at 40p (Speculative) Innobox at 4.625p. Buy Dyson Group , Pilat Global Media, Hold GB Railways Domino's Pizza - Richmond Foods - Excel Airways - Northgate - PHS Group Buy Software at 485p - Metalrax at 78.5p - Guiton Group at 215p - Coda SciSys at 280p - AB Foods at 533.5p - PZ Cussons at 865p - BAT at 669p - Rentokil Initial at 194.5p - Game Group at 52.5p - HMV Group at 154p.

Click the paper name for a link.     david@ftsedow.com     www.ftsedow.com

 

Pivot Calc

Bloomberg TV

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Teddy Bear - 20 Jul 2003 13:15 - 4 of 9

You too croc .

grateful teddy

ThePlayboy - 21 Jul 2003 07:21 - 5 of 9

MON FTSE PP

R2 4107
R1 4090.1
PP 4073.3
S1 4056.4
S2 4039.6

Close above Fridays PP, lost only 0.3 in the auction, close still below 4085 (50% fib) to 4054 (38.2% fib) trading range.
DJ AT OUR CLOSE 9083/S&P 983

WEEKLY FTSE PP

R2 4184.4
R1 4128.8
PP 4080.4
S1 4024.8
S2 3976.4

Close above this weeks PP.

Crocodile - 21 Jul 2003 07:43 - 6 of 9

Morning all,
Blow to BT this morning with it being ordered to cut internet charges by 17% and backdated to 2000

Druid2 - 21 Jul 2003 08:34 - 7 of 9

Good morning all.

ThePlayboy - 21 Jul 2003 12:32 - 8 of 9

djsignalwatch going with the current trend, 9050 down to watch, a break out of the tight TR of 9165/88 for first sign of direction!

Da Bear - 21 Jul 2003 13:47 - 9 of 9

The S&P 500's former trading band is now resistance at 988-1015.41. Its focuses of resistance are 993-1000 and 1010-1015 then the 61.8% # at 1019/20 with 1038 the 66% # just above.

The S&P 500 has an important layer of support (stacked) at 988-974. A move under 973 50% Fib # which does not reverse immediately would increase odds that the next small area of support at 970-964 will ultimately fail, increasing the chances for a trip down to 949-912 with 925 the 38.2% #.

Immediate Nasdaq resistance is 1707-1720.The Nasdaq's band was 1722-1758 and that now represents big resistance. During Thursday's intraday activity, the Nasdaq established a layer of resistance at 1709.73-1715.79, so this represents a focus of resistance. The Nasdaq's support is 1686-1653
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